Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:06:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 38.4

30-Day Momentum

19
-0.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,678.64
Current Value
$11,629.88
Period P&L
$-48.71
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+0.63%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
58m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$275,624.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-48.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-48.71
Gross Return
-0.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,678.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $126.23 92 $11,613.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $123.39 92 $11,351.88 $11,417.31 $-261.28
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $129.05 88 $11,356.84
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $129.43 88 $11,389.84 $11,450.31 +$33.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $126.34 90 $11,370.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.62 90 $11,395.80 $11,475.51 +$25.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $122.66 93 $11,407.38 $11,468.07 $-7.44
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $123.51 92 $11,362.92
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $123.99 92 $11,407.08 $11,512.23 +$44.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $124.67 92 $11,469.64
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.83 92 $11,484.36 $11,526.95 +$14.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $128.06 90 $11,525.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.99 90 $11,519.10 $11,520.65 $-6.30
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $129.07 89 $11,487.23
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $129.68 89 $11,541.51 $11,574.93 +$54.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:20am ET $130.79 88 $11,509.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $131.61 88 $11,581.68 $11,647.53 +$72.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $129.52 89 $11,527.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $130.02 89 $11,571.78 $11,692.03 +$44.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.92 91 $11,640.72
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $127.15 91 $11,570.65 $11,621.96 $-70.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $131.35 88 $11,558.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $131.44 88 $11,566.72 $11,629.88 +$7.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,629.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,629.88
Total Return: +16.30%
Back to Professor Mean