Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 11.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

11
-2.6%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,809
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,589.00
Current Value
$9,663.33
Period P&L
$74.38
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
20 / 9
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$558,047.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$74.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$74.38
Gross Return
+0.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,589.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $107.14 89 $9,535.90
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $107.40 89 $9,559.04 $9,612.09 +$23.14
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $108.39 88 $9,538.32
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.65 88 $9,561.20 $9,634.97 +$22.88
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $110.76 86 $9,525.79
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $108.79 86 $9,356.37 $9,465.55 $-169.42
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $111.31 85 $9,461.35
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:05pm ET $111.77 85 $9,500.45 $9,504.65 +$39.10
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $109.23 87 $9,503.01
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $108.77 87 $9,462.99 $9,464.63 $-40.02
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $109.33 86 $9,402.81
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:50am ET $109.42 86 $9,410.12 $9,471.94 +$7.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $118.77 79 $9,382.83
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $119.12 79 $9,410.48 $9,499.59 +$27.65
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $115.98 81 $9,394.38
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $116.58 81 $9,443.38 $9,548.59 +$49.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.35 81 $9,505.43
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $117.70 81 $9,533.70 $9,576.86 +$28.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $114.95 83 $9,540.85
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:25am ET $116.37 83 $9,658.71 $9,694.72 +$117.86
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $119.39 81 $9,670.59
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $120.42 81 $9,754.02 $9,778.15 +$83.43
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET $120.73 80 $9,658.40
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:20am ET $121.72 80 $9,737.60 $9,857.35 +$79.20
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $123.81 79 $9,780.99
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $124.71 79 $9,851.70 $9,928.06 +$70.71
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $126.72 78 $9,884.16
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $127.04 78 $9,909.12 $9,953.02 +$24.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $127.58 78 $9,951.24
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $128.99 78 $10,061.22 $10,063.00 +$109.98
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $128.24 78 $10,002.72
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $129.02 78 $10,063.56 $10,123.84 +$60.84
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $133.86 75 $10,039.50
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $135.20 75 $10,140.00 $10,224.34 +$100.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $134.14 76 $10,194.64
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $130.13 76 $9,889.88 $9,919.58 $-304.76
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET $132.35 74 $9,793.53
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $131.97 74 $9,765.78 $9,891.83 $-27.75
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET $126.17 78 $9,840.87
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.83 78 $9,659.13 $9,710.09 $-181.74
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $123.65 78 $9,644.96
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.93 78 $9,588.54 $9,653.67 $-56.42
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $117.71 82 $9,652.63
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET $118.39 82 $9,707.98 $9,709.02 +$55.35
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $115.88 83 $9,618.04
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 83 $9,456.60 $9,547.59 $-161.43
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $117.28 81 $9,499.68
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $117.19 81 $9,492.39 $9,540.30 $-7.29
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 77 $9,520.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $120.91 77 $9,310.07 $9,330.09 $-210.21
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $123.63 75 $9,272.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $123.89 75 $9,291.38 $9,349.22 +$19.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $124.89 74 $9,241.49
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET $126.57 74 $9,366.18 $9,473.91 +$124.69
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $121.99 77 $9,393.23
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $123.58 77 $9,515.66 $9,596.34 +$122.43
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
29 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $123.85 77 $9,536.45
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:20am ET $124.72 77 $9,603.44 $9,663.33 +$66.99
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,663.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-336.67
Total Return: -3.37%
Back to Professor Mean