BIIB Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 36 trades in period
-0.36%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,881.19
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,913.14
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.8
30-Day Momentum
10
-2.8%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,742
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,913.14
Current Value
$8,881.19
Period P&L
$-31.91
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 /
18
Best Trade
+1.70%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$642,206.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-31.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-31.91
Gross Return
-0.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,913.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.08 | 46 | $8,881.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $196.37 | 46 | $9,032.79 | $9,064.21 |
+$151.11 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $190.90 | 47 | $8,972.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $190.32 | 47 | $8,944.81 | $9,036.95 |
$-27.26 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $195.06 | 46 | $8,972.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $194.69 | 46 | $8,955.74 | $9,019.93 |
$-17.02 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $194.38 | 46 | $8,941.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $194.33 | 46 | $8,939.18 | $9,017.63 |
$-2.30 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.13 | 47 | $8,983.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $192.13 | 47 | $9,030.11 | $9,064.63 |
+$47.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $194.26 | 46 | $8,935.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $194.91 | 46 | $8,965.86 | $9,094.76 |
+$30.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $196.46 | 46 | $9,036.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $195.84 | 46 | $9,008.41 | $9,066.24 |
$-28.52 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.60 | 47 | $8,911.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $187.87 | 47 | $8,829.66 | $8,984.69 |
$-81.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $190.75 | 47 | $8,965.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $191.58 | 47 | $9,004.26 | $9,023.61 |
+$38.92 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.40 | 48 | $8,851.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.84 | 48 | $8,824.32 | $8,996.49 |
$-27.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.62 | 47 | $8,865.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.38 | 47 | $8,900.86 | $9,032.21 |
+$35.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $181.64 | 49 | $8,900.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $182.68 | 49 | $8,951.32 | $9,083.17 |
+$50.96 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $189.07 | 48 | $9,075.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.47 | 48 | $9,094.56 | $9,102.37 |
+$19.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.86 | 48 | $9,017.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $186.13 | 48 | $8,934.24 | $9,019.33 |
$-83.04 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $184.24 | 48 | $8,843.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $184.12 | 48 | $8,837.76 | $9,013.57 |
$-5.76 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $183.77 | 49 | $9,004.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $184.10 | 49 | $9,020.66 | $9,029.49 |
+$15.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $182.34 | 49 | $8,934.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $183.09 | 49 | $8,971.41 | $9,066.24 |
+$36.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $181.80 | 49 | $8,908.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.48 | 49 | $8,990.52 | $9,148.56 |
+$82.32 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.70 | 50 | $9,135.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $183.98 | 50 | $9,199.00 | $9,212.55 |
+$63.99 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.38 | 48 | $9,138.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $188.01 | 48 | $9,024.48 | $9,098.58 |
$-113.97 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $187.15 | 48 | $8,983.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $187.25 | 48 | $8,988.00 | $9,103.38 |
+$4.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $182.65 | 49 | $8,949.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $183.40 | 49 | $8,986.60 | $9,140.13 |
+$36.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $176.41 | 51 | $8,996.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $173.54 | 51 | $8,850.54 | $8,993.76 |
$-146.37 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $176.62 | 50 | $8,830.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $177.04 | 50 | $8,852.00 | $9,015.01 |
+$21.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $173.35 | 52 | $9,013.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.23 | 52 | $9,007.96 | $9,009.03 |
$-5.98 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $179.42 | 50 | $8,971.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $178.80 | 50 | $8,940.00 | $8,978.03 |
$-31.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.36 | 50 | $8,918.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $177.34 | 50 | $8,867.00 | $8,927.03 |
$-51.00 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $176.69 | 50 | $8,834.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $176.66 | 50 | $8,833.00 | $8,925.53 |
$-1.50 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.36 | 48 | $8,753.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.91 | 48 | $8,731.92 | $8,904.17 |
$-21.36 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $189.93 | 46 | $8,736.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $190.46 | 46 | $8,761.15 | $8,928.54 |
+$24.37 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $187.98 | 47 | $8,835.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $187.99 | 47 | $8,835.30 | $8,928.78 |
+$0.24 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $183.65 | 48 | $8,815.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $183.36 | 48 | $8,801.28 | $8,914.62 |
$-14.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $182.74 | 48 | $8,771.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $183.12 | 48 | $8,789.52 | $8,932.62 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $192.80 | 46 | $8,869.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $191.36 | 46 | $8,802.56 | $8,866.15 |
$-66.47 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $187.29 | 47 | $8,802.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $187.05 | 47 | $8,791.35 | $8,854.87 |
$-11.28 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $186.45 | 47 | $8,762.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $187.01 | 47 | $8,789.24 | $8,881.19 |
+$26.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,881.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,118.81
Total Return:
-11.19%