COST Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
+0.92%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,400.74
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,305.79
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
22.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 21.7
30-Day Momentum
47
+2.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.1
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,305.79
Current Value
$10,400.74
Period P&L
$94.95
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
22 /
12
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$668,354.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$94.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$94.95
Gross Return
+0.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,305.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $962.41 | 10 | $9,624.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $969.86 | 10 | $9,698.65 | $10,380.34 |
+$74.55 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $975.53 | 10 | $9,755.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $976.29 | 10 | $9,762.90 | $10,387.94 |
+$7.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $983.15 | 10 | $9,831.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $983.18 | 10 | $9,831.80 | $10,388.24 |
+$0.30 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $994.75 | 10 | $9,947.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $997.57 | 10 | $9,975.70 | $10,416.44 |
+$28.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,017.96 | 10 | $10,179.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,015.35 | 10 | $10,153.50 | $10,390.34 |
$-26.10 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,032.76 | 10 | $10,327.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,034.01 | 10 | $10,340.10 | $10,402.89 |
+$12.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $993.69 | 10 | $9,936.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $983.58 | 10 | $9,835.80 | $10,301.76 |
$-101.13 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $970.03 | 10 | $9,700.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $974.34 | 10 | $9,743.39 | $10,344.84 |
+$43.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $987.06 | 10 | $9,870.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $988.05 | 10 | $9,880.50 | $10,354.74 |
+$9.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,000.64 | 10 | $10,006.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $989.47 | 10 | $9,894.70 | $10,243.04 |
$-111.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,005.78 | 10 | $10,057.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,006.17 | 10 | $10,061.70 | $10,246.94 |
+$3.90 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.34 | 10 | $10,033.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,011.35 | 10 | $10,113.50 | $10,327.04 |
+$80.10 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,005.10 | 10 | $10,051.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1,006.65 | 10 | $10,066.50 | $10,342.54 |
+$15.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $992.00 | 10 | $9,920.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $991.51 | 10 | $9,915.10 | $10,337.64 |
$-4.90 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,012.26 | 10 | $10,122.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,011.26 | 10 | $10,112.60 | $10,327.64 |
$-10.00 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,000.13 | 10 | $10,001.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $996.81 | 10 | $9,968.10 | $10,294.44 |
$-33.20 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,007.13 | 10 | $10,071.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,008.36 | 10 | $10,083.60 | $10,306.74 |
+$12.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,029.13 | 10 | $10,291.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,032.24 | 10 | $10,322.40 | $10,337.87 |
+$31.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,042.54 | 9 | $9,382.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,045.34 | 9 | $9,408.06 | $10,363.07 |
+$25.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $1,089.66 | 9 | $9,806.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,089.51 | 9 | $9,805.59 | $10,361.76 |
$-1.31 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,077.27 | 9 | $9,695.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,063.41 | 9 | $9,570.65 | $10,236.98 |
$-124.78 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,036.00 | 9 | $9,324.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,030.52 | 9 | $9,274.68 | $10,187.64 |
$-49.34 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,004.94 | 10 | $10,049.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,006.64 | 10 | $10,066.40 | $10,204.64 |
+$17.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $952.58 | 10 | $9,525.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:35pm ET | $949.82 | 10 | $9,498.20 | $10,177.04 |
$-27.60 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $937.28 | 10 | $9,372.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $941.67 | 10 | $9,416.70 | $10,220.89 |
+$43.85 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $952.92 | 10 | $9,529.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $951.89 | 10 | $9,518.90 | $10,210.59 |
$-10.30 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $978.76 | 10 | $9,787.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $980.23 | 10 | $9,802.35 | $10,225.34 |
+$14.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $983.38 | 10 | $9,833.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $987.04 | 10 | $9,870.40 | $10,261.94 |
+$36.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $972.16 | 10 | $9,721.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $972.85 | 10 | $9,728.50 | $10,268.79 |
+$6.85 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $977.78 | 10 | $9,777.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $982.12 | 10 | $9,821.20 | $10,312.19 |
+$43.40 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $971.66 | 10 | $9,716.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $980.01 | 10 | $9,800.10 | $10,395.64 |
+$83.45 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $983.47 | 10 | $9,834.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $984.85 | 10 | $9,848.50 | $10,409.39 |
+$13.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.13 | 10 | $9,571.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $954.80 | 10 | $9,548.05 | $10,386.14 |
$-23.25 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $947.15 | 10 | $9,471.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $948.61 | 10 | $9,486.10 | $10,400.74 |
+$14.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,400.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$400.74
Total Return:
+4.01%