DOGEUSD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 48 trades in period
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 30, 2025 | $97.52 | 1,015 | $17,447.45 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $4,197.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:35pm ET | $0.1595 | 26,311 | $4,197.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:00am ET | $0.1636 | 26,311 | $4,303.50 | $4,282.25 |
+$85.17 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 7:30am ET | $0.1590 | 26,935 | $4,282.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 7:55am ET | $0.1609 | 26,935 | $4,334.66 | $4,313.12 |
+$30.87 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $0.1582 | 27,264 | $4,313.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 6:05pm ET | $0.1554 | 27,264 | $4,237.59 | $4,216.22 |
$-96.90 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 6:30am ET | $0.1617 | 26,081 | $4,216.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 6:20pm ET | $0.1593 | 26,081 | $4,153.89 | $4,132.96 |
$-83.26 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
11.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 8:45am ET | $0.1588 | 26,034 | $4,132.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $0.1606 | 26,034 | $4,181.64 | $4,160.86 |
+$27.90 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:40am ET | $0.1556 | 26,748 | $4,160.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 4:20pm ET | $0.1530 | 26,748 | $4,092.65 | $4,072.02 |
$-88.84 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $0.1539 | 26,452 | $4,072.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $0.1531 | 26,452 | $4,048.46 | $4,028.16 |
$-43.85 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $0.1523 | 26,449 | $4,028.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET | $0.1495 | 26,449 | $3,953.63 | $3,933.68 |
$-94.49 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 6:50pm ET | $0.1491 | 26,386 | $3,933.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:40pm ET | $0.1477 | 26,386 | $3,897.26 | $3,877.69 |
$-55.99 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $0.1374 | 28,220 | $3,877.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 4:00am ET | $0.1416 | 28,220 | $3,996.04 | $3,976.35 |
+$98.66 (+3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 4:50am ET | $0.1380 | 28,817 | $3,976.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET | $0.1334 | 28,817 | $3,843.71 | $3,824.16 |
$-152.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:25am ET | $0.1336 | 28,631 | $3,824.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 7:35am ET | $0.1387 | 28,631 | $3,969.71 | $3,950.23 |
+$126.06 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:15am ET | $0.1359 | 29,067 | $3,950.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $0.1385 | 29,067 | $4,026.66 | $4,006.72 |
+$56.50 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:20pm ET | $0.1381 | 29,017 | $4,006.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 4:40pm ET | $0.1415 | 29,017 | $4,104.40 | $4,084.12 |
+$77.40 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 5:45pm ET | $0.1378 | 29,647 | $4,084.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 6:20pm ET | $0.1395 | 29,647 | $4,136.05 | $4,115.50 |
+$31.38 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:35pm ET | $0.1359 | 30,279 | $4,115.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2025 1:45am ET | $0.1386 | 30,279 | $4,196.95 | $4,176.17 |
+$60.67 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 22, 2025 3:35am ET | $0.1358 | 30,748 | $4,176.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2025 4:35am ET | $0.1391 | 30,748 | $4,275.80 | $4,254.67 |
+$78.49 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:20pm ET | $0.1487 | 28,610 | $4,254.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:50pm ET | $0.1505 | 28,610 | $4,306.00 | $4,284.60 |
+$29.93 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:25am ET | $0.1512 | 28,334 | $4,284.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 7:05pm ET | $0.1427 | 28,334 | $4,042.63 | $4,021.81 |
$-262.79 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:10pm ET | $0.1428 | 28,163 | $4,021.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $0.1410 | 28,163 | $3,971.58 | $3,951.59 |
$-70.22 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $0.1460 | 27,075 | $3,951.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:45pm ET | $0.1483 | 27,075 | $4,015.22 | $3,995.30 |
+$43.71 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $0.1400 | 28,544 | $3,995.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $0.1393 | 28,544 | $3,976.46 | $3,956.53 |
$-38.77 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 4:55pm ET | $0.1392 | 28,423 | $3,956.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $0.1455 | 28,423 | $4,135.89 | $4,115.65 |
