Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,536
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,151.30
Current Value
$9,573.82
Period P&L
$422.54
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
22 / 16
Best Trade
+1.78%
Worst Trade
-1.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$703,690.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$422.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$422.54
Gross Return
+4.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,151.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $122.82 74 $9,088.31
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:00am ET $123.71 74 $9,154.54 $9,217.49 +$66.23
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET $125.14 73 $9,134.86
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET $125.87 73 $9,188.15 $9,270.78 +$53.29
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $126.66 73 $9,246.18
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:30pm ET $126.39 73 $9,226.11 $9,250.70 $-20.07
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 2:35pm ET $124.78 74 $9,233.72
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:15pm ET $125.61 74 $9,295.14 $9,312.12 +$61.42
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:45pm ET $127.41 73 $9,301.11
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $126.67 73 $9,246.55 $9,257.56 $-54.57
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $124.64 74 $9,223.36
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $125.78 74 $9,307.72 $9,341.92 +$84.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET $127.78 73 $9,327.94
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $127.86 73 $9,333.78 $9,347.76 +$5.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 12:00pm ET $124.46 75 $9,334.50
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:20pm ET $124.43 75 $9,332.25 $9,345.51 $-2.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:30pm ET $123.82 75 $9,286.50
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:35pm ET $123.78 75 $9,283.82 $9,342.83 $-2.68
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $124.23 75 $9,317.25
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $123.23 75 $9,242.25 $9,267.83 $-75.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET $122.06 75 $9,154.50
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:50am ET $121.18 75 $9,088.13 $9,201.45 $-66.38
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $121.28 75 $9,096.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 2:10pm ET $121.06 75 $9,079.50 $9,184.95 $-16.50
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $118.92 77 $9,156.84
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:35am ET $119.36 77 $9,190.72 $9,218.83 +$33.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $122.64 75 $9,198.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $122.42 75 $9,181.13 $9,201.96 $-16.87
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:40pm ET $120.26 76 $9,139.38
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $121.19 76 $9,210.06 $9,272.64 +$70.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $121.46 76 $9,230.58
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET $121.89 76 $9,263.26 $9,305.32 +$32.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $123.80 75 $9,284.63
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:05pm ET $123.99 75 $9,299.25 $9,319.94 +$14.62
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:05pm ET $125.21 74 $9,265.66
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $125.39 74 $9,278.86 $9,333.15 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:55pm ET $124.26 75 $9,319.13
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:10pm ET $124.54 75 $9,340.22 $9,354.24 +$21.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $123.98 75 $9,298.13
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:20am ET $123.63 75 $9,271.88 $9,327.99 $-26.25
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:50pm ET $123.02 75 $9,226.13
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:40pm ET $123.09 75 $9,231.75 $9,333.62 +$5.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 78 $9,320.22
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET $117.44 78 $9,160.32 $9,173.72 $-159.90
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $121.48 75 $9,111.11
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $123.17 75 $9,237.38 $9,299.98 +$126.26
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $123.28 75 $9,245.63
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET $122.46 75 $9,184.50 $9,238.86 $-61.13
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $121.21 76 $9,211.58
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $119.87 76 $9,110.12 $9,137.40 $-101.46
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $121.92 74 $9,021.71
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $121.47 74 $8,988.41 $9,104.10 $-33.30
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET $123.19 73 $8,992.87
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:20am ET $123.60 73 $9,022.80 $9,134.03 +$29.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $122.73 74 $9,081.65
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $124.38 74 $9,203.75 $9,256.13 +$122.10
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $131.52 70 $9,206.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $131.98 70 $9,238.60 $9,288.68 +$32.55
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $134.16 69 $9,257.04
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $136.55 69 $9,421.95 $9,453.59 +$164.91
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $139.97 67 $9,377.66
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $140.76 67 $9,430.92 $9,506.85 +$53.26
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $140.30 67 $9,400.10
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $139.80 67 $9,366.60 $9,473.35 $-33.50
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $140.56 67 $9,417.52
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $140.97 67 $9,444.99 $9,500.82 +$27.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $144.28 65 $9,378.20
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $143.66 65 $9,338.22 $9,460.85 $-39.98
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $148.63 63 $9,363.62
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $149.35 63 $9,409.36 $9,506.59 +$45.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $152.14 62 $9,432.68
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $152.84 62 $9,475.77 $9,549.68 +$43.09
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $150.12 63 $9,457.53
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $149.82 63 $9,438.66 $9,530.81 $-18.87
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $155.68 61 $9,496.18
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $156.38 61 $9,539.18 $9,573.82 +$43.01
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,573.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-426.18
Total Return: -4.26%
Back to Professor Mean