Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

65
+6.5%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.6 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,876.24
Current Value
$10,519.86
Period P&L
$643.63
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-0.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
42m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$266,635.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$643.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$643.63
Gross Return
+6.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,876.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $43.35 227 $9,840.93
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $43.81 227 $9,944.87 $9,980.17 +$103.94
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $42.67 233 $9,942.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $43.74 233 $10,191.12 $10,229.18 +$249.01
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $49.09 208 $10,210.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.03 208 $10,199.28 $10,217.74 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $52.75 193 $10,180.75
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $53.07 193 $10,242.45 $10,279.44 +$61.70
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $55.88 183 $10,226.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $56.17 183 $10,280.02 $10,333.42 +$53.98
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $58.04 178 $10,331.10
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.58 178 $10,250.13 $10,252.45 $-80.97
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $57.51 178 $10,237.67
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $57.92 178 $10,309.76 $10,324.54 +$72.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $59.66 173 $10,321.18
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $59.87 173 $10,357.79 $10,361.15 +$36.61
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $62.15 166 $10,317.73
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $61.71 166 $10,243.86 $10,287.28 $-73.87
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $60.56 169 $10,234.66
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $60.87 169 $10,287.03 $10,339.65 +$52.37
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $61.04 169 $10,315.76
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $61.56 169 $10,403.66 $10,427.55 +$87.90
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $65.18 159 $10,363.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $65.54 159 $10,420.86 $10,484.46 +$56.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $67.14 156 $10,473.54
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $67.36 156 $10,508.94 $10,519.86 +$35.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,519.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$519.86
Total Return: +5.20%
Back to Professor Mean