Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:31:40

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 8.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,568.44
Current Value
$5,481.83
Period P&L
$-86.53
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+1.48%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,639.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-86.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-86.53
Gross Return
-1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $5,568.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 139 $5,561.47
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:15am ET $39.50 139 $5,490.51 $5,497.40 $-70.96
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $39.39 139 $5,475.59
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $39.51 139 $5,491.90 $5,513.72 +$16.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $38.15 144 $5,492.88
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $38.09 144 $5,484.96 $5,505.80 $-7.92
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.40 147 $5,498.53
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $37.24 147 $5,473.55 $5,480.81 $-24.99
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $37.06 147 $5,448.55
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $37.22 147 $5,470.61 $5,502.86 +$22.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $37.95 145 $5,502.53
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $38.17 145 $5,534.64 $5,534.96 +$32.10
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $41.01 134 $5,495.34
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $40.69 134 $5,452.46 $5,492.08 $-42.88
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $44.16 124 $5,475.84
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET $44.06 124 $5,464.06 $5,480.30 $-11.78
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.25 147 $5,475.75
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $37.03 147 $5,443.41 $5,447.96 $-32.34
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $37.58 144 $5,412.24
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $38.14 144 $5,492.17 $5,527.89 +$79.93
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $36.58 151 $5,524.33
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $36.28 151 $5,478.28 $5,481.83 $-46.06
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,481.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,518.17
Total Return: -45.18%
Back to Professor Mean