GOOGL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 32 trades in period
+0.89%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,362.53
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,262.48
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
29.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 29.1
30-Day Momentum
26
+1.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.5
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,907
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,262.48
Current Value
$11,362.53
Period P&L
$100.03
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
15 /
17
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$710,456.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$100.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$100.03
Gross Return
+0.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,262.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.01 | 34 | $11,118.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $322.76 | 34 | $10,973.84 | $11,118.16 |
$-144.33 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $324.27 | 34 | $11,025.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $323.78 | 34 | $11,008.52 | $11,101.50 |
$-16.66 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $318.55 | 34 | $10,830.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.48 | 34 | $10,896.32 | $11,167.12 |
+$65.62 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.24 | 37 | $11,108.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $299.73 | 37 | $11,089.83 | $11,147.99 |
$-19.13 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $303.25 | 36 | $10,917.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.10 | 36 | $11,091.60 | $11,322.59 |
+$174.60 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $311.35 | 36 | $11,208.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $309.42 | 36 | $11,139.12 | $11,253.11 |
$-69.48 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.00 | 36 | $11,160.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $308.24 | 36 | $11,096.64 | $11,189.75 |
$-63.36 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.15 | 36 | $10,913.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $305.35 | 36 | $10,992.60 | $11,268.95 |
+$79.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $301.26 | 37 | $11,146.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $302.93 | 37 | $11,208.41 | $11,330.92 |
+$61.97 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.99 | 38 | $11,247.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $299.69 | 38 | $11,388.22 | $11,471.52 |
+$140.60 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $306.90 | 37 | $11,355.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.44 | 37 | $11,375.28 | $11,491.32 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $305.61 | 37 | $11,307.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $303.26 | 37 | $11,220.62 | $11,404.39 |
$-86.93 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $303.25 | 37 | $11,220.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $304.17 | 37 | $11,254.29 | $11,438.58 |
+$34.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $310.13 | 36 | $11,164.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $309.39 | 36 | $11,138.04 | $11,411.94 |
$-26.64 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.36 | 37 | $11,224.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $301.83 | 37 | $11,167.89 | $11,355.63 |
$-56.31 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.99 | 37 | $11,062.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $295.96 | 37 | $10,950.52 | $11,243.45 |
$-112.18 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.86 | 39 | $11,226.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $285.48 | 39 | $11,133.72 | $11,150.83 |
$-92.63 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $276.40 | 40 | $11,056.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $279.05 | 40 | $11,162.00 | $11,256.83 |
+$106.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $273.29 | 41 | $11,204.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $273.05 | 41 | $11,195.05 | $11,246.99 |
$-9.84 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $297.88 | 37 | $11,021.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $297.45 | 37 | $11,005.65 | $11,231.08 |
$-15.91 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $299.32 | 37 | $11,074.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.76 | 37 | $11,202.12 | $11,358.36 |
+$127.28 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $316.50 | 35 | $11,077.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $313.45 | 35 | $10,970.92 | $11,251.78 |
$-106.58 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $317.44 | 35 | $11,110.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $316.96 | 35 | $11,093.77 | $11,235.15 |
$-16.63 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $331.70 | 33 | $10,945.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $332.20 | 33 | $10,962.63 | $11,251.85 |
+$16.70 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $339.69 | 33 | $11,209.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $338.97 | 33 | $11,186.01 | $11,228.09 |
$-23.76 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $335.97 | 33 | $11,087.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $333.20 | 33 | $10,995.76 | $11,136.84 |
$-91.25 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $338.92 | 32 | $10,845.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $339.23 | 32 | $10,855.36 | $11,146.76 |
+$9.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $342.93 | 32 | $10,973.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $344.87 | 32 | $11,035.84 | $11,208.84 |
+$62.08 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.44 | 32 | $11,118.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $346.13 | 32 | $11,076.16 | $11,166.92 |
$-41.92 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $380.07 | 29 | $11,022.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $382.63 | 29 | $11,096.27 | $11,241.16 |
+$74.24 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $380.73 | 29 | $11,041.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $383.22 | 29 | $11,113.38 | $11,313.37 |
+$72.21 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $384.58 | 29 | $11,152.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $386.27 | 29 | $11,201.97 | $11,362.53 |
+$49.16 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,362.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,362.53
Total Return:
+13.63%