Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:27:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
10.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 24.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

65
+6.4%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.4 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,845.31
Current Value
$10,526.83
Period P&L
$681.48
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
11 / 3
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-0.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
12.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,799.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$681.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$681.48
Gross Return
+6.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,845.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $382.12 25 $9,553.00
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:05am ET $378.88 25 $9,472.00 $9,764.35 $-81.00
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $381.71 25 $9,542.87
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $382.33 25 $9,558.25 $9,779.72 +$15.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $382.27 25 $9,556.63
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $382.04 25 $9,550.88 $9,773.97 $-5.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.22 25 $9,480.50
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.28 25 $9,407.00 $9,700.47 $-73.50
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $377.48 25 $9,436.88
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET $379.15 25 $9,478.75 $9,742.34 +$41.87
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $379.80 25 $9,495.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $396.33 25 $9,908.13 $10,155.47 +$413.13
(+4.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $399.27 25 $9,981.75
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $401.30 25 $10,032.50 $10,206.22 +$50.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:40am ET $408.89 24 $9,813.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $410.35 24 $9,848.40 $10,241.26 +$35.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $405.17 25 $10,129.37
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $406.79 25 $10,169.75 $10,281.64 +$40.38
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $406.58 25 $10,164.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $408.03 25 $10,200.75 $10,317.89 +$36.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $408.14 25 $10,203.50
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $409.07 25 $10,226.75 $10,341.14 +$23.25
(+0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $404.57 25 $10,114.25
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $408.58 25 $10,214.50 $10,441.39 +$100.25
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.57 26 $10,440.82
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $403.03 26 $10,478.78 $10,479.35 +$37.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET $405.87 25 $10,146.75
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $407.77 25 $10,194.23 $10,526.83 +$47.48
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,526.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$526.83
Total Return: +5.27%
Back to Professor Mean