Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.4

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.3 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,851
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,320.87
Current Value
$7,859.18
Period P&L
$538.32
Max Drawdown
-44.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
25 / 10
Best Trade
+1.37%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$537,754.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$538.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$538.32
Gross Return
+7.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,320.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $24.71 296 $7,314.16
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $24.52 296 $7,257.80 $7,264.49 $-56.36
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $24.83 292 $7,248.90
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.95 292 $7,285.40 $7,300.99 +$36.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.41 311 $7,280.51
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $23.50 311 $7,306.95 $7,327.43 +$26.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $23.69 309 $7,320.21
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET $24.00 309 $7,417.54 $7,424.76 +$97.33
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $23.45 316 $7,411.78
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $23.24 316 $7,343.84 $7,356.82 $-67.94
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET $24.04 306 $7,356.33
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $24.03 306 $7,353.18 $7,353.67 $-3.15
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $23.90 307 $7,337.30
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $24.03 307 $7,378.74 $7,395.12 +$41.45
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $23.90 309 $7,385.10
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:25am ET $24.13 309 $7,456.17 $7,466.19 +$71.07
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $24.00 311 $7,464.84
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.02 311 $7,470.13 $7,471.48 +$5.29
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:15am ET $23.74 314 $7,454.36
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $23.91 314 $7,507.74 $7,524.86 +$53.38
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $24.55 306 $7,510.77
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.75 306 $7,573.50 $7,587.59 +$62.73
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $24.39 311 $7,583.74
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $24.47 311 $7,610.17 $7,614.02 +$26.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.25 314 $7,612.93
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $24.41 314 $7,663.17 $7,664.26 +$50.24
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $23.84 321 $7,652.64
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $23.98 321 $7,697.19 $7,708.82 +$44.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $23.43 329 $7,708.47
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.52 329 $7,738.08 $7,738.43 +$29.61
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $23.47 329 $7,719.99
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $23.41 329 $7,701.89 $7,720.33 $-18.10
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:05am ET $22.95 336 $7,711.20
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.97 336 $7,717.92 $7,727.05 +$6.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $22.73 339 $7,705.47
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET $22.73 339 $7,705.47 $7,727.05 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $23.20 333 $7,725.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:55am ET $23.19 333 $7,722.27 $7,723.72 $-3.33
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $22.46 343 $7,703.78
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $22.59 343 $7,748.37 $7,768.31 +$44.59
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $22.17 350 $7,757.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $22.29 350 $7,801.50 $7,812.06 +$43.75
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $22.98 339 $7,790.22
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $22.81 339 $7,732.59 $7,754.43 $-57.63
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $23.22 333 $7,732.26
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $23.18 333 $7,718.91 $7,741.08 $-13.35
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $23.30 332 $7,733.94
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $23.41 332 $7,772.12 $7,779.26 +$38.18
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.11 336 $7,764.96
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $22.98 336 $7,721.28 $7,735.58 $-43.68
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $22.95 337 $7,734.15
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $23.12 337 $7,791.44 $7,792.87 +$57.29
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.58 317 $7,791.86
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.72 317 $7,836.24 $7,837.25 +$44.38
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $25.09 312 $7,828.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $25.15 312 $7,846.83 $7,856.00 +$18.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $24.21 324 $7,844.04
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $24.54 324 $7,951.45 $7,963.41 +$107.41
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $24.80 321 $7,959.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.02 321 $8,031.42 $8,035.64 +$72.23
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.25 318 $8,029.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $25.50 318 $8,109.00 $8,115.14 +$79.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $25.00 324 $8,100.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $25.22 324 $8,171.28 $8,186.42 +$71.28
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $25.32 323 $8,178.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $24.97 323 $8,063.70 $8,071.76 $-114.66
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $24.13 334 $8,060.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $24.25 334 $8,097.83 $8,108.73 +$36.97
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $25.14 322 $8,095.08
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.36 322 $7,845.53 $7,859.18 $-249.55
(-3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,859.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,140.82
Total Return: -21.41%
Back to Professor Mean