C Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+5.73%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,368.27
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,698.45
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
41.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 40.9
30-Day Momentum
40
+2.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,828
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,698.45
Current Value
$12,368.27
Period P&L
$669.82
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+1.81%
Worst Trade
-1.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$840,002.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$669.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$669.82
Gross Return
+5.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,698.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $122.30 | 95 | $11,618.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $122.21 | 95 | $11,609.95 | $11,689.89 |
$-8.55 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $124.09 | 94 | $11,664.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $123.99 | 94 | $11,654.59 | $11,680.02 |
$-9.87 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $120.20 | 97 | $11,659.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $119.72 | 97 | $11,613.32 | $11,633.95 |
$-46.07 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $113.19 | 102 | $11,545.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $113.47 | 102 | $11,574.45 | $11,663.03 |
+$29.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $116.20 | 100 | $11,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $115.87 | 100 | $11,587.00 | $11,630.03 |
$-33.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $114.26 | 101 | $11,540.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $114.50 | 101 | $11,564.50 | $11,654.27 |
+$24.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $109.06 | 106 | $11,560.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $109.70 | 106 | $11,628.20 | $11,722.10 |
+$67.83 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $109.15 | 107 | $11,679.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.58 | 107 | $11,725.06 | $11,768.11 |
+$46.01 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $114.68 | 102 | $11,697.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $115.38 | 102 | $11,768.61 | $11,839.36 |
+$71.25 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.46 | 110 | $11,820.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $109.40 | 110 | $12,034.00 | $12,052.76 |
+$213.40 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $111.37 | 108 | $12,027.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $111.57 | 108 | $12,049.56 | $12,074.36 |
+$21.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $107.93 | 111 | $11,980.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $108.47 | 111 | $12,040.17 | $12,133.75 |
+$59.39 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.91 | 116 | $12,053.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $103.28 | 116 | $11,980.48 | $12,060.67 |
$-73.08 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $109.29 | 110 | $12,022.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $108.60 | 110 | $11,945.45 | $11,983.67 |
$-77.00 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $106.20 | 112 | $11,894.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $106.10 | 112 | $11,883.20 | $11,972.47 |
$-11.20 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $107.51 | 111 | $11,933.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $107.79 | 111 | $11,964.69 | $12,003.55 |
+$31.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $108.31 | 110 | $11,914.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $108.97 | 110 | $11,986.70 | $12,076.15 |
+$72.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $109.96 | 109 | $11,985.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.74 | 109 | $11,961.66 | $12,052.17 |
$-23.98 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.52 | 109 | $12,046.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $111.69 | 109 | $12,174.21 | $12,179.70 |
+$127.53 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.81 | 107 | $12,177.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $114.68 | 107 | $12,271.29 | $12,273.86 |
+$94.16 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $109.24 | 112 | $12,234.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $108.12 | 112 | $12,109.44 | $12,148.42 |
$-125.44 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $107.14 | 113 | $12,106.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $107.11 | 113 | $12,103.43 | $12,145.03 |
$-3.39 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $115.31 | 105 | $12,107.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $114.98 | 105 | $12,072.90 | $12,110.91 |
$-34.12 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $116.32 | 104 | $12,097.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $116.65 | 104 | $12,131.60 | $12,145.23 |
+$34.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $116.45 | 104 | $12,110.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $117.14 | 104 | $12,182.56 | $12,216.99 |
+$71.76 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.21 | 98 | $12,172.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $124.74 | 98 | $12,224.52 | $12,268.93 |
+$51.94 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $129.72 | 94 | $12,193.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.36 | 94 | $12,347.84 | $12,422.99 |
+$154.06 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $131.19 | 94 | $12,331.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $130.24 | 94 | $12,242.56 | $12,333.69 |
$-89.30 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $132.60 | 93 | $12,331.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.48 | 93 | $12,320.18 | $12,322.07 |
$-11.63 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $132.69 | 92 | $12,207.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $132.90 | 92 | $12,227.26 | $12,341.85 |
+$19.78 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $129.95 | 94 | $12,215.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $129.81 | 94 | $12,202.14 | $12,328.69 |
$-13.16 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.61 | 96 | $12,250.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $128.18 | 96 | $12,305.28 | $12,383.41 |
+$54.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $128.12 | 96 | $12,299.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.46 | 96 | $12,332.16 | $12,416.05 |
+$32.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.86 | 97 | $12,304.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.12 | 97 | $12,233.64 | $12,344.75 |
$-71.30 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $127.71 | 96 | $12,260.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $127.96 | 96 | $12,283.68 | $12,368.27 |
+$23.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,368.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,368.27
Total Return:
+23.68%