AAPL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+3.54%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,230.49
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,846.17
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,519
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,846.17
Current Value
$11,230.49
Period P&L
$384.33
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+1.47%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
12.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$823,125.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$384.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$384.33
Gross Return
+3.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,846.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $269.94 | 40 | $10,797.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:50am ET | $272.58 | 40 | $10,903.20 | $10,951.95 |
+$105.80 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $266.79 | 41 | $10,938.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $268.42 | 41 | $11,005.22 | $11,018.98 |
+$67.03 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $267.87 | 41 | $10,982.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET | $268.59 | 41 | $11,011.99 | $11,048.30 |
+$29.31 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $268.60 | 41 | $11,012.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.55 | 41 | $11,174.35 | $11,210.04 |
+$161.75 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $271.37 | 41 | $11,126.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $275.05 | 41 | $11,277.05 | $11,360.92 |
+$150.88 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET | $277.84 | 40 | $11,113.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET | $278.66 | 40 | $11,146.40 | $11,393.72 |
+$32.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $278.50 | 40 | $11,140.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 2:50pm ET | $278.36 | 40 | $11,134.40 | $11,388.12 |
$-5.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:15pm ET | $285.18 | 39 | $11,122.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:50pm ET | $280.43 | 39 | $10,936.81 | $11,202.91 |
$-185.21 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:00pm ET | $278.61 | 40 | $11,144.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $279.13 | 40 | $11,165.20 | $11,223.71 |
+$20.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $278.13 | 40 | $11,125.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $277.83 | 40 | $11,113.20 | $11,211.91 |
$-11.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $275.31 | 40 | $11,012.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $276.34 | 40 | $11,053.60 | $11,253.29 |
+$41.38 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET | $278.04 | 40 | $11,121.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET | $278.38 | 40 | $11,135.20 | $11,267.09 |
+$13.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.68 | 41 | $11,179.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $273.49 | 41 | $11,213.09 | $11,300.51 |
+$33.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $273.85 | 41 | $11,227.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $273.28 | 41 | $11,204.48 | $11,277.14 |
$-23.37 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:20pm ET | $270.44 | 41 | $11,088.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $271.33 | 41 | $11,124.53 | $11,313.61 |
+$36.47 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET | $271.49 | 41 | $11,131.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:30pm ET | $270.98 | 41 | $11,110.13 | $11,292.65 |
$-20.96 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $274.23 | 41 | $11,243.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $275.05 | 41 | $11,277.05 | $11,326.27 |
+$33.62 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.82 | 41 | $11,185.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $273.16 | 41 | $11,199.56 | $11,340.27 |
+$14.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:05pm ET | $272.33 | 41 | $11,165.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:40pm ET | $272.71 | 41 | $11,181.11 | $11,355.85 |
+$15.58 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.27 | 42 | $11,267.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $268.07 | 42 | $11,258.94 | $11,347.33 |
$-8.53 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $263.96 | 42 | $11,086.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $262.98 | 42 | $11,045.16 | $11,306.17 |
$-41.16 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $261.37 | 43 | $11,238.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $261.98 | 43 | $11,264.93 | $11,332.18 |
+$26.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET | $256.58 | 44 | $11,289.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $257.02 | 44 | $11,308.88 | $11,351.54 |
+$19.36 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $259.26 | 43 | $11,148.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.03 | 43 | $11,095.29 | $11,298.65 |
$-52.89 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.73 | 43 | $11,168.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.62 | 43 | $11,249.66 | $11,379.92 |
+$81.27 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $258.18 | 44 | $11,359.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $257.53 | 44 | $11,331.32 | $11,351.32 |
$-28.60 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $258.40 | 43 | $11,111.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $257.90 | 43 | $11,089.70 | $11,329.82 |
$-21.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.42 | 44 | $11,238.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.07 | 44 | $11,179.08 | $11,270.42 |
$-59.40 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $249.54 | 45 | $11,229.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.32 | 45 | $11,084.18 | $11,125.52 |
$-144.90 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $254.29 | 43 | $10,934.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $254.65 | 43 | $10,949.95 | $11,141.00 |
+$15.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $260.26 | 42 | $10,930.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $258.27 | 42 | $10,847.34 | $11,057.63 |
$-83.37 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $255.14 | 43 | $10,971.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $256.15 | 43 | $11,014.45 | $11,101.06 |
+$43.43 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $274.57 | 40 | $10,982.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $276.12 | 40 | $11,044.80 | $11,163.06 |
+$62.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $275.45 | 40 | $11,018.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.53 | 40 | $11,141.20 | $11,286.26 |
+$123.20 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.84 | 41 | $11,268.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $273.57 | 41 | $11,216.37 | $11,234.19 |
$-52.07 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $273.64 | 41 | $11,219.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $273.70 | 41 | $11,221.74 | $11,236.49 |
+$2.30 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:45pm ET | $276.29 | 40 | $11,051.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $276.14 | 40 | $11,045.60 | $11,230.49 |
$-6.00 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,230.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,230.49
Total Return:
+12.30%