DKNG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 38 trades in period
-13.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,927.91
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$13,853.97
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,139
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,853.97
Current Value
$11,927.91
Period P&L
$-1,926.05
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
20 /
18
Best Trade
+1.73%
Worst Trade
-4.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,009,962.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,926.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,926.05
Gross Return
-13.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,853.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.03 | 477 | $13,844.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $29.26 | 477 | $13,957.02 | $13,966.02 |
+$112.10 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $29.45 | 474 | $13,956.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:10am ET | $28.69 | 474 | $13,596.69 | $13,605.78 |
$-360.24 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $28.99 | 469 | $13,593.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:10pm ET | $29.11 | 469 | $13,650.25 | $13,662.06 |
+$56.28 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $30.10 | 453 | $13,633.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.15 | 453 | $13,657.95 | $13,686.98 |
+$24.91 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:55pm ET | $30.96 | 442 | $13,684.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:40pm ET | $31.05 | 442 | $13,721.89 | $13,724.55 |
+$37.57 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 2:40pm ET | $32.70 | 419 | $13,699.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $32.31 | 419 | $13,535.80 | $13,561.14 |
$-163.41 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $33.98 | 399 | $13,556.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.89 | 399 | $13,522.11 | $13,527.22 |
$-33.92 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.61 | 402 | $13,511.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.19 | 402 | $13,744.38 | $13,760.38 |
+$233.16 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $34.09 | 403 | $13,738.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $34.43 | 403 | $13,875.29 | $13,897.40 |
+$137.02 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 12:20pm ET | $35.11 | 395 | $13,868.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:25pm ET | $34.75 | 395 | $13,726.25 | $13,755.20 |
$-142.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:50am ET | $34.65 | 396 | $13,721.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:55pm ET | $34.92 | 396 | $13,828.32 | $13,862.12 |
+$106.92 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:20pm ET | $34.38 | 403 | $13,855.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $34.60 | 403 | $13,943.80 | $13,950.78 |
+$88.66 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $35.48 | 393 | $13,943.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:50pm ET | $35.59 | 393 | $13,984.91 | $13,992.05 |
+$41.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.30 | 396 | $13,980.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:15pm ET | $34.73 | 396 | $13,753.08 | $13,764.78 |
$-227.26 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:25pm ET | $34.78 | 395 | $13,736.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.97 | 395 | $13,811.18 | $13,839.83 |
+$75.05 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:40pm ET | $34.33 | 403 | $13,832.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:45pm ET | $34.20 | 403 | $13,780.59 | $13,787.44 |
$-52.39 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.13 | 403 | $13,754.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $34.10 | 403 | $13,740.29 | $13,773.34 |
$-14.11 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.68 | 397 | $13,767.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:35am ET | $34.54 | 397 | $13,710.40 | $13,715.77 |
$-57.57 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 12:55pm ET | $34.82 | 393 | $13,684.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 1:40pm ET | $34.86 | 393 | $13,698.02 | $13,729.53 |
+$13.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.55 | 386 | $13,722.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $35.86 | 386 | $13,841.96 | $13,849.19 |
+$119.66 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $36.07 | 383 | $13,814.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET | $34.45 | 383 | $13,192.44 | $13,226.81 |
$-622.38 (-4.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $36.21 | 365 | $13,216.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $36.06 | 365 | $13,161.90 | $13,172.06 |
$-54.75 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $35.19 | 374 | $13,161.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.53 | 374 | $12,912.35 | $12,923.35 |
$-248.71 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $34.31 | 376 | $12,900.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $34.47 | 376 | $12,960.72 | $12,983.51 |
+$60.16 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $34.39 | 377 | $12,963.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $34.42 | 377 | $12,976.34 | $12,996.71 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $35.61 | 364 | $12,963.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $35.62 | 364 | $12,965.68 | $12,998.71 |
+$2.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.82 | 408 | $12,982.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $31.48 | 408 | $12,841.80 | $12,858.20 |
$-140.52 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $31.59 | 407 | $12,857.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $31.69 | 407 | $12,895.80 | $12,896.86 |
+$38.66 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.90 | 417 | $12,883.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $31.21 | 417 | $13,012.49 | $13,026.13 |
+$129.27 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $29.92 | 435 | $13,015.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $30.07 | 435 | $13,078.28 | $13,089.21 |
+$63.07 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.38 | 430 | $13,063.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $30.56 | 430 | $13,140.80 | $13,166.61 |
+$77.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $30.23 | 435 | $13,147.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.00 | 435 | $13,050.00 | $13,068.73 |
$-97.88 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.00 | 450 | $13,050.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $27.88 | 450 | $12,545.64 | $12,564.37 |
$-504.36 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:30pm ET | $27.63 | 454 | $12,541.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.90 | 454 | $12,212.60 | $12,235.22 |
$-329.15 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.56 | 443 | $12,209.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $27.16 | 443 | $12,031.84 | $12,057.98 |
$-177.24 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $26.84 | 449 | $12,053.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $26.78 | 449 | $12,026.46 | $12,031.04 |
$-26.94 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.11 | 443 | $12,009.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.14 | 443 | $12,020.81 | $12,042.11 |
+$11.07 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
12m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.84 | 448 | $12,026.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.59 | 448 | $11,912.36 | $11,927.91 |
$-114.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,927.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,927.91
Total Return:
+19.28%