Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

64
+6.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.7 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,867.69
Current Value
$10,559.59
Period P&L
$691.94
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.84

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-0.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
57m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$265,588.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$691.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$691.94
Gross Return
+7.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,867.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 611 $9,858.55
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.17 611 $9,882.92 $9,892.03 +$24.38
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.04 616 $9,882.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $16.22 616 $9,988.44 $9,997.67 +$105.64
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $16.16 618 $9,983.79
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $16.42 618 $10,147.56 $10,161.44 +$163.77
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $16.16 628 $10,148.67
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $16.26 628 $10,214.42 $10,227.19 +$65.75
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $17.75 576 $10,226.88
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.80 576 $10,254.24 $10,254.55 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $19.55 524 $10,241.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $19.52 524 $10,228.53 $10,241.50 $-13.05
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $19.39 528 $10,235.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $19.25 528 $10,166.64 $10,172.86 $-68.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $18.77 541 $10,154.57
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $18.72 541 $10,127.57 $10,145.86 $-27.00
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 554 $10,138.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $18.51 554 $10,254.54 $10,262.20 +$116.34
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $15.74 651 $10,249.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.91 651 $10,355.07 $10,367.27 +$105.07
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.06 645 $10,355.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $16.18 645 $10,439.32 $10,451.12 +$83.85
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 635 $10,445.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $16.58 635 $10,531.47 $10,536.84 +$85.72
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $16.19 650 $10,526.75
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $16.23 650 $10,549.50 $10,559.59 +$22.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,559.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$559.59
Total Return: +5.60%
Back to Professor Mean