Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,028.67
Current Value
$8,581.64
Period P&L
$-446.98
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 / 15
Best Trade
+1.66%
Worst Trade
-4.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$640,736.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-446.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-446.98
Gross Return
-4.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,028.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $237.36 38 $9,019.68
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $238.13 38 $9,048.94 $9,057.88 +$29.26
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $235.65 38 $8,954.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $238.89 38 $9,077.82 $9,181.00 +$123.12
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $236.29 38 $8,978.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $230.45 38 $8,757.10 $8,959.27 $-221.73
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $221.82 40 $8,872.80
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET $220.35 40 $8,814.20 $8,900.67 $-58.60
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $222.87 39 $8,691.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $223.66 39 $8,722.74 $8,931.48 +$30.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $212.89 41 $8,728.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $213.18 41 $8,740.38 $8,943.32 +$11.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $206.56 43 $8,882.08
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $203.69 43 $8,758.67 $8,819.91 $-123.41
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $189.24 46 $8,705.04
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:50am ET $192.39 46 $8,849.94 $8,964.81 +$144.90
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $204.22 43 $8,781.46
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $203.51 43 $8,750.72 $8,934.07 $-30.74
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $206.51 43 $8,879.93
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET $205.35 43 $8,829.84 $8,883.98 $-50.09
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $209.08 42 $8,781.36
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.80 42 $8,895.60 $8,998.22 +$114.24
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $213.46 42 $8,965.53
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET $214.60 42 $9,013.20 $9,045.89 +$47.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $207.99 43 $8,943.36
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $207.07 43 $8,904.22 $9,006.76 $-39.13
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $199.68 45 $8,985.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $200.35 45 $9,015.75 $9,036.91 +$30.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $195.66 46 $9,000.36
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $196.40 46 $9,034.40 $9,070.95 +$34.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $199.65 45 $8,984.03
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $200.10 45 $9,004.28 $9,091.20 +$20.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $196.29 46 $9,029.34
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $187.00 46 $8,602.00 $8,663.86 $-427.34
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 43 $8,558.51
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.97 43 $8,598.71 $8,704.06 +$40.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $200.84 43 $8,635.91
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 43 $8,344.36 $8,412.52 $-291.54
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $191.65 43 $8,241.16
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $194.51 43 $8,363.72 $8,535.07 +$122.55
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $195.63 43 $8,412.09
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $195.56 43 $8,409.08 $8,532.06 $-3.01
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $196.07 43 $8,431.01
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $196.74 43 $8,460.03 $8,561.08 +$29.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 43 $8,393.17
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $196.75 43 $8,460.25 $8,628.16 +$67.08
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.16 43 $8,477.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $199.45 43 $8,576.35 $8,726.63 +$98.47
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $197.08 44 $8,671.52
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $197.92 44 $8,708.48 $8,763.59 +$36.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $190.74 45 $8,583.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.39 45 $8,342.55 $8,522.62 $-240.97
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 44 $8,367.92
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.68 44 $8,390.14 $8,544.84 +$22.22
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $194.48 43 $8,362.64
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.96 43 $8,426.49 $8,608.70 +$63.86
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $196.63 43 $8,454.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $196.90 43 $8,466.91 $8,620.69 +$11.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $196.35 43 $8,443.05
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $196.10 43 $8,432.30 $8,609.94 $-10.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 47 $8,484.53
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $179.98 47 $8,459.06 $8,584.47 $-25.47
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 48 $8,455.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $175.91 48 $8,443.68 $8,572.95 $-11.52
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $179.24 47 $8,424.28
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.99 47 $8,459.53 $8,608.20 +$35.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.82 48 $8,583.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $179.45 48 $8,613.36 $8,638.20 +$30.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $178.10 48 $8,548.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET $177.28 48 $8,509.44 $8,598.84 $-39.36
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
36 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $179.41 47 $8,432.27
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $178.85 47 $8,405.95 $8,572.52 $-26.32
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
37 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $175.95 48 $8,445.36
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $176.14 48 $8,454.48 $8,581.64 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,581.64
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,418.36
Total Return: -14.18%
Back to Professor Mean