Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.3%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,221.18
Current Value
$9,253.90
Period P&L
$32.67
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+0.97%
Worst Trade
-2.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,685.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$32.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$32.67
Gross Return
+0.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,221.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $81.21 113 $9,177.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $81.44 113 $9,202.72 $9,246.66 +$25.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $85.83 107 $9,183.81
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $85.66 107 $9,165.62 $9,228.47 $-18.19
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.95 111 $9,207.45
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $82.29 111 $9,134.19 $9,155.21 $-73.26
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $80.40 113 $9,085.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $80.51 113 $9,098.19 $9,168.20 +$12.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.26 112 $9,101.12
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $81.91 112 $9,173.92 $9,241.00 +$72.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $81.92 112 $9,175.04
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.97 112 $9,180.64 $9,246.60 +$5.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $80.75 114 $9,204.93
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $80.94 114 $9,227.16 $9,268.83 +$22.23
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $79.98 115 $9,197.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $80.63 115 $9,272.45 $9,343.58 +$74.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.42 114 $9,281.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.50 114 $9,291.00 $9,352.70 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $80.77 115 $9,288.55
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $81.55 115 $9,378.25 $9,442.40 +$89.70
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $81.24 116 $9,423.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.61 116 $9,234.76 $9,253.90 $-188.50
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,253.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-746.10
Total Return: -7.46%
Back to Professor Mean