Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:29:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.8

30-Day Momentum

14
-2.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,835.32
Current Value
$9,606.30
Period P&L
$-229.06
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+1.17%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,573.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-229.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-229.06
Gross Return
-2.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,835.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $445.31 22 $9,796.82
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $447.24 22 $9,839.28 $9,877.82 +$42.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $486.17 20 $9,723.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 20 $9,644.40 $9,798.82 $-79.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 19 $9,326.72
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:40am ET $489.74 19 $9,305.06 $9,777.16 $-21.66
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $482.40 20 $9,648.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $479.56 20 $9,591.20 $9,720.36 $-56.80
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $474.86 20 $9,497.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET $475.40 20 $9,508.04 $9,731.10 +$10.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $472.38 20 $9,447.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $472.98 20 $9,459.60 $9,743.10 +$12.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $488.79 19 $9,286.92
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $491.07 19 $9,330.33 $9,786.52 +$43.42
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $480.63 20 $9,612.60
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $472.20 20 $9,443.98 $9,617.90 $-168.62
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $467.70 20 $9,354.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $469.24 20 $9,384.80 $9,648.70 +$30.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $474.39 20 $9,487.80
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.89 20 $9,337.80 $9,498.70 $-150.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $461.00 20 $9,220.00
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $466.38 20 $9,327.60 $9,606.30 +$107.60
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,606.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-393.70
Total Return: -3.94%
Back to Professor Mean