Compendium › Professor Mean › V
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
V
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 13 trades in period

-1.51%
Last Month Return
$10,081.12
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,235.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
2.1/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 15.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.5

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.5%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,235.92
Current Value
$10,081.12
Period P&L
$-154.76
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.89%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,346.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-154.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-154.76
Gross Return
-1.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,235.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $302.94 33 $9,997.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $303.48 33 $10,014.68 $10,253.54 +$17.66
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $301.34 34 $10,245.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $302.63 34 $10,289.42 $10,297.40 +$43.86
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $308.05 33 $10,165.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $304.89 33 $10,061.37 $10,193.29 $-104.11
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $306.75 33 $10,122.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $306.40 33 $10,111.20 $10,181.62 $-11.67
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $315.48 32 $10,095.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $315.65 32 $10,100.80 $10,186.90 +$5.28
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.17 32 $10,149.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $316.81 32 $10,137.92 $10,175.42 $-11.48
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $308.95 32 $9,886.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $310.47 32 $9,935.04 $10,224.06 +$48.64
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $305.79 33 $10,091.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $306.32 33 $10,108.40 $10,241.38 +$17.32
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 33 $10,133.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $309.80 33 $10,223.40 $10,331.14 +$89.76
(+0.9%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $312.27 33 $10,304.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $311.58 33 $10,282.17 $10,308.40 $-22.74
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $335.63 30 $10,068.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 30 $9,940.05 $10,179.55 $-128.85
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.36 30 $9,940.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $329.34 30 $9,880.20 $10,119.10 $-60.45
(-0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.17 31 $10,049.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:55am ET $322.95 31 $10,011.30 $10,081.12 $-37.98
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,081.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$81.12
Total Return: +0.81%
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