ABBV Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+0.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,242.62
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,201.55
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
15.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.8
30-Day Momentum
16
-0.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,795
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,201.55
Current Value
$9,242.62
Period P&L
$41.06
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+1.50%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,801.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$41.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$41.06
Gross Return
+0.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,201.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.35 | 41 | $9,116.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $221.44 | 41 | $9,079.04 | $9,164.46 |
$-37.10 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $223.37 | 41 | $9,157.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.86 | 41 | $9,014.26 | $9,020.75 |
$-143.71 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $231.46 | 38 | $8,795.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $232.46 | 38 | $8,833.67 | $9,058.94 |
+$38.19 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $226.23 | 40 | $9,049.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $226.93 | 40 | $9,077.20 | $9,086.94 |
+$28.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:15pm ET | $223.72 | 40 | $8,948.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $224.32 | 40 | $8,972.80 | $9,110.94 |
+$24.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $225.52 | 40 | $9,021.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.91 | 40 | $9,156.40 | $9,246.34 |
+$135.40 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $229.36 | 40 | $9,174.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $226.88 | 40 | $9,075.20 | $9,147.14 |
$-99.20 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $224.56 | 40 | $8,982.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.13 | 40 | $9,085.20 | $9,249.94 |
+$102.80 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $232.61 | 39 | $9,071.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $233.27 | 39 | $9,097.53 | $9,275.57 |
+$25.63 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.76 | 39 | $9,116.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $229.68 | 39 | $8,957.52 | $9,116.45 |
$-159.12 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.33 | 40 | $9,093.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $225.81 | 40 | $9,032.40 | $9,055.65 |
$-60.80 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $226.55 | 39 | $8,835.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $227.10 | 39 | $8,857.09 | $9,077.29 |
+$21.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.26 | 40 | $8,970.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $227.46 | 40 | $9,098.40 | $9,205.29 |
+$128.00 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $224.37 | 41 | $9,198.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $223.51 | 41 | $9,164.11 | $9,170.44 |
$-34.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $221.37 | 41 | $9,076.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.75 | 41 | $9,091.75 | $9,186.02 |
+$15.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $220.24 | 41 | $9,029.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.91 | 41 | $8,893.51 | $9,049.69 |
$-136.33 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $206.71 | 43 | $8,888.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $206.02 | 43 | $8,858.86 | $9,020.02 |
$-29.67 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $204.15 | 44 | $8,982.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $204.79 | 44 | $9,010.76 | $9,047.96 |
+$27.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $204.30 | 44 | $8,989.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.13 | 44 | $9,113.50 | $9,172.26 |
+$124.30 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $210.66 | 43 | $9,058.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $211.10 | 43 | $9,077.30 | $9,191.18 |
+$18.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $210.48 | 43 | $9,050.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.76 | 43 | $9,148.68 | $9,289.22 |
+$98.04 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $215.89 | 43 | $9,283.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $216.65 | 43 | $9,315.95 | $9,321.90 |
+$32.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.65 | 43 | $9,187.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.65 | 43 | $9,187.16 | $9,321.90 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $205.76 | 45 | $9,259.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $205.91 | 45 | $9,265.95 | $9,328.43 |
+$6.53 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $209.96 | 44 | $9,238.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $211.53 | 44 | $9,307.32 | $9,397.51 |
+$69.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $211.64 | 44 | $9,312.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $209.17 | 44 | $9,203.48 | $9,288.83 |
$-108.68 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $207.91 | 44 | $9,147.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $208.26 | 44 | $9,163.22 | $9,304.12 |
+$15.29 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $208.26 | 44 | $9,163.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $208.75 | 44 | $9,185.00 | $9,325.46 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.57 | 45 | $9,295.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $206.22 | 45 | $9,279.90 | $9,309.71 |
$-15.75 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $204.41 | 45 | $9,198.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $201.55 | 45 | $9,069.75 | $9,180.79 |
$-128.92 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.00 | 45 | $9,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $198.48 | 45 | $8,931.38 | $9,112.17 |
$-68.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.82 | 46 | $9,053.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.76 | 46 | $9,097.19 | $9,155.41 |
+$43.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $196.03 | 46 | $9,017.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $197.50 | 46 | $9,085.00 | $9,223.03 |
+$67.62 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.03 | 43 | $9,031.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $210.02 | 43 | $9,030.86 | $9,222.60 |
$-0.43 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $206.45 | 44 | $9,083.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $206.90 | 44 | $9,103.82 | $9,242.62 |
+$20.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,242.62
Net Profit/Loss:
$-757.38
Total Return:
-7.57%