COIN Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-3.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,734.19
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,084.73
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
20.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 20.4
30-Day Momentum
31
+2.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.8
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,084.73
Current Value
$10,734.19
Period P&L
$-350.51
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
22 /
12
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$718,166.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-350.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-350.51
Gross Return
-3.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,084.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $185.43 | 59 | $10,940.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $184.60 | 59 | $10,891.40 | $11,035.73 |
$-48.97 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 66 | $10,966.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $161.50 | 66 | $10,658.99 | $10,728.16 |
$-307.57 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $161.40 | 66 | $10,652.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $160.64 | 66 | $10,602.24 | $10,678.00 |
$-50.16 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.80 | 61 | $10,541.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $174.62 | 61 | $10,651.82 | $10,788.72 |
+$110.72 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $174.71 | 61 | $10,657.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $175.48 | 61 | $10,704.28 | $10,835.38 |
+$46.66 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.42 | 60 | $10,705.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $179.21 | 60 | $10,752.30 | $10,882.48 |
+$47.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $165.76 | 65 | $10,774.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $166.87 | 65 | $10,846.23 | $10,954.31 |
+$71.83 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $171.76 | 63 | $10,820.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $172.10 | 63 | $10,842.61 | $10,976.05 |
+$21.74 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.90 | 57 | $10,824.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $192.67 | 57 | $10,982.19 | $11,133.94 |
+$157.89 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $210.76 | 52 | $10,959.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 52 | $10,429.17 | $10,603.85 |
$-530.09 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $207.38 | 51 | $10,576.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $201.48 | 51 | $10,275.48 | $10,302.95 |
$-300.90 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.27 | 50 | $10,213.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $202.18 | 50 | $10,109.25 | $10,198.45 |
$-104.50 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.22 | 51 | $10,160.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $203.05 | 51 | $10,355.80 | $10,394.03 |
+$195.58 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $191.94 | 54 | $10,364.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $192.96 | 54 | $10,419.84 | $10,449.11 |
+$55.08 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 52 | $10,402.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $199.32 | 52 | $10,364.48 | $10,411.51 |
$-37.60 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $193.59 | 53 | $10,260.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $193.62 | 53 | $10,261.86 | $10,413.10 |
+$1.59 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.90 | 49 | $10,383.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.85 | 49 | $10,576.41 | $10,606.41 |
+$193.31 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.85 | 52 | $10,496.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $201.96 | 52 | $10,501.92 | $10,612.13 |
+$5.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.30 | 52 | $10,571.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $194.48 | 52 | $10,112.96 | $10,153.49 |
$-458.64 (-4.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $185.00 | 54 | $9,990.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $187.69 | 54 | $10,135.26 | $10,298.75 |
+$145.26 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.29 | 53 | $10,138.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $192.57 | 53 | $10,206.21 | $10,366.59 |
+$67.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $192.10 | 53 | $10,181.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $194.24 | 53 | $10,294.72 | $10,480.01 |
+$113.42 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.68 | 57 | $10,469.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $185.59 | 57 | $10,578.35 | $10,588.60 |
+$108.59 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.41 | 62 | $10,565.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $174.92 | 62 | $10,845.04 | $10,868.10 |
+$279.50 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $180.43 | 60 | $10,825.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $183.09 | 60 | $10,985.27 | $11,027.87 |
+$159.77 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.94 | 62 | $10,970.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $174.12 | 62 | $10,795.13 | $10,852.72 |
$-175.15 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $164.74 | 65 | $10,708.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $163.43 | 65 | $10,622.95 | $10,767.57 |
$-85.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.17 | 65 | $10,671.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.92 | 65 | $10,264.80 | $10,361.32 |
$-406.25 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.30 | 65 | $10,224.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $163.23 | 65 | $10,609.95 | $10,746.77 |
+$385.45 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $156.22 | 68 | $10,622.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $156.35 | 68 | $10,631.80 | $10,755.61 |
+$8.84 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $169.83 | 63 | $10,699.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $170.51 | 63 | $10,742.13 | $10,798.45 |
+$42.84 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $169.81 | 63 | $10,698.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.84 | 63 | $10,510.92 | $10,611.34 |
$-187.11 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $162.73 | 65 | $10,577.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $163.56 | 65 | $10,631.40 | $10,665.29 |
+$53.95 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $163.79 | 65 | $10,646.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.85 | 65 | $10,714.93 | $10,734.19 |
+$68.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,734.19
Net Profit/Loss:
+$734.19
Total Return:
+7.34%