Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,213.68
Current Value
$10,227.08
Period P&L
$13.43
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-0.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$243,098.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$13.43
Gross Return
+0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,213.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.01 208 $10,194.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 208 $10,138.96 $10,158.53 $-55.12
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $47.04 215 $10,113.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $46.76 215 $10,054.47 $10,099.40 $-59.13
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $45.75 220 $10,065.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET $45.85 220 $10,088.10 $10,122.50 +$23.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $44.97 225 $10,117.13
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $45.09 225 $10,145.25 $10,150.63 +$28.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $46.38 218 $10,111.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $46.52 218 $10,141.36 $10,180.06 +$29.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $46.58 218 $10,153.35
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.53 218 $10,142.45 $10,169.16 $-10.90
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $45.92 221 $10,148.32
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $45.58 221 $10,072.08 $10,092.92 $-76.24
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.22 213 $10,056.80
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $47.28 213 $10,071.70 $10,107.83 +$14.91
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $47.28 213 $10,069.58
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $47.87 213 $10,195.25 $10,233.50 +$125.67
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $46.76 218 $10,192.59
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.50 218 $10,137.00 $10,177.91 $-55.59
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $47.90 212 $10,155.86
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.99 212 $10,173.88 $10,195.93 +$18.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $47.28 215 $10,164.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.42 215 $10,195.28 $10,227.08 +$31.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,227.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$227.08
Total Return: +2.27%
Back to Professor Mean