Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 19:38:34

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 26.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

45
+4.6%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,556.54
Current Value
$11,188.23
Period P&L
$631.73
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,476.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$631.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$631.73
Gross Return
+5.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,556.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $15.08 700 $10,556.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:55am ET $15.27 700 $10,692.50 $10,693.00 +$136.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.36 695 $10,678.67
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.41 695 $10,709.95 $10,724.28 +$31.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.95 672 $10,718.40
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.99 672 $10,745.35 $10,751.23 +$26.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.12 666 $10,735.92
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $15.99 666 $10,649.34 $10,664.65 $-86.58
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 601 $10,662.88
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $18.13 601 $10,896.79 $10,898.56 +$233.91
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.82 611 $10,884.97
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.66 611 $10,787.21 $10,800.80 $-97.76
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.95 637 $10,797.15
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 637 $10,653.83 $10,657.47 $-143.33
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.40 649 $10,643.67
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.51 649 $10,711.81 $10,725.61 +$68.14
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.27 659 $10,721.93
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $16.62 659 $10,952.58 $10,956.26 +$230.65
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $15.74 695 $10,942.77
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET $15.93 695 $11,067.88 $11,081.36 +$125.10
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $17.28 641 $11,076.42
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $17.16 641 $10,999.50 $11,004.44 $-76.92
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.81 618 $11,003.49
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $18.10 618 $11,187.28 $11,188.23 +$183.79
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,188.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,188.23
Total Return: +11.88%
Back to Professor Mean