Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.6

30-Day Momentum

39
+1.7%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,847
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,292.79
Current Value
$11,079.28
Period P&L
$786.50
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
23 / 10
Best Trade
+2.35%
Worst Trade
-1.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$698,896.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$786.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$786.50
Gross Return
+7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,292.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $193.25 53 $10,242.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $194.11 53 $10,287.83 $10,338.36 +$45.58
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $194.43 53 $10,304.79
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $194.08 53 $10,286.24 $10,319.81 $-18.55
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $184.43 55 $10,143.65
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $185.10 55 $10,180.23 $10,356.39 +$36.58
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $187.45 55 $10,309.75
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $184.98 55 $10,173.63 $10,220.27 $-136.12
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $186.95 54 $10,095.30
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $183.59 54 $9,913.86 $10,038.83 $-181.44
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $186.39 53 $9,878.67
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $186.19 53 $9,868.07 $10,028.23 $-10.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $183.03 54 $9,883.62
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $187.33 54 $10,115.82 $10,260.43 +$232.20
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $191.42 53 $10,145.26
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:00am ET $192.20 53 $10,186.60 $10,301.77 +$41.34
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.49 54 $10,286.46
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $193.30 54 $10,438.20 $10,453.51 +$151.74
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $194.12 53 $10,288.36
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET $195.93 53 $10,384.55 $10,549.71 +$96.20
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $200.07 52 $10,403.64
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET $200.04 52 $10,402.08 $10,548.15 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $196.23 53 $10,399.93
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $197.25 53 $10,454.25 $10,602.47 +$54.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $194.29 54 $10,491.66
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $195.27 54 $10,544.58 $10,655.39 +$52.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $198.85 53 $10,539.05
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $199.15 53 $10,554.69 $10,671.02 +$15.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $192.47 55 $10,585.85
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.73 55 $10,764.88 $10,850.05 +$179.03
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $196.50 55 $10,807.50
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $196.71 55 $10,819.04 $10,861.59 +$11.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $193.65 56 $10,844.40
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $194.01 56 $10,864.84 $10,882.03 +$20.44
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $193.77 56 $10,851.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.52 56 $10,893.12 $10,923.75 +$41.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $191.77 56 $10,739.12
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $188.99 56 $10,583.44 $10,768.07 $-155.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 59 $10,677.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $181.54 59 $10,710.86 $10,801.40 +$33.33
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $183.74 58 $10,656.92
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $181.03 58 $10,499.74 $10,644.22 $-157.18
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $186.14 57 $10,609.98
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $188.20 57 $10,727.40 $10,761.64 +$117.42
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $182.68 58 $10,595.44
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $185.95 58 $10,785.10 $10,951.30 +$189.66
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.09 59 $10,920.02
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET $183.50 59 $10,826.50 $10,857.78 $-93.52
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET $182.03 59 $10,739.77
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET $182.74 59 $10,781.37 $10,899.38 +$41.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $168.40 64 $10,777.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $168.70 64 $10,796.48 $10,918.26 +$18.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $164.37 66 $10,848.42
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $164.51 66 $10,857.66 $10,927.50 +$9.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $172.65 63 $10,876.64
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $174.40 63 $10,987.20 $11,038.06 +$110.56
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $185.79 59 $10,961.61
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $187.08 59 $11,037.72 $11,114.17 +$76.11
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $189.86 58 $11,011.88
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $190.08 58 $11,024.64 $11,126.93 +$12.76
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $181.52 61 $11,072.71
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $181.51 61 $11,072.11 $11,126.33 $-0.60
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $179.63 61 $10,957.57
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $179.82 61 $10,969.02 $11,137.78 +$11.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
33 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $185.14 60 $11,108.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $184.16 60 $11,049.90 $11,079.28 $-58.50
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,079.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,079.28
Total Return: +10.79%
Back to Professor Mean