Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:19

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.0/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

60
+7.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.6 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,406.56
Current Value
$13,228.74
Period P&L
$822.18
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-1.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,008.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$822.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$822.18
Gross Return
+6.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,406.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $138.74 89 $12,347.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.27 89 $12,573.03 $12,631.72 +$225.16
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 105 $12,516.63
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $122.63 105 $12,876.15 $12,991.24 +$359.52
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $126.13 102 $12,865.26
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $125.07 102 $12,757.40 $12,883.38 $-107.86
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $125.99 102 $12,850.98
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $124.60 102 $12,708.69 $12,741.09 $-142.29
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $125.74 101 $12,699.86
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $125.14 101 $12,639.13 $12,680.36 $-60.73
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $122.79 103 $12,647.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $124.11 103 $12,783.33 $12,815.81 +$135.45
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 111 $12,748.77
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.56 111 $12,605.16 $12,672.20 $-143.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $122.99 103 $12,667.97
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $125.95 103 $12,972.85 $12,977.08 +$304.88
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $132.92 97 $12,893.24
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:00am ET $133.08 97 $12,908.73 $12,992.57 +$15.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $138.75 93 $12,903.75
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $139.38 93 $12,962.34 $13,051.16 +$58.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $146.58 89 $13,045.41
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $148.15 89 $13,185.35 $13,191.10 +$139.94
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $141.56 93 $13,165.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $142.40 93 $13,243.20 $13,269.22 +$78.12
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $143.92 92 $13,240.64
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:20am ET $143.48 92 $13,200.16 $13,228.74 $-40.48
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,228.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,228.74
Total Return: +32.29%
Back to Professor Mean