GILD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 38 trades in period
+8.33%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,298.31
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$9,506.61
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
19.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 18.8
30-Day Momentum
20
-0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,506.61
Current Value
$10,298.31
Period P&L
$791.72
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
26 /
12
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-2.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$758,546.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$791.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$791.72
Gross Return
+8.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,506.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $152.14 | 62 | $9,432.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $152.84 | 62 | $9,475.77 | $9,549.68 |
+$43.09 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $150.12 | 63 | $9,457.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $149.82 | 63 | $9,438.66 | $9,530.81 |
$-18.87 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $155.68 | 61 | $9,496.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $156.38 | 61 | $9,539.18 | $9,573.82 |
+$43.01 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.27 | 62 | $9,564.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $154.02 | 62 | $9,549.24 | $9,558.32 |
$-15.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $153.01 | 62 | $9,486.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $152.79 | 62 | $9,472.67 | $9,544.37 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.57 | 63 | $9,485.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.89 | 63 | $9,632.07 | $9,690.53 |
+$146.16 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.74 | 64 | $9,647.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $152.02 | 64 | $9,729.28 | $9,772.45 |
+$81.92 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.48 | 66 | $9,733.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $148.15 | 66 | $9,778.23 | $9,817.33 |
+$44.88 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $146.85 | 66 | $9,692.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET | $147.57 | 66 | $9,739.29 | $9,864.52 |
+$47.19 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $148.85 | 66 | $9,823.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $149.51 | 66 | $9,867.66 | $9,908.41 |
+$43.89 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.48 | 67 | $9,881.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $146.35 | 67 | $9,805.45 | $9,832.70 |
$-75.71 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.26 | 67 | $9,732.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.21 | 67 | $9,729.07 | $9,829.02 |
$-3.68 (-0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.89 | 68 | $9,716.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $144.39 | 68 | $9,818.76 | $9,931.26 |
+$102.24 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.79 | 67 | $9,834.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $147.93 | 67 | $9,910.98 | $10,007.31 |
+$76.05 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.55 | 68 | $9,897.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.60 | 68 | $10,036.46 | $10,146.37 |
+$139.06 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $143.93 | 70 | $10,075.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $144.52 | 70 | $10,116.40 | $10,187.32 |
+$40.95 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $140.76 | 72 | $10,135.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $140.82 | 72 | $10,139.04 | $10,191.28 |
+$3.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $139.47 | 73 | $10,181.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $138.45 | 73 | $10,106.85 | $10,116.82 |
$-74.46 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $136.48 | 74 | $10,099.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $137.42 | 74 | $10,169.08 | $10,186.75 |
+$69.93 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $138.99 | 73 | $10,146.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $138.38 | 73 | $10,102.10 | $10,142.58 |
$-44.17 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $136.35 | 74 | $10,089.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $137.12 | 74 | $10,146.88 | $10,199.93 |
+$57.35 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $134.74 | 75 | $10,105.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $135.54 | 75 | $10,165.87 | $10,260.30 |
+$60.37 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.92 | 73 | $10,214.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $141.12 | 73 | $10,301.40 | $10,347.54 |
+$87.24 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $139.62 | 74 | $10,331.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $139.72 | 74 | $10,339.28 | $10,354.94 |
+$7.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $138.07 | 74 | $10,217.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $138.75 | 74 | $10,267.50 | $10,405.26 |
+$50.32 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $142.19 | 73 | $10,379.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.61 | 73 | $10,264.53 | $10,289.92 |
$-115.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.97 | 74 | $10,209.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.18 | 74 | $10,298.95 | $10,379.09 |
+$89.17 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $139.48 | 74 | $10,321.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $138.87 | 74 | $10,276.68 | $10,334.62 |
$-44.47 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $138.62 | 74 | $10,257.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $138.73 | 74 | $10,265.65 | $10,342.76 |
+$8.14 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $137.66 | 75 | $10,324.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $138.07 | 75 | $10,355.25 | $10,373.51 |
+$30.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $135.84 | 76 | $10,323.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $133.06 | 76 | $10,112.56 | $10,162.23 |
$-211.28 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $131.40 | 77 | $10,118.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $131.91 | 77 | $10,157.07 | $10,201.12 |
+$38.89 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $133.66 | 76 | $10,157.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.83 | 76 | $10,019.08 | $10,062.30 |
$-138.82 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.85 | 78 | $10,050.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $128.67 | 78 | $10,036.26 | $10,048.26 |
$-14.04 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $129.01 | 77 | $9,933.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $129.09 | 77 | $9,939.93 | $10,054.42 |
+$6.16 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.96 | 78 | $9,980.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.93 | 78 | $10,134.54 | $10,208.08 |
+$153.66 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $130.04 | 78 | $10,143.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $130.95 | 78 | $10,214.10 | $10,279.06 |
+$70.98 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $132.45 | 77 | $10,198.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $132.70 | 77 | $10,217.52 | $10,298.31 |
+$19.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,298.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$298.31
Total Return:
+2.98%