BMY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 33 trades in period
-1.10%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,383.17
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$15,553.80
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 54.1
30-Day Momentum
20
-0.1%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,818
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,553.80
Current Value
$15,383.17
Period P&L
$-170.66
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
20 /
13
Best Trade
+1.08%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,010,882.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-170.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-170.66
Gross Return
-1.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,553.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.13 | 254 | $15,527.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $61.52 | 254 | $15,626.08 | $15,652.89 |
+$99.06 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.27 | 259 | $15,609.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $59.70 | 259 | $15,462.30 | $15,505.26 |
$-147.63 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $60.30 | 257 | $15,497.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $59.79 | 257 | $15,367.31 | $15,375.47 |
$-129.79 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $59.32 | 259 | $15,363.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.60 | 259 | $15,436.40 | $15,447.96 |
+$72.49 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $60.97 | 253 | $15,425.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.10 | 253 | $15,459.56 | $15,482.11 |
+$34.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $61.29 | 252 | $15,445.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $61.24 | 252 | $15,432.48 | $15,469.51 |
$-12.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $62.23 | 248 | $15,433.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $62.43 | 248 | $15,482.64 | $15,519.11 |
+$49.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.63 | 251 | $15,469.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $61.26 | 251 | $15,376.26 | $15,426.24 |
$-92.87 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.85 | 249 | $15,400.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.24 | 249 | $15,248.76 | $15,274.35 |
$-151.89 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $59.74 | 255 | $15,233.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $60.05 | 255 | $15,312.75 | $15,353.40 |
+$79.05 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $59.89 | 256 | $15,331.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $60.12 | 256 | $15,390.72 | $15,412.25 |
+$58.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $60.17 | 256 | $15,403.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.76 | 256 | $15,298.56 | $15,307.29 |
$-104.96 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $58.71 | 260 | $15,264.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $58.94 | 260 | $15,323.10 | $15,365.79 |
+$58.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.35 | 254 | $15,328.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.49 | 254 | $15,110.46 | $15,147.35 |
$-218.44 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $57.60 | 262 | $15,091.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $57.56 | 262 | $15,080.72 | $15,136.87 |
$-10.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $57.19 | 264 | $15,098.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.54 | 264 | $15,190.56 | $15,229.27 |
+$92.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $57.31 | 265 | $15,187.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.89 | 265 | $15,340.85 | $15,382.97 |
+$153.70 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $58.96 | 260 | $15,329.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $59.21 | 260 | $15,394.60 | $15,447.97 |
+$65.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $58.77 | 262 | $15,397.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.40 | 262 | $15,564.11 | $15,614.34 |
+$166.37 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.10 | 259 | $15,565.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $59.28 | 259 | $15,354.81 | $15,403.26 |
$-211.08 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.32 | 264 | $15,396.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $58.40 | 264 | $15,417.57 | $15,424.35 |
+$21.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $58.62 | 263 | $15,417.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $58.78 | 263 | $15,457.83 | $15,465.12 |
+$40.77 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.99 | 262 | $15,455.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $58.89 | 262 | $15,429.18 | $15,438.92 |
$-26.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $58.17 | 265 | $15,416.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $57.54 | 265 | $15,248.10 | $15,270.65 |
$-168.27 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $60.18 | 253 | $15,225.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $60.31 | 253 | $15,259.69 | $15,304.80 |
+$34.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $59.35 | 257 | $15,252.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $58.74 | 257 | $15,096.18 | $15,148.03 |
$-156.77 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.15 | 256 | $15,142.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $58.85 | 256 | $15,065.60 | $15,071.23 |
$-76.80 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.98 | 255 | $15,039.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $59.09 | 255 | $15,067.95 | $15,099.28 |
+$28.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $58.26 | 259 | $15,088.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $58.31 | 259 | $15,101.00 | $15,112.23 |
+$12.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $57.96 | 260 | $15,068.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $58.11 | 260 | $15,108.60 | $15,152.53 |
+$40.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $57.83 | 262 | $15,150.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.99 | 262 | $15,192.07 | $15,194.45 |
+$41.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.28 | 260 | $15,152.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $58.81 | 260 | $15,290.60 | $15,332.25 |
+$137.80 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $57.15 | 268 | $15,317.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $57.35 | 268 | $15,368.46 | $15,383.17 |
+$50.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,383.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,383.17
Total Return:
+53.83%