CVX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 40 trades in period
+6.68%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,322.68
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$10,613.97
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,339
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,613.97
Current Value
$11,322.68
Period P&L
$708.67
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
29 /
11
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-1.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$867,059.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$708.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$708.67
Gross Return
+6.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.68%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,613.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $157.31 | 67 | $10,539.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $157.63 | 67 | $10,561.21 | $10,635.45 |
+$21.44 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.42 | 69 | $10,516.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $152.14 | 69 | $10,497.32 | $10,616.13 |
$-19.32 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET | $151.26 | 70 | $10,588.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET | $151.55 | 70 | $10,608.50 | $10,636.43 |
+$20.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.82 | 70 | $10,487.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $150.19 | 70 | $10,513.30 | $10,662.33 |
+$25.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:15pm ET | $149.32 | 71 | $10,601.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET | $149.46 | 71 | $10,611.66 | $10,672.36 |
+$10.03 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:25pm ET | $148.69 | 71 | $10,557.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $149.16 | 71 | $10,590.36 | $10,705.66 |
+$33.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:30pm ET | $151.12 | 70 | $10,578.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.11 | 70 | $10,647.35 | $10,774.61 |
+$68.95 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $151.48 | 71 | $10,755.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $151.01 | 71 | $10,721.71 | $10,741.24 |
$-33.37 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $151.94 | 70 | $10,635.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:05pm ET | $151.93 | 70 | $10,635.06 | $10,740.50 |
$-0.74 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $151.51 | 70 | $10,605.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET | $152.06 | 70 | $10,644.20 | $10,779.00 |
+$38.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $148.41 | 72 | $10,685.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 2:35pm ET | $148.05 | 72 | $10,659.60 | $10,753.08 |
$-25.92 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.99 | 71 | $10,720.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $151.59 | 71 | $10,762.89 | $10,795.68 |
+$42.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $150.20 | 71 | $10,664.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $150.65 | 71 | $10,696.10 | $10,827.58 |
+$31.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $148.91 | 72 | $10,721.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 12:35pm ET | $148.76 | 72 | $10,710.72 | $10,816.78 |
$-10.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $146.91 | 73 | $10,724.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $147.06 | 73 | $10,735.02 | $10,827.36 |
+$10.59 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.30 | 73 | $10,825.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $147.61 | 73 | $10,775.53 | $10,776.99 |
$-50.37 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:50pm ET | $147.58 | 73 | $10,773.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET | $147.33 | 73 | $10,755.10 | $10,758.97 |
$-18.02 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET | $149.80 | 71 | $10,635.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:20pm ET | $150.02 | 71 | $10,651.42 | $10,774.57 |
+$15.61 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:20pm ET | $150.49 | 71 | $10,684.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $150.72 | 71 | $10,701.12 | $10,791.22 |
+$16.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:15pm ET | $149.77 | 72 | $10,783.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $149.88 | 72 | $10,791.39 | $10,799.16 |
+$7.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $150.93 | 71 | $10,716.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.19 | 71 | $10,805.49 | $10,888.62 |
+$89.46 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:35am ET | $151.82 | 71 | $10,779.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:50am ET | $151.90 | 71 | $10,784.90 | $10,894.30 |
+$5.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $164.52 | 66 | $10,858.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $162.37 | 66 | $10,716.09 | $10,752.07 |
$-142.23 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.68 | 69 | $10,741.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $156.39 | 69 | $10,790.91 | $10,801.41 |
+$49.33 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $159.25 | 67 | $10,669.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.40 | 67 | $10,746.80 | $10,878.46 |
+$77.05 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.36 | 67 | $10,810.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $162.08 | 67 | $10,859.12 | $10,926.79 |
+$48.33 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $164.96 | 66 | $10,887.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.59 | 66 | $10,928.61 | $10,968.04 |
+$41.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.46 | 66 | $10,920.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $166.58 | 66 | $10,994.29 | $11,041.97 |
+$73.93 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $166.28 | 66 | $10,974.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $166.39 | 66 | $10,981.74 | $11,049.23 |
+$7.26 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.30 | 66 | $10,909.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.80 | 66 | $11,074.80 | $11,214.23 |
+$165.00 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.17 | 67 | $11,133.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $166.33 | 67 | $11,144.10 | $11,225.01 |
+$10.78 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $167.00 | 67 | $11,188.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $166.54 | 67 | $11,158.18 | $11,194.53 |
$-30.49 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $167.81 | 66 | $11,075.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $168.38 | 66 | $11,113.32 | $11,232.39 |
+$37.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $168.82 | 66 | $11,142.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $169.46 | 66 | $11,184.36 | $11,274.63 |
+$42.24 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $172.25 | 65 | $11,196.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $171.24 | 65 | $11,130.60 | $11,208.98 |
$-65.65 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.53 | 64 | $11,105.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $174.73 | 64 | $11,182.72 | $11,285.78 |
+$76.80 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.29 | 63 | $11,232.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $178.38 | 63 | $11,238.25 | $11,291.76 |
+$5.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $180.38 | 62 | $11,183.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $180.95 | 62 | $11,218.90 | $11,327.41 |
+$35.65 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.76 | 62 | $11,269.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $181.60 | 62 | $11,259.20 | $11,317.49 |
$-9.92 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $185.20 | 61 | $11,296.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $185.28 | 61 | $11,302.08 | $11,322.68 |
+$5.18 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,322.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,322.68
Total Return:
+13.23%