COP Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 35 trades in period
-0.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,932.08
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,953.07
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.3
30-Day Momentum
23
+0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.0
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,953.07
Current Value
$9,932.08
Period P&L
$-20.94
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,819.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20.94
Gross Return
-0.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,953.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $127.58 | 78 | $9,951.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.99 | 78 | $10,061.22 | $10,063.00 |
+$109.98 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.24 | 78 | $10,002.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $129.02 | 78 | $10,063.56 | $10,123.84 |
+$60.84 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.86 | 75 | $10,039.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.20 | 75 | $10,140.00 | $10,224.34 |
+$100.50 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $134.14 | 76 | $10,194.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $130.13 | 76 | $9,889.88 | $9,919.58 |
$-304.76 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $132.35 | 74 | $9,793.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $131.97 | 74 | $9,765.78 | $9,891.83 |
$-27.75 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $126.17 | 78 | $9,840.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $123.83 | 78 | $9,659.13 | $9,710.09 |
$-181.74 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $123.65 | 78 | $9,644.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $122.93 | 78 | $9,588.54 | $9,653.67 |
$-56.42 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $117.71 | 82 | $9,652.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.39 | 82 | $9,707.98 | $9,709.02 |
+$55.35 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.88 | 83 | $9,618.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.93 | 83 | $9,456.60 | $9,547.59 |
$-161.43 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $117.28 | 81 | $9,499.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.19 | 81 | $9,492.39 | $9,540.30 |
$-7.29 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.64 | 77 | $9,520.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $120.91 | 77 | $9,310.07 | $9,330.09 |
$-210.21 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $123.63 | 75 | $9,272.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $123.89 | 75 | $9,291.38 | $9,349.22 |
+$19.13 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.89 | 74 | $9,241.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $126.57 | 74 | $9,366.18 | $9,473.91 |
+$124.69 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.99 | 77 | $9,393.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $123.58 | 77 | $9,515.66 | $9,596.34 |
+$122.43 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $123.85 | 77 | $9,536.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $124.72 | 77 | $9,603.44 | $9,663.33 |
+$66.99 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $118.61 | 81 | $9,607.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $119.02 | 81 | $9,640.62 | $9,696.93 |
+$33.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $114.76 | 84 | $9,640.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $114.86 | 84 | $9,648.24 | $9,704.91 |
+$7.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $115.57 | 83 | $9,592.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $115.81 | 83 | $9,612.23 | $9,724.83 |
+$19.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $116.49 | 83 | $9,668.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $116.26 | 83 | $9,649.58 | $9,705.74 |
$-19.09 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $119.09 | 81 | $9,646.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.70 | 81 | $9,776.70 | $9,836.15 |
+$130.41 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $120.74 | 81 | $9,779.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $121.93 | 81 | $9,876.33 | $9,932.94 |
+$96.79 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.86 | 79 | $9,864.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.63 | 79 | $9,924.77 | $9,993.37 |
+$60.43 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $121.85 | 82 | $9,991.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $120.54 | 82 | $9,884.28 | $9,885.95 |
$-107.42 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.07 | 83 | $9,883.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $118.41 | 83 | $9,828.03 | $9,830.76 |
$-55.19 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $115.34 | 85 | $9,803.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.83 | 85 | $9,845.55 | $9,872.41 |
+$41.65 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.31 | 86 | $9,830.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $114.34 | 86 | $9,833.24 | $9,875.42 |
+$3.01 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $116.57 | 84 | $9,791.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $117.07 | 84 | $9,833.46 | $9,917.00 |
+$41.58 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $117.03 | 84 | $9,830.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.36 | 84 | $9,858.24 | $9,944.72 |
+$27.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $118.21 | 84 | $9,929.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $118.79 | 84 | $9,977.94 | $9,993.02 |
+$48.30 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $117.84 | 84 | $9,898.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $117.87 | 84 | $9,901.08 | $9,995.54 |
+$2.52 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.01 | 84 | $9,912.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.56 | 84 | $9,875.04 | $9,957.74 |
$-37.80 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $120.86 | 82 | $9,910.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $120.70 | 82 | $9,897.40 | $9,945.03 |
$-12.71 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $115.85 | 85 | $9,846.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.97 | 85 | $9,942.45 | $10,040.66 |
+$95.63 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.40 | 89 | $10,003.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.32 | 89 | $9,818.48 | $9,855.54 |
$-185.12 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.97 | 89 | $9,787.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $110.83 | 89 | $9,863.87 | $9,932.08 |
+$76.54 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,932.08
Net Profit/Loss:
$-67.92
Total Return:
-0.68%