Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 35.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

41
+1.1%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.2 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,993.79
Current Value
$11,174.32
Period P&L
$180.57
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+0.56%
Worst Trade
-0.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
2.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,131.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$180.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$180.57
Gross Return
+1.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,993.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $603.00 18 $10,854.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $604.35 18 $10,878.30 $11,018.05 +$24.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $602.36 18 $10,842.57
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $604.92 18 $10,888.56 $11,064.04 +$45.99
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $625.34 17 $10,630.70
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $624.41 17 $10,614.95 $11,048.29 $-15.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $636.41 17 $10,818.97
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $637.47 17 $10,837.07 $11,066.40 +$18.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $642.26 17 $10,918.34
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $643.38 17 $10,937.46 $11,085.53 +$19.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $651.67 17 $11,078.39
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $652.28 17 $11,088.81 $11,095.95 +$10.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $650.26 17 $11,054.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $650.04 17 $11,050.76 $11,092.29 $-3.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $651.77 17 $11,080.13
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $650.97 17 $11,066.49 $11,078.65 $-13.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $655.18 16 $10,482.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $656.35 16 $10,501.60 $11,097.37 +$18.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $653.37 16 $10,453.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $653.76 16 $10,460.15 $11,103.60 +$6.23
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $663.22 16 $10,611.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $663.89 16 $10,622.24 $11,114.32 +$10.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $665.59 16 $10,649.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $669.34 16 $10,709.44 $11,174.32 +$60.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,174.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,174.32
Total Return: +11.74%
Back to Professor Mean