CSCO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
-0.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,437.06
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$9,481.16
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
13.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.8
30-Day Momentum
36
+1.4%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.2
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,841
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,481.16
Current Value
$9,437.06
Period P&L
$-44.05
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
25 /
10
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$670,028.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-44.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-44.05
Gross Return
-0.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,481.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $82.39 | 115 | $9,474.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.91 | 115 | $9,649.65 | $9,665.11 |
+$174.80 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $86.47 | 111 | $9,598.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $86.73 | 111 | $9,627.03 | $9,693.97 |
+$28.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $86.53 | 112 | $9,691.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.80 | 112 | $9,721.60 | $9,724.21 |
+$30.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.93 | 123 | $9,707.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.76 | 123 | $9,688.09 | $9,704.53 |
$-19.68 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $76.86 | 126 | $9,684.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $77.03 | 126 | $9,706.35 | $9,725.89 |
+$21.36 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $77.90 | 124 | $9,660.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $77.91 | 124 | $9,660.84 | $9,726.51 |
+$0.62 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.48 | 123 | $9,653.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $79.06 | 123 | $9,724.38 | $9,797.41 |
+$70.90 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $78.49 | 124 | $9,732.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $77.39 | 124 | $9,595.74 | $9,661.01 |
$-136.40 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $78.22 | 123 | $9,621.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $78.39 | 123 | $9,641.36 | $9,681.31 |
+$20.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.68 | 123 | $9,677.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $78.46 | 123 | $9,650.08 | $9,654.36 |
$-26.95 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $78.26 | 123 | $9,625.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $78.50 | 123 | $9,655.50 | $9,683.88 |
+$29.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.26 | 120 | $9,631.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $80.68 | 120 | $9,681.60 | $9,734.28 |
+$50.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.75 | 123 | $9,685.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.35 | 123 | $9,514.05 | $9,562.69 |
$-171.59 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $78.50 | 121 | $9,499.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $78.60 | 121 | $9,510.00 | $9,573.58 |
+$10.89 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.95 | 124 | $9,541.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $77.29 | 124 | $9,583.96 | $9,615.74 |
+$42.16 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $79.65 | 120 | $9,557.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.69 | 120 | $9,562.80 | $9,620.84 |
+$5.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.10 | 124 | $9,560.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $77.95 | 124 | $9,665.80 | $9,726.24 |
+$105.40 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.98 | 124 | $9,669.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $78.09 | 124 | $9,683.16 | $9,739.88 |
+$13.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $78.84 | 123 | $9,697.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $79.01 | 123 | $9,718.23 | $9,760.79 |
+$20.91 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $81.53 | 119 | $9,702.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:55pm ET | $81.98 | 119 | $9,755.62 | $9,814.34 |
+$53.55 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $82.35 | 119 | $9,799.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.53 | 119 | $9,583.07 | $9,598.35 |
$-215.99 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.37 | 120 | $9,524.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $78.52 | 120 | $9,422.36 | $9,496.31 |
$-102.04 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $78.60 | 120 | $9,432.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $78.27 | 120 | $9,392.40 | $9,456.71 |
$-39.60 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $82.54 | 114 | $9,409.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $82.67 | 114 | $9,424.38 | $9,471.53 |
+$14.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.54 | 116 | $9,458.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $81.90 | 116 | $9,500.98 | $9,513.87 |
+$42.34 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $82.05 | 115 | $9,435.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $81.30 | 115 | $9,349.50 | $9,427.62 |
$-86.25 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $86.00 | 109 | $9,374.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.19 | 109 | $9,395.25 | $9,448.33 |
+$20.71 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.23 | 108 | $9,420.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $87.85 | 108 | $9,487.80 | $9,515.29 |
+$66.96 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $89.75 | 106 | $9,514.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $89.99 | 106 | $9,538.94 | $9,540.20 |
+$24.91 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $88.47 | 107 | $9,466.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.79 | 107 | $9,393.53 | $9,467.44 |
$-72.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $88.40 | 107 | $9,458.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $89.08 | 107 | $9,532.09 | $9,540.73 |
+$73.29 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $85.92 | 111 | $9,537.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $86.22 | 111 | $9,570.97 | $9,574.59 |
+$33.86 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET | $92.22 | 103 | $9,498.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $92.30 | 103 | $9,506.90 | $9,582.90 |
+$8.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $92.54 | 103 | $9,531.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $92.59 | 103 | $9,536.77 | $9,588.56 |
+$5.66 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.14 | 101 | $9,508.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.64 | 101 | $9,356.64 | $9,437.06 |
$-151.50 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,437.06
Net Profit/Loss:
$-562.94
Total Return:
-5.63%