+$159.12 (+4.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $0.1434 | 28,695 | $4,115.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 4:30pm ET | $0.1424 | 28,695 | $4,085.59 | $4,065.08 |
$-50.57 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
23.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:35am ET | $0.1378 | 29,491 | $4,065.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:05pm ET | $0.1361 | 29,491 | $4,012.89 | $3,992.70 |
$-72.39 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $0.1323 | 30,179 | $3,992.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 6:25am ET | $0.1317 | 30,179 | $3,973.38 | $3,953.47 |
$-39.23 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $0.1264 | 31,280 | $3,953.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:25pm ET | $0.1277 | 31,280 | $3,995.07 | $3,975.20 |
+$21.73 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $0.1256 | 31,645 | $3,975.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 1:35pm ET | $0.1243 | 31,645 | $3,934.06 | $3,914.29 |
$-60.91 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $0.1206 | 32,446 | $3,914.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:25pm ET | $0.1255 | 32,446 | $4,070.68 | $4,050.72 |
+$136.43 (+4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
7.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 25, 2025 5:55pm ET | $0.1239 | 32,686 | $4,050.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 25, 2025 9:30pm ET | $0.1266 | 32,686 | $4,137.74 | $4,117.27 |
+$66.55 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:55am ET | $0.1226 | 33,580 | $4,117.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.1244 | 33,580 | $4,175.70 | $4,154.96 |
+$37.70 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 6:45am ET | $0.1288 | 32,267 | $4,154.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET | $0.1308 | 32,267 | $4,221.43 | $4,200.49 |
+$45.53 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2026 2:20am ET | $0.1401 | 29,972 | $4,200.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.1460 | 29,972 | $4,376.83 | $4,355.38 |
+$154.89 (+4.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1505 | 28,939 | $4,355.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 4:20pm ET | $0.1494 | 28,939 | $4,324.42 | $4,302.72 |
$-52.66 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.1432 | 30,051 | $4,302.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.1429 | 30,051 | $4,294.91 | $4,273.41 |
$-29.31 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.1402 | 30,485 | $4,273.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.1271 | 30,485 | $3,874.06 | $3,853.69 |
$-419.72 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.1268 | 30,389 | $3,853.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 8:30pm ET | $0.1272 | 30,389 | $3,866.45 | $3,847.15 |
$-6.54 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.1212 | 31,750 | $3,847.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.1263 | 31,750 | $4,010.03 | $3,990.39 |
+$143.23 (+4.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.1168 | 34,174 | $3,990.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $0.1179 | 34,174 | $4,028.31 | $4,008.26 |
+$17.88 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $0.1068 | 37,516 | $4,008.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.1016 | 37,516 | $3,811.68 | $3,792.13 |
$-216.14 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.1023 | 37,065 | $3,792.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.1049 | 37,065 | $3,886.88 | $3,867.68 |
+$75.56 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET | $0.1008 | 38,370 | $3,867.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.1030 | 38,370 | $3,950.56 | $3,931.01 |
+$63.33 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.1007 | 39,029 | $3,931.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.1020 | 39,029 | $3,980.19 | $3,960.41 |
+$29.40 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.0975 | 40,603 | $3,960.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $0.0948 | 40,603 | $3,847.13 | $3,827.61 |
$-132.80 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $0.0886 | 43,211 | $3,827.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 4:00pm ET | $0.0905 | 43,211 | $3,912.31 | $3,892.96 |
+$65.34 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.0864 | 45,063 | $3,892.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 45,063 | $3,711.35 | $3,692.34 |
$-200.61 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.0816 | 45,233 | $3,692.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $0.0883 | 45,233 | $3,992.69 | $3,973.47 |
+$281.13 (+8.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET | $0.0952 | 41,751 | $3,973.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:40am ET | $0.0940 | 41,751 | $3,924.42 | $3,904.67 |
$-68.80 (-1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3d held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)