Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:25:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.0

30-Day Momentum

24
+1.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,887
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,148.60
Current Value
$9,375.67
Period P&L
$227.11
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 / 16
Best Trade
+1.33%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$702,506.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$227.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$227.11
Gross Return
+2.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,148.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $182.70 50 $9,135.01
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $183.98 50 $9,199.00 $9,212.55 +$63.99
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $190.38 48 $9,138.45
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET $188.01 48 $9,024.48 $9,098.58 $-113.97
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $187.15 48 $8,983.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $187.25 48 $8,988.00 $9,103.38 +$4.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $182.65 49 $8,949.85
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $183.40 49 $8,986.60 $9,140.13 +$36.75
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $176.41 51 $8,996.91
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $173.54 51 $8,850.54 $8,993.76 $-146.37
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $176.62 50 $8,830.75
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET $177.04 50 $8,852.00 $9,015.01 +$21.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $173.35 52 $9,013.94
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $173.23 52 $9,007.96 $9,009.03 $-5.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $179.42 50 $8,971.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.80 50 $8,940.00 $8,978.03 $-31.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $178.36 50 $8,918.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $177.34 50 $8,867.00 $8,927.03 $-51.00
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $176.69 50 $8,834.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $176.66 50 $8,833.00 $8,925.53 $-1.50
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.36 48 $8,753.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $181.91 48 $8,731.92 $8,904.17 $-21.36
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $189.93 46 $8,736.78
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.46 46 $8,761.15 $8,928.54 +$24.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $187.98 47 $8,835.06
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $187.99 47 $8,835.30 $8,928.78 +$0.24
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $183.65 48 $8,815.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $183.36 48 $8,801.28 $8,914.62 $-14.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $182.74 48 $8,771.52
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $183.12 48 $8,789.52 $8,932.62 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $192.80 46 $8,869.03
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:30am ET $191.36 46 $8,802.56 $8,866.15 $-66.47
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $187.29 47 $8,802.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $187.05 47 $8,791.35 $8,854.87 $-11.28
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $186.45 47 $8,762.92
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $187.01 47 $8,789.24 $8,881.19 +$26.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $188.52 47 $8,860.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $189.52 47 $8,907.44 $8,928.19 +$47.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $192.92 46 $8,874.32
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $193.55 46 $8,903.30 $8,957.17 +$28.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $197.00 45 $8,865.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $197.63 45 $8,893.35 $8,985.52 +$28.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
22 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.90 45 $8,950.72
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $199.85 45 $8,993.25 $9,028.05 +$42.53
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
23 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $192.26 46 $8,843.96
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $192.07 46 $8,835.45 $9,019.54 $-8.51
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
24 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $191.30 47 $8,991.10
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $193.13 47 $9,076.88 $9,105.31 +$85.77
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $191.63 47 $9,006.61
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $191.81 47 $9,015.07 $9,113.77 +$8.46
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $188.13 48 $9,030.24
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $189.29 48 $9,085.92 $9,169.45 +$55.68
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
27 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $192.88 47 $9,065.36
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $193.54 47 $9,096.38 $9,200.47 +$31.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $198.48 46 $9,130.08
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $198.34 46 $9,123.41 $9,193.80 $-6.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $196.59 46 $9,042.91
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $197.28 46 $9,074.88 $9,225.77 +$31.97
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $192.28 47 $9,037.16
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $192.67 47 $9,055.49 $9,244.10 +$18.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $187.48 49 $9,186.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $189.97 49 $9,308.53 $9,366.11 +$122.01
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $197.96 47 $9,304.12
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $198.55 47 $9,332.08 $9,394.07 +$27.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $198.71 47 $9,339.37
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $198.39 47 $9,324.33 $9,379.03 $-15.04
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $198.45 47 $9,327.15
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $196.72 47 $9,245.84 $9,297.72 $-81.31
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $198.94 46 $9,151.24
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.09 46 $9,204.14 $9,350.62 +$52.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $196.21 47 $9,222.10
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:40am ET $198.39 47 $9,324.33 $9,452.85 +$102.23
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $196.40 48 $9,427.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $195.84 48 $9,400.32 $9,425.97 $-26.88
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $196.46 47 $9,233.62
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $194.00 47 $9,118.00 $9,310.35 $-115.62
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $198.53 46 $9,132.38
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:55am ET $199.95 46 $9,197.70 $9,375.67 +$65.32
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,375.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-624.33
Total Return: -6.24%
Back to Professor Mean