CRWD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 31 trades in period
-5.01%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,235.70
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$13,933.83
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
39.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 39.1
30-Day Momentum
12
-2.9%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,875
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,933.83
Current Value
$13,235.70
Period P&L
$-698.04
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
18 /
13
Best Trade
+3.37%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$847,616.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-698.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-698.04
Gross Return
-5.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,933.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.27 | 35 | $13,764.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $395.70 | 35 | $13,849.67 | $14,018.95 |
+$85.22 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $403.00 | 34 | $13,702.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $408.95 | 34 | $13,904.47 | $14,221.42 |
+$202.47 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $408.22 | 34 | $13,879.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $411.39 | 34 | $13,987.43 | $14,329.37 |
+$107.95 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.11 | 33 | $13,929.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $408.72 | 33 | $13,487.76 | $13,887.50 |
$-441.87 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $416.53 | 33 | $13,745.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $416.26 | 33 | $13,736.58 | $13,878.59 |
$-8.91 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $422.58 | 32 | $13,522.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $413.28 | 32 | $13,224.96 | $13,581.15 |
$-297.44 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $348.73 | 38 | $13,251.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $350.74 | 38 | $13,328.12 | $13,657.53 |
+$76.38 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $373.82 | 36 | $13,457.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $377.00 | 36 | $13,572.00 | $13,772.01 |
+$114.48 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.23 | 37 | $13,624.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $380.64 | 37 | $14,083.68 | $14,231.18 |
+$459.17 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $424.53 | 33 | $14,009.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $427.14 | 33 | $14,095.78 | $14,317.47 |
+$86.29 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $428.33 | 33 | $14,134.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $430.46 | 33 | $14,205.34 | $14,387.93 |
+$70.46 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $440.77 | 32 | $14,104.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $443.89 | 32 | $14,204.48 | $14,487.93 |
+$100.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $437.73 | 33 | $14,445.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $431.20 | 33 | $14,229.44 | $14,272.27 |
$-215.66 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $430.77 | 33 | $14,215.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $431.42 | 33 | $14,236.86 | $14,293.72 |
+$21.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $436.31 | 32 | $13,961.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $433.60 | 32 | $13,875.04 | $14,206.84 |
$-86.88 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $409.36 | 34 | $13,918.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $409.70 | 34 | $13,929.80 | $14,218.40 |
+$11.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.40 | 34 | $14,055.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.58 | 34 | $13,823.72 | $13,986.52 |
$-231.88 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $391.00 | 35 | $13,685.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $391.06 | 35 | $13,687.26 | $13,988.78 |
+$2.26 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 37 | $13,705.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $369.10 | 37 | $13,656.77 | $13,939.64 |
$-49.14 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $379.26 | 36 | $13,653.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $379.50 | 36 | $13,662.00 | $13,948.46 |
+$8.82 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $393.05 | 35 | $13,756.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $392.67 | 35 | $13,743.45 | $13,935.10 |
$-13.36 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $400.65 | 34 | $13,622.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $401.70 | 34 | $13,657.63 | $13,970.63 |
+$35.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.58 | 33 | $13,714.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.71 | 33 | $13,190.43 | $13,446.76 |
$-523.88 (-3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $401.29 | 33 | $13,242.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $401.42 | 33 | $13,246.70 | $13,450.89 |
+$4.13 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $417.34 | 32 | $13,354.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $415.26 | 32 | $13,288.16 | $13,384.17 |
$-66.72 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $450.58 | 29 | $13,066.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $449.42 | 29 | $13,033.32 | $13,350.68 |
$-33.49 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 29 | $13,013.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $450.81 | 29 | $13,073.49 | $13,410.71 |
+$60.03 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $444.05 | 30 | $13,321.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $451.97 | 30 | $13,559.10 | $13,648.31 |
+$237.60 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $450.53 | 30 | $13,515.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $452.17 | 30 | $13,565.10 | $13,697.51 |
+$49.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.28 | 30 | $13,448.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $442.57 | 30 | $13,276.95 | $13,526.06 |
$-171.45 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $476.22 | 28 | $13,334.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.85 | 28 | $13,043.80 | $13,235.70 |
$-290.36 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,235.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,235.70
Total Return:
+32.36%