CMCSA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-6.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,388.18
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$8,977.88
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
13.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 13.3
30-Day Momentum
19
-0.8%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,977.88
Current Value
$8,388.18
Period P&L
$-589.74
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
25 /
9
Best Trade
+0.92%
Worst Trade
-8.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$582,078.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-589.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-589.74
Gross Return
-6.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,977.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $29.48 | 304 | $8,962.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.35 | 304 | $8,923.92 | $8,939.30 |
$-38.61 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $28.67 | 311 | $8,916.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.74 | 311 | $8,938.14 | $8,961.07 |
+$21.77 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $28.49 | 314 | $8,944.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.38 | 314 | $8,909.75 | $8,926.53 |
$-34.54 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.81 | 309 | $8,900.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.94 | 309 | $8,944.00 | $8,969.79 |
+$43.26 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.24 | 317 | $8,952.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.96 | 317 | $8,863.32 | $8,881.03 |
$-88.76 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.89 | 318 | $8,867.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.99 | 318 | $8,900.82 | $8,914.42 |
+$33.39 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.56 | 323 | $8,900.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.69 | 323 | $8,945.48 | $8,959.64 |
+$45.22 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $28.05 | 319 | $8,947.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $27.72 | 319 | $8,841.09 | $8,852.78 |
$-106.86 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $28.18 | 314 | $8,848.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.19 | 314 | $8,853.23 | $8,857.46 |
+$4.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $29.64 | 298 | $8,831.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $29.64 | 298 | $8,831.23 | $8,857.46 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.95 | 295 | $8,836.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $30.00 | 295 | $8,848.53 | $8,869.26 |
+$11.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $29.25 | 303 | $8,864.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $29.42 | 303 | $8,914.26 | $8,919.26 |
+$50.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 294 | $8,905.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.76 | 294 | $8,161.44 | $8,175.44 |
$-743.82 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $27.60 | 296 | $8,171.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.63 | 296 | $8,177.00 | $8,181.36 |
+$5.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $26.80 | 305 | $8,172.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $26.94 | 305 | $8,216.70 | $8,225.59 |
+$44.23 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 304 | $8,204.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $27.05 | 304 | $8,221.68 | $8,242.31 |
+$16.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.39 | 312 | $8,233.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.53 | 312 | $8,278.92 | $8,287.55 |
+$45.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.97 | 319 | $8,284.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $25.66 | 319 | $8,184.26 | $8,187.38 |
$-100.17 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.76 | 330 | $8,170.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $24.99 | 330 | $8,245.64 | $8,262.22 |
+$74.84 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $25.17 | 328 | $8,257.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.37 | 328 | $8,321.36 | $8,326.18 |
+$63.96 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $24.99 | 333 | $8,320.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $25.06 | 333 | $8,344.15 | $8,350.32 |
+$24.14 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $24.97 | 334 | $8,339.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $25.00 | 334 | $8,349.63 | $8,359.97 |
+$9.65 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $25.00 | 334 | $8,348.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $25.07 | 334 | $8,373.38 | $8,385.02 |
+$25.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $24.88 | 337 | $8,384.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $25.06 | 337 | $8,445.22 | $8,445.68 |
+$60.66 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $25.42 | 332 | $8,441.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $25.28 | 332 | $8,394.62 | $8,399.20 |
$-46.48 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.61 | 341 | $8,393.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $24.82 | 341 | $8,461.92 | $8,467.40 |
+$68.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $24.91 | 339 | $8,444.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $24.94 | 339 | $8,456.35 | $8,479.26 |
+$11.86 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $23.51 | 360 | $8,465.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $23.66 | 360 | $8,515.80 | $8,529.67 |
+$50.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $23.76 | 358 | $8,507.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $23.82 | 358 | $8,525.77 | $8,547.57 |
+$17.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $23.92 | 357 | $8,537.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $24.03 | 357 | $8,580.49 | $8,590.41 |
+$42.84 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $24.27 | 353 | $8,567.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $24.44 | 353 | $8,629.08 | $8,652.18 |
+$61.77 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.91 | 361 | $8,631.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $23.49 | 361 | $8,479.89 | $8,500.56 |
$-151.62 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $22.67 | 374 | $8,478.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.19 | 374 | $8,299.06 | $8,321.04 |
$-179.52 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.25 | 373 | $8,301.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.43 | 373 | $8,368.25 | $8,388.18 |
+$67.14 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,388.18
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,611.82
Total Return:
-16.12%