ARKK Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 38 trades in period
+3.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,912.73
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$10,578.76
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,103
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,578.76
Current Value
$10,912.73
Period P&L
$333.98
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
25 /
13
Best Trade
+1.76%
Worst Trade
-1.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$820,988.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$333.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$333.98
Gross Return
+3.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,578.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $76.86 | 137 | $10,529.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $76.17 | 137 | $10,435.29 | $10,484.85 |
$-93.91 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $74.26 | 141 | $10,470.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $74.32 | 141 | $10,479.12 | $10,493.31 |
+$8.46 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $73.54 | 142 | $10,442.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $74.00 | 142 | $10,508.00 | $10,558.63 |
+$65.32 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET | $71.73 | 147 | $10,544.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.52 | 147 | $10,660.44 | $10,674.76 |
+$116.13 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $75.99 | 140 | $10,638.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $75.23 | 140 | $10,532.20 | $10,568.36 |
$-106.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $78.48 | 134 | $10,516.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $79.01 | 134 | $10,587.34 | $10,639.38 |
+$71.02 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $77.93 | 136 | $10,598.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:10pm ET | $78.01 | 136 | $10,609.36 | $10,650.42 |
+$11.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $78.54 | 135 | $10,602.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $78.78 | 135 | $10,635.30 | $10,683.50 |
+$33.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $80.30 | 133 | $10,679.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $80.10 | 133 | $10,652.64 | $10,656.23 |
$-27.26 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:55am ET | $81.69 | 130 | $10,619.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $81.98 | 130 | $10,657.40 | $10,693.93 |
+$37.70 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:40pm ET | $82.65 | 129 | $10,661.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:55pm ET | $82.88 | 129 | $10,691.52 | $10,723.60 |
+$29.67 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $82.07 | 130 | $10,669.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:40am ET | $81.82 | 130 | $10,635.96 | $10,690.47 |
$-33.14 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET | $80.45 | 132 | $10,618.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $80.25 | 132 | $10,593.00 | $10,664.73 |
$-25.74 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $78.97 | 135 | $10,661.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $79.38 | 135 | $10,715.63 | $10,719.13 |
+$54.41 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $79.01 | 135 | $10,666.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.40 | 135 | $10,854.00 | $10,906.78 |
+$187.65 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:55pm ET | $80.05 | 136 | $10,886.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:10pm ET | $80.28 | 136 | $10,917.40 | $10,937.38 |
+$30.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET | $81.66 | 133 | $10,860.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.62 | 133 | $10,722.46 | $10,799.06 |
$-138.32 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $79.96 | 135 | $10,794.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $80.23 | 135 | $10,831.05 | $10,835.51 |
+$36.45 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:50pm ET | $79.77 | 135 | $10,768.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $79.82 | 135 | $10,775.70 | $10,842.94 |
+$7.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $78.42 | 138 | $10,821.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $78.68 | 138 | $10,857.84 | $10,878.82 |
+$35.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $77.45 | 140 | $10,843.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:25am ET | $77.63 | 140 | $10,867.50 | $10,903.32 |
+$24.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $80.74 | 135 | $10,899.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $81.03 | 135 | $10,939.05 | $10,942.47 |
+$39.15 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $81.36 | 134 | $10,902.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $81.50 | 134 | $10,921.00 | $10,961.23 |
+$18.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $80.53 | 136 | $10,951.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $80.60 | 136 | $10,961.60 | $10,971.43 |
+$10.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $82.03 | 133 | $10,909.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $82.21 | 133 | $10,933.27 | $10,994.70 |
+$23.27 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $82.66 | 133 | $10,993.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $83.31 | 133 | $11,080.23 | $11,081.15 |
+$86.45 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $82.92 | 133 | $11,028.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $82.51 | 133 | $10,973.83 | $11,026.62 |
$-54.53 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $79.73 | 138 | $11,002.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.64 | 138 | $10,989.63 | $11,013.51 |
$-13.11 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $82.06 | 134 | $10,996.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.61 | 134 | $10,935.74 | $10,953.21 |
$-60.30 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.83 | 137 | $10,936.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $80.68 | 137 | $11,053.16 | $11,069.66 |
+$116.45 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $79.43 | 139 | $11,040.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $79.33 | 139 | $11,026.87 | $11,055.76 |
$-13.90 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $77.07 | 143 | $11,021.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $77.27 | 143 | $11,048.90 | $11,083.65 |
+$27.89 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.28 | 149 | $11,067.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $74.74 | 149 | $11,135.52 | $11,151.44 |
+$67.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $73.44 | 151 | $11,089.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $72.60 | 151 | $10,962.60 | $11,024.60 |
$-126.84 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.73 | 160 | $10,996.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $67.72 | 160 | $10,835.20 | $10,863.00 |
$-161.60 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $69.92 | 155 | $10,836.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $70.08 | 155 | $10,862.40 | $10,888.58 |
+$25.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $72.43 | 150 | $10,863.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.89 | 150 | $10,933.50 | $10,958.33 |
+$69.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.68 | 152 | $10,895.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.38 | 152 | $10,849.76 | $10,912.73 |
$-45.60 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,912.73
Net Profit/Loss:
+$912.73
Total Return:
+9.13%