AXP Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+1.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,089.69
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,905.44
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,923
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
70 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,905.44
Current Value
$11,089.69
Period P&L
$184.34
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 /
16
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-0.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$802,767.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$184.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$184.34
Gross Return
+1.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 70 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,905.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:15pm ET | $357.79 | 30 | $10,733.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $357.68 | 30 | $10,730.40 | $10,902.22 |
$-3.15 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $335.49 | 32 | $10,735.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $336.03 | 32 | $10,752.96 | $10,919.49 |
+$17.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $341.73 | 31 | $10,593.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $342.61 | 31 | $10,620.91 | $10,946.93 |
+$27.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $342.50 | 31 | $10,617.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $346.89 | 31 | $10,753.44 | $11,082.86 |
+$135.94 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $350.68 | 31 | $10,871.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $354.02 | 31 | $10,974.62 | $11,186.40 |
+$103.54 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET | $365.33 | 30 | $10,959.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $364.12 | 30 | $10,923.60 | $11,150.10 |
$-36.30 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:35pm ET | $364.06 | 30 | $10,921.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 1:40pm ET | $364.39 | 30 | $10,931.70 | $11,160.00 |
+$9.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $361.75 | 30 | $10,852.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $363.40 | 30 | $10,901.85 | $11,209.35 |
+$49.35 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $371.71 | 30 | $11,151.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $370.93 | 30 | $11,127.75 | $11,185.80 |
$-23.55 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET | $370.85 | 30 | $11,125.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $370.21 | 30 | $11,106.30 | $11,166.60 |
$-19.20 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $365.94 | 30 | $10,978.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $363.99 | 30 | $10,919.55 | $11,107.95 |
$-58.65 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $382.53 | 29 | $11,093.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:35pm ET | $380.30 | 29 | $11,028.70 | $11,043.40 |
$-64.55 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $380.69 | 29 | $11,039.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 11:30am ET | $382.11 | 29 | $11,081.19 | $11,084.72 |
+$41.33 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $376.95 | 29 | $10,931.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $377.22 | 29 | $10,939.38 | $11,092.63 |
+$7.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $374.95 | 29 | $10,873.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:50am ET | $375.05 | 29 | $10,876.45 | $11,095.67 |
+$3.05 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $380.66 | 29 | $11,039.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:35pm ET | $381.15 | 29 | $11,053.35 | $11,109.96 |
+$14.29 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $382.49 | 29 | $11,092.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $380.80 | 29 | $11,043.20 | $11,061.10 |
$-48.87 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $380.63 | 29 | $11,038.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:50pm ET | $381.09 | 29 | $11,051.47 | $11,074.44 |
+$13.34 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $375.40 | 29 | $10,886.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $373.40 | 29 | $10,828.60 | $11,016.44 |
$-58.00 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $372.72 | 29 | $10,808.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $371.79 | 29 | $10,781.91 | $10,989.47 |
$-26.97 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $369.17 | 29 | $10,705.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $370.56 | 29 | $10,746.24 | $11,029.78 |
+$40.31 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $381.29 | 28 | $10,675.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $379.01 | 28 | $10,612.24 | $10,966.03 |
$-63.74 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $380.68 | 28 | $10,659.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $379.36 | 28 | $10,622.08 | $10,929.07 |
$-36.96 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $379.74 | 28 | $10,632.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $380.33 | 28 | $10,649.24 | $10,945.66 |
+$16.59 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $358.85 | 30 | $10,765.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $357.83 | 30 | $10,734.90 | $10,915.06 |
$-30.60 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.27 | 30 | $10,658.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $352.60 | 30 | $10,577.85 | $10,834.81 |
$-80.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $356.85 | 30 | $10,705.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $357.45 | 30 | $10,723.50 | $10,852.96 |
+$18.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.35 | 30 | $10,720.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $360.68 | 30 | $10,820.40 | $10,952.86 |
+$99.90 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.48 | 30 | $10,844.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $360.16 | 30 | $10,804.80 | $10,913.26 |
$-39.60 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $361.09 | 30 | $10,832.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $361.53 | 30 | $10,845.90 | $10,926.46 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $360.01 | 30 | $10,800.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $360.38 | 30 | $10,811.40 | $10,937.71 |
+$11.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $356.70 | 30 | $10,701.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $358.40 | 30 | $10,751.85 | $10,988.56 |
+$50.85 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $350.82 | 31 | $10,875.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $352.62 | 31 | $10,931.22 | $11,044.36 |
+$55.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $350.99 | 31 | $10,880.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $348.55 | 31 | $10,805.05 | $10,968.72 |
$-75.64 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.07 | 31 | $10,883.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $354.89 | 31 | $11,001.44 | $11,086.99 |
+$118.27 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $359.89 | 30 | $10,796.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $360.32 | 30 | $10,809.45 | $11,099.89 |
+$12.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $360.37 | 30 | $10,811.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $360.03 | 30 | $10,800.90 | $11,089.69 |
$-10.20 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,089.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,089.69
Total Return:
+10.90%