Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:20:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,314.06
Current Value
$9,305.01
Period P&L
$-9.11
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,223.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9.11
Gross Return
-0.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,314.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $438.73 21 $9,213.33
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $440.89 21 $9,258.59 $9,359.37 +$45.25
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:10am ET $434.09 21 $9,115.89
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:15am ET $433.80 21 $9,109.70 $9,353.18 $-6.19
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $416.86 22 $9,170.92
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $418.27 22 $9,201.94 $9,384.20 +$31.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $418.74 22 $9,212.28
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $422.20 22 $9,288.40 $9,460.32 +$76.12
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $420.71 22 $9,255.72
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:10am ET $425.11 22 $9,352.31 $9,556.91 +$96.59
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $397.02 24 $9,528.36
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $391.86 24 $9,404.64 $9,433.19 $-123.72
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $401.68 23 $9,238.64
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $390.68 23 $8,985.64 $9,180.19 $-253.00
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $380.28 24 $9,126.72
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $382.89 24 $9,189.24 $9,242.71 +$62.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $390.56 23 $8,982.88
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $394.92 23 $9,083.16 $9,342.99 +$100.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $408.17 22 $8,979.74
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.04 22 $9,020.88 $9,384.13 +$41.14
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.99 23 $9,291.77
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.55 23 $9,212.65 $9,305.01 $-79.12
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,305.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-694.99
Total Return: -6.95%
Back to Professor Mean