AVGO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+9.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,428.65
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$12,265.99
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
38.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 37.6
30-Day Momentum
21
+1.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,265.99
Current Value
$13,428.65
Period P&L
$1,162.64
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
25 /
11
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-2.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$908,971.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,162.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,162.64
Gross Return
+9.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,265.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $318.57 | 38 | $12,105.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $320.20 | 38 | $12,167.60 | $12,327.95 |
+$61.94 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.52 | 39 | $12,071.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 39 | $11,887.59 | $12,144.07 |
$-183.88 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $300.20 | 40 | $12,008.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $296.88 | 40 | $11,875.20 | $12,011.27 |
$-132.80 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $312.77 | 38 | $11,885.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $312.87 | 38 | $11,889.06 | $12,015.07 |
+$3.80 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $310.76 | 38 | $11,808.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $313.54 | 38 | $11,914.33 | $12,120.52 |
+$105.45 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $328.82 | 36 | $11,837.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $332.10 | 36 | $11,955.42 | $12,238.42 |
+$117.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.63 | 34 | $12,125.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $357.67 | 34 | $12,160.61 | $12,273.61 |
+$35.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $372.24 | 32 | $11,911.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.36 | 32 | $11,851.36 | $12,213.13 |
$-60.48 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.70 | 32 | $12,054.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $379.41 | 32 | $12,141.12 | $12,299.96 |
+$86.83 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $392.36 | 31 | $12,163.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $393.92 | 31 | $12,211.52 | $12,348.48 |
+$48.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $396.52 | 31 | $12,292.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $397.10 | 31 | $12,310.10 | $12,366.46 |
+$17.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $399.70 | 30 | $11,991.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.98 | 30 | $12,209.40 | $12,584.76 |
+$218.30 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $424.93 | 29 | $12,323.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $422.38 | 29 | $12,248.88 | $12,510.52 |
$-74.24 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.46 | 29 | $12,193.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $417.26 | 29 | $12,100.54 | $12,417.72 |
$-92.80 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $399.65 | 31 | $12,389.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.08 | 31 | $12,495.63 | $12,524.20 |
+$106.48 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $420.00 | 29 | $12,180.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.59 | 29 | $12,139.11 | $12,483.31 |
$-40.89 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $428.83 | 29 | $12,436.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $435.04 | 29 | $12,616.16 | $12,663.40 |
+$180.09 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $418.61 | 30 | $12,558.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $420.74 | 30 | $12,622.20 | $12,727.30 |
+$63.90 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $428.43 | 29 | $12,424.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $429.86 | 29 | $12,465.94 | $12,768.77 |
+$41.47 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $410.73 | 31 | $12,732.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $412.96 | 31 | $12,801.76 | $12,838.05 |
+$69.28 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.81 | 30 | $12,774.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $425.90 | 30 | $12,776.88 | $12,840.63 |
+$2.58 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $415.20 | 30 | $12,456.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:45pm ET | $418.37 | 30 | $12,551.10 | $12,935.73 |
+$95.10 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $409.51 | 31 | $12,694.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $412.80 | 31 | $12,796.95 | $13,037.87 |
+$102.14 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.73 | 31 | $12,825.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $419.28 | 31 | $12,997.68 | $13,210.08 |
+$172.21 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $411.73 | 32 | $13,175.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $413.17 | 32 | $13,221.44 | $13,256.16 |
+$46.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $417.01 | 31 | $12,927.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $421.43 | 31 | $13,064.33 | $13,393.33 |
+$137.17 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $437.58 | 30 | $13,127.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $436.42 | 30 | $13,092.60 | $13,358.53 |
$-34.80 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $457.67 | 29 | $13,272.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.34 | 29 | $14,161.86 | $14,247.96 |
+$889.43 (+6.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $485.34 | 29 | $14,074.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $478.07 | 29 | $13,864.03 | $14,037.13 |
$-210.83 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.00 | 34 | $13,735.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $395.64 | 34 | $13,451.76 | $13,752.94 |
$-284.19 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.23 | 36 | $13,724.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $375.90 | 36 | $13,532.40 | $13,561.24 |
$-191.70 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $379.76 | 35 | $13,291.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $381.27 | 35 | $13,344.45 | $13,614.26 |
+$53.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.88 | 34 | $13,255.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $379.77 | 34 | $12,912.18 | $13,270.52 |
$-343.74 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $395.78 | 33 | $13,060.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $397.57 | 33 | $13,119.65 | $13,329.43 |
+$58.91 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $406.83 | 32 | $13,018.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $408.10 | 32 | $13,059.04 | $13,369.91 |
+$40.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $393.89 | 33 | $12,998.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $395.67 | 33 | $13,057.11 | $13,428.65 |
+$58.74 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,428.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,428.65
Total Return:
+34.29%