GLD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 37 trades in period
+4.81%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,684.86
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$9,240.59
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.9
30-Day Momentum
46
+3.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.9
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,240.59
Current Value
$9,684.86
Period P&L
$444.26
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
23 /
14
Best Trade
+3.56%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
5.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$679,422.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$444.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$444.26
Gross Return
+4.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,240.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.75 | 23 | $9,217.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $403.95 | 23 | $9,290.85 | $9,314.20 |
+$73.60 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $417.69 | 22 | $9,189.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $418.35 | 22 | $9,203.70 | $9,328.72 |
+$14.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $414.08 | 22 | $9,109.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $414.19 | 22 | $9,112.18 | $9,331.14 |
+$2.42 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $413.14 | 22 | $9,089.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $414.26 | 22 | $9,113.72 | $9,355.78 |
+$24.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $437.87 | 21 | $9,195.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $437.29 | 21 | $9,183.09 | $9,343.60 |
$-12.18 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $427.60 | 21 | $8,979.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $427.95 | 21 | $8,987.05 | $9,351.05 |
+$7.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $435.67 | 21 | $9,149.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $433.86 | 21 | $9,111.06 | $9,313.04 |
$-38.01 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $436.48 | 21 | $9,166.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $437.52 | 21 | $9,187.92 | $9,334.88 |
+$21.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $442.73 | 21 | $9,297.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $441.55 | 21 | $9,272.55 | $9,310.10 |
$-24.78 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $440.01 | 21 | $9,240.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $439.85 | 21 | $9,236.85 | $9,306.85 |
$-3.25 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $443.08 | 21 | $9,304.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $441.16 | 21 | $9,264.36 | $9,266.50 |
$-40.35 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $433.61 | 21 | $9,105.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $433.32 | 21 | $9,099.72 | $9,260.41 |
$-6.09 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.73 | 21 | $9,108.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $434.41 | 21 | $9,122.61 | $9,274.69 |
+$14.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $431.63 | 21 | $9,064.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $429.46 | 21 | $9,018.66 | $9,229.12 |
$-45.57 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.63 | 22 | $9,165.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.17 | 22 | $9,155.63 | $9,218.89 |
$-10.23 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $422.88 | 21 | $8,880.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $423.71 | 21 | $8,897.91 | $9,236.32 |
+$17.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $425.17 | 21 | $8,928.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $424.86 | 21 | $8,922.06 | $9,229.81 |
$-6.51 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $419.39 | 22 | $9,226.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $418.77 | 22 | $9,212.94 | $9,216.06 |
$-13.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $431.28 | 21 | $9,056.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $432.49 | 21 | $9,082.29 | $9,241.47 |
+$25.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $432.53 | 21 | $9,083.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $433.64 | 21 | $9,106.54 | $9,264.88 |
+$23.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $429.36 | 21 | $9,016.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $430.08 | 21 | $9,031.78 | $9,280.21 |
+$15.33 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $429.22 | 21 | $9,013.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $429.72 | 21 | $9,024.12 | $9,290.71 |
+$10.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $417.91 | 22 | $9,194.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.46 | 22 | $9,228.12 | $9,324.81 |
+$34.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $412.55 | 22 | $9,076.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $412.79 | 22 | $9,081.38 | $9,330.09 |
+$5.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.08 | 22 | $9,087.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $413.92 | 22 | $9,106.30 | $9,348.63 |
+$18.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $412.15 | 22 | $9,067.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $412.91 | 22 | $9,084.02 | $9,365.35 |
+$16.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.53 | 23 | $9,350.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $409.42 | 23 | $9,416.66 | $9,431.82 |
+$66.47 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $417.99 | 22 | $9,195.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $418.65 | 22 | $9,210.30 | $9,446.34 |
+$14.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $411.20 | 22 | $9,046.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.88 | 22 | $9,105.36 | $9,505.29 |
+$58.95 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.33 | 23 | $9,391.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $406.31 | 23 | $9,345.13 | $9,458.83 |
$-46.46 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.38 | 23 | $9,300.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $403.10 | 23 | $9,271.30 | $9,429.39 |
$-29.44 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $397.94 | 23 | $9,152.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $398.29 | 23 | $9,160.74 | $9,437.49 |
+$8.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.65 | 24 | $9,135.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $378.98 | 24 | $9,095.52 | $9,397.36 |
$-40.13 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $385.85 | 24 | $9,260.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 24 | $9,589.92 | $9,726.88 |
+$329.52 (+3.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $397.23 | 24 | $9,533.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $398.23 | 24 | $9,557.64 | $9,751.00 |
+$24.12 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $396.05 | 24 | $9,505.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.45 | 24 | $9,394.68 | $9,640.36 |
$-110.64 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.16 | 25 | $9,604.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $385.94 | 25 | $9,648.50 | $9,684.86 |
+$44.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,684.86
Net Profit/Loss:
$-315.14
Total Return:
-3.15%