Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:24:42

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
0.6/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.5

30-Day Momentum

35
+1.6%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.5 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,760.84
Current Value
$10,132.38
Period P&L
$371.59
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
23 / 10
Best Trade
+1.85%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,670.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$371.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$371.59
Gross Return
+3.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,760.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $81.53 119 $9,702.07
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $81.98 119 $9,755.62 $9,814.34 +$53.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $82.35 119 $9,799.06
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $80.53 119 $9,583.07 $9,598.35 $-215.99
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $79.37 120 $9,524.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET $78.52 120 $9,422.36 $9,496.31 $-102.04
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $78.60 120 $9,432.00
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $78.27 120 $9,392.40 $9,456.71 $-39.60
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $82.54 114 $9,409.56
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $82.67 114 $9,424.38 $9,471.53 +$14.82
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $81.54 116 $9,458.64
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $81.90 116 $9,500.98 $9,513.87 +$42.34
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $82.05 115 $9,435.75
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $81.30 115 $9,349.50 $9,427.62 $-86.25
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.00 109 $9,374.54
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $86.19 109 $9,395.25 $9,448.33 +$20.71
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $87.23 108 $9,420.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET $87.85 108 $9,487.80 $9,515.29 +$66.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $89.75 106 $9,514.03
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $89.99 106 $9,538.94 $9,540.20 +$24.91
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.47 107 $9,466.29
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $87.79 107 $9,393.53 $9,467.44 $-72.76
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $88.40 107 $9,458.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $89.08 107 $9,532.09 $9,540.73 +$73.29
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $85.92 111 $9,537.12
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $86.22 111 $9,570.97 $9,574.59 +$33.86
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $92.22 103 $9,498.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $92.30 103 $9,506.90 $9,582.90 +$8.31
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $92.54 103 $9,531.11
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $92.59 103 $9,536.77 $9,588.56 +$5.66
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
16 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $94.14 101 $9,508.14
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $92.64 101 $9,356.64 $9,437.06 $-151.50
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $91.87 102 $9,370.74
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $93.33 102 $9,519.70 $9,586.02 +$148.96
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $100.05 95 $9,504.75
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $100.42 95 $9,539.90 $9,621.17 +$35.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $114.66 83 $9,516.78
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $116.78 83 $9,692.74 $9,797.13 +$175.96
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $117.46 83 $9,749.59
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:50am ET $116.78 83 $9,692.74 $9,740.28 $-56.85
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.56 84 $9,707.04
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $116.73 84 $9,805.32 $9,838.56 +$98.28
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $119.86 82 $9,828.52
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $120.16 82 $9,853.12 $9,863.16 +$24.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
23 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $119.22 82 $9,776.04
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $119.32 82 $9,784.65 $9,871.77 +$8.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
24 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.16 82 $9,853.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $119.72 82 $9,817.04 $9,835.69 $-36.08
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.47 77 $9,738.19
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $125.57 77 $9,668.89 $9,766.39 $-69.30
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.20 75 $9,690.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $129.94 75 $9,745.50 $9,821.89 +$55.50
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $125.48 78 $9,787.44
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $125.34 78 $9,776.52 $9,810.97 $-10.92
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $118.68 82 $9,731.76
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $119.22 82 $9,776.04 $9,855.25 +$44.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $121.27 81 $9,822.87
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $121.46 81 $9,838.26 $9,870.64 +$15.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.31 82 $9,865.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $120.57 82 $9,886.74 $9,891.96 +$21.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $118.36 83 $9,823.87
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $118.36 83 $9,824.29 $9,892.38 +$0.42
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $118.97 83 $9,874.92
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $120.47 83 $9,999.42 $10,016.88 +$124.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $118.31 84 $9,937.62
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $119.68 84 $10,053.12 $10,132.38 +$115.50
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,132.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$132.38
Total Return: +1.32%
Back to Professor Mean