AVGO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 36 trades in period
+12.75%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,483.31
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$11,071.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
33.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 32.6
30-Day Momentum
49
+3.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,071.44
Current Value
$12,483.31
Period P&L
$1,411.85
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
23 /
13
Best Trade
+3.38%
Worst Trade
-2.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$862,372.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,411.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,411.85
Gross Return
+12.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,071.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $313.77 | 36 | $11,295.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.78 | 36 | $11,548.08 | $11,616.86 |
+$252.36 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $344.93 | 33 | $11,382.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $344.34 | 33 | $11,363.22 | $11,597.39 |
$-19.47 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $336.86 | 34 | $11,453.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $339.20 | 34 | $11,532.80 | $11,676.95 |
+$79.56 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.55 | 36 | $11,503.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $325.63 | 36 | $11,722.68 | $11,895.83 |
+$218.88 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $334.60 | 35 | $11,711.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $335.30 | 35 | $11,735.50 | $11,920.33 |
+$24.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $331.08 | 36 | $11,918.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $333.14 | 36 | $11,992.92 | $11,994.37 |
+$74.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $329.87 | 36 | $11,875.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $331.93 | 36 | $11,949.48 | $12,068.53 |
+$74.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $323.59 | 37 | $11,972.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $324.71 | 37 | $12,014.27 | $12,109.97 |
+$41.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $331.18 | 36 | $11,922.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.21 | 36 | $11,599.74 | $11,787.05 |
$-322.92 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.38 | 37 | $11,483.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $317.61 | 37 | $11,751.57 | $12,054.74 |
+$267.69 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $314.66 | 38 | $11,957.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $316.33 | 38 | $12,020.54 | $12,118.20 |
+$63.46 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $319.02 | 37 | $11,803.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.82 | 37 | $12,203.16 | $12,517.71 |
+$399.51 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $338.12 | 37 | $12,510.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $331.52 | 37 | $12,266.24 | $12,273.68 |
$-244.03 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $342.60 | 35 | $11,991.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $342.60 | 35 | $11,990.83 | $12,273.50 |
$-0.18 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.22 | 36 | $12,139.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $334.55 | 36 | $12,043.80 | $12,177.38 |
$-96.12 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $322.33 | 37 | $11,926.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $324.05 | 37 | $11,989.85 | $12,241.20 |
+$63.82 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $326.65 | 37 | $12,086.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $328.63 | 37 | $12,159.31 | $12,314.46 |
+$73.26 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $317.85 | 38 | $12,078.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $318.41 | 38 | $12,099.58 | $12,335.74 |
+$21.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $317.17 | 38 | $12,052.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $316.00 | 38 | $12,008.00 | $12,291.47 |
$-44.27 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $321.64 | 38 | $12,222.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $320.97 | 38 | $12,196.86 | $12,266.01 |
$-25.46 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $318.57 | 38 | $12,105.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $320.20 | 38 | $12,167.60 | $12,327.95 |
+$61.94 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.52 | 39 | $12,071.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 39 | $11,887.59 | $12,144.07 |
$-183.88 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $300.20 | 40 | $12,008.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $296.88 | 40 | $11,875.20 | $12,011.27 |
$-132.80 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $312.77 | 38 | $11,885.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $312.87 | 38 | $11,889.06 | $12,015.07 |
+$3.80 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $310.76 | 38 | $11,808.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $313.54 | 38 | $11,914.33 | $12,120.52 |
+$105.45 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $328.82 | 36 | $11,837.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $332.10 | 36 | $11,955.42 | $12,238.42 |
+$117.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.63 | 34 | $12,125.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $357.67 | 34 | $12,160.61 | $12,273.61 |
+$35.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $372.24 | 32 | $11,911.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.36 | 32 | $11,851.36 | $12,213.13 |
$-60.48 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.70 | 32 | $12,054.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $379.41 | 32 | $12,141.12 | $12,299.96 |
+$86.83 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $392.36 | 31 | $12,163.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $393.92 | 31 | $12,211.52 | $12,348.48 |
+$48.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $396.52 | 31 | $12,292.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $397.10 | 31 | $12,310.10 | $12,366.46 |
+$17.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $399.70 | 30 | $11,991.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.98 | 30 | $12,209.40 | $12,584.76 |
+$218.30 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $424.93 | 29 | $12,323.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $422.38 | 29 | $12,248.88 | $12,510.52 |
$-74.24 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.46 | 29 | $12,193.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $417.26 | 29 | $12,100.54 | $12,417.72 |
$-92.80 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $399.65 | 31 | $12,389.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.08 | 31 | $12,495.63 | $12,524.20 |
+$106.48 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $420.00 | 29 | $12,180.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.59 | 29 | $12,139.11 | $12,483.31 |
$-40.89 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,483.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,483.31
Total Return:
+24.83%