Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 8.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

12
-8.8%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,615.75
Current Value
$6,161.07
Period P&L
$-454.59
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,609.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-454.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-454.59
Gross Return
-6.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $6,615.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $77.62 87 $6,753.04
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $76.72 87 $6,674.64 $6,676.99 $-78.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $77.64 85 $6,599.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $77.74 85 $6,607.88 $6,685.47 +$8.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $68.88 97 $6,681.36
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $68.50 97 $6,644.98 $6,649.10 $-36.38
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $67.00 99 $6,633.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $66.68 99 $6,601.80 $6,617.90 $-31.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 107 $6,611.53
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $60.80 107 $6,505.60 $6,511.97 $-105.93
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 113 $6,467.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $56.58 113 $6,393.54 $6,437.96 $-74.01
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $56.44 114 $6,433.59
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $56.58 114 $6,450.14 $6,454.51 +$16.55
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.12 117 $6,449.26
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.22 117 $6,461.32 $6,466.57 +$12.06
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $54.03 119 $6,429.76
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $52.82 119 $6,285.58 $6,322.39 $-144.18
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.52 120 $6,302.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $52.60 120 $6,311.80 $6,331.79 +$9.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $53.59 118 $6,323.57
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $53.66 118 $6,331.88 $6,340.10 +$8.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.19 121 $6,315.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $50.50 121 $6,110.49 $6,134.99 $-205.11
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.5h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $50.43 121 $6,102.04
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.65 121 $6,128.12 $6,161.07 +$26.08
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,161.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,838.93
Total Return: -38.39%
Back to Professor Mean