HD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
+2.24%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,638.39
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$10,405.65
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,476
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
73 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,405.65
Current Value
$10,638.39
Period P&L
$232.76
Max Drawdown
-5.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
23 /
13
Best Trade
+1.13%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$752,092.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$232.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$232.76
Gross Return
+2.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 73 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,405.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $361.11 | 28 | $10,111.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:00am ET | $360.80 | 28 | $10,102.40 | $10,396.94 |
$-8.68 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 1:05pm ET | $341.26 | 30 | $10,237.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET | $343.08 | 30 | $10,292.31 | $10,451.37 |
+$54.43 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $333.53 | 31 | $10,339.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:25pm ET | $333.71 | 31 | $10,345.01 | $10,456.95 |
+$5.58 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET | $343.73 | 30 | $10,311.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:45pm ET | $343.93 | 30 | $10,317.98 | $10,463.03 |
+$6.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:45pm ET | $336.67 | 31 | $10,436.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $340.49 | 31 | $10,555.19 | $10,581.45 |
+$118.42 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $355.88 | 29 | $10,320.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 2:00pm ET | $356.48 | 29 | $10,337.92 | $10,598.85 |
+$17.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $360.65 | 29 | $10,458.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:35pm ET | $359.60 | 29 | $10,428.40 | $10,568.40 |
$-30.45 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:10pm ET | $359.54 | 29 | $10,426.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:40pm ET | $359.14 | 29 | $10,415.06 | $10,556.80 |
$-11.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $349.77 | 30 | $10,493.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $350.57 | 30 | $10,517.10 | $10,580.80 |
+$24.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $346.54 | 30 | $10,396.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $348.53 | 30 | $10,455.84 | $10,640.37 |
+$59.57 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $348.97 | 30 | $10,468.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $348.41 | 30 | $10,452.15 | $10,623.57 |
$-16.80 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $345.78 | 30 | $10,373.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $346.39 | 30 | $10,391.70 | $10,641.87 |
+$18.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET | $358.02 | 29 | $10,382.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 1:10pm ET | $357.71 | 29 | $10,373.72 | $10,633.01 |
$-8.86 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $356.28 | 29 | $10,332.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $354.90 | 29 | $10,292.10 | $10,592.99 |
$-40.02 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 12:50pm ET | $355.14 | 29 | $10,299.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:30pm ET | $355.86 | 29 | $10,319.94 | $10,613.87 |
+$20.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $351.54 | 30 | $10,546.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:25pm ET | $347.13 | 30 | $10,413.90 | $10,481.71 |
$-132.17 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:15pm ET | $346.69 | 30 | $10,400.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:25pm ET | $346.93 | 30 | $10,407.75 | $10,488.76 |
+$7.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $347.97 | 30 | $10,438.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET | $348.60 | 30 | $10,458.00 | $10,507.81 |
+$19.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $345.01 | 30 | $10,350.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $345.08 | 30 | $10,352.40 | $10,509.91 |
+$2.10 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET | $345.38 | 30 | $10,361.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $344.54 | 30 | $10,336.20 | $10,484.86 |
$-25.05 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $344.98 | 30 | $10,349.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $345.40 | 30 | $10,362.00 | $10,497.61 |
+$12.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $352.31 | 29 | $10,216.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $351.17 | 29 | $10,183.93 | $10,464.69 |
$-32.91 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $359.81 | 29 | $10,434.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.79 | 29 | $10,520.91 | $10,551.11 |
+$86.42 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.51 | 28 | $10,374.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $374.30 | 28 | $10,480.40 | $10,657.37 |
+$106.26 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $375.53 | 28 | $10,514.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $378.04 | 28 | $10,585.12 | $10,727.65 |
+$70.28 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $377.25 | 28 | $10,563.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $378.23 | 28 | $10,590.44 | $10,755.09 |
+$27.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $378.95 | 28 | $10,610.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $380.31 | 28 | $10,648.68 | $10,793.17 |
+$38.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $379.81 | 28 | $10,634.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $380.91 | 28 | $10,665.34 | $10,823.83 |
+$30.66 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $383.02 | 28 | $10,724.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:35pm ET | $384.07 | 28 | $10,753.96 | $10,853.37 |
+$29.54 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $383.79 | 28 | $10,746.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $382.83 | 28 | $10,719.24 | $10,826.49 |
$-26.88 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $377.83 | 28 | $10,579.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $374.47 | 28 | $10,485.16 | $10,732.55 |
$-93.94 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $371.10 | 28 | $10,390.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $372.08 | 28 | $10,418.10 | $10,759.99 |
+$27.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $380.24 | 28 | $10,646.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $381.43 | 28 | $10,680.04 | $10,793.31 |
+$33.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.47 | 28 | $10,793.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $383.50 | 28 | $10,738.00 | $10,738.15 |
$-55.16 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $383.73 | 27 | $10,360.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $384.75 | 27 | $10,388.25 | $10,765.56 |
+$27.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $389.08 | 27 | $10,505.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.37 | 27 | $10,377.99 | $10,638.39 |
$-127.17 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,638.39
Net Profit/Loss:
+$638.39
Total Return:
+6.38%