Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,642
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,566.65
Current Value
$12,646.85
Period P&L
$-1,919.87
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
19 / 18
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-10.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,046,463.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,919.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,919.87
Gross Return
-13.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,566.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $124.91 116 $14,489.56
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET $125.02 116 $14,501.89 $14,579.05 +$12.33
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $113.78 128 $14,563.84
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:25pm ET $113.87 128 $14,575.36 $14,590.57 +$11.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $114.84 127 $14,584.68
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $116.34 127 $14,775.18 $14,781.07 +$190.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $116.88 126 $14,726.26
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $107.06 126 $13,489.56 $13,544.37 $-1,236.70
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $105.93 127 $13,453.11
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:30pm ET $107.17 127 $13,610.59 $13,701.85 +$157.48
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $112.98 121 $13,670.58
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $111.76 121 $13,522.96 $13,554.23 $-147.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $127.35 106 $13,499.30
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $128.45 106 $13,615.70 $13,670.63 +$116.40
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $127.30 107 $13,621.10
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:50am ET $127.64 107 $13,657.48 $13,707.01 +$36.38
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $135.64 101 $13,699.64
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $135.27 101 $13,662.27 $13,669.64 $-37.37
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.24 101 $13,558.59
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET $136.46 101 $13,782.46 $13,893.51 +$223.87
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:20pm ET $134.44 103 $13,846.81
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $134.93 103 $13,898.16 $13,944.86 +$51.36
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $123.49 112 $13,830.32
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $125.21 112 $14,023.52 $14,138.06 +$193.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $117.55 120 $14,105.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET $117.98 120 $14,157.60 $14,190.26 +$52.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:10pm ET $119.32 118 $14,079.17
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $123.73 118 $14,600.14 $14,711.23 +$520.97
(+3.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET $121.00 121 $14,641.00
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $121.60 121 $14,713.60 $14,783.83 +$72.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:10pm ET $121.76 121 $14,732.96
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $122.25 121 $14,792.25 $14,843.12 +$59.29
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $119.95 123 $14,753.85
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $118.90 123 $14,624.70 $14,713.97 $-129.15
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $119.64 122 $14,596.12
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:40am ET $118.82 122 $14,496.04 $14,613.90 $-100.08
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $116.23 125 $14,528.13
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:30am ET $116.93 125 $14,616.25 $14,702.02 +$88.13
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:15pm ET $114.35 128 $14,636.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $113.31 128 $14,503.68 $14,568.90 $-133.12
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $121.49 119 $14,456.72
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $122.07 119 $14,526.33 $14,638.52 +$69.61
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $118.46 123 $14,570.15
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET $118.84 123 $14,617.32 $14,685.69 +$47.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.76 126 $14,585.76
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 126 $14,753.97 $14,853.90 +$168.21
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $117.74 126 $14,834.61
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $117.64 126 $14,822.63 $14,841.91 $-11.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $118.35 125 $14,793.75
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $116.86 125 $14,606.88 $14,655.04 $-186.87
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $117.37 124 $14,553.88
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $115.86 124 $14,366.64 $14,467.80 $-187.24
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.19 132 $14,412.47
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 132 $13,964.29 $14,019.62 $-448.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $106.51 131 $13,952.81
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $105.92 131 $13,875.52 $13,942.33 $-77.29
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 129 $13,928.76
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $107.74 129 $13,897.82 $13,911.38 $-30.95
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $105.53 131 $13,824.46
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $105.42 131 $13,810.02 $13,896.95 $-14.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.35 134 $13,848.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $102.42 134 $13,724.28 $13,772.33 $-124.62
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $101.70 135 $13,729.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $100.84 135 $13,613.40 $13,656.23 $-116.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.92 153 $13,604.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $89.63 153 $13,713.39 $13,765.62 +$109.39
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 166 $13,721.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.77 166 $13,407.69 $13,451.68 $-313.94
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $75.45 178 $13,430.10
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 178 $14,275.60 $14,297.18 +$845.50
(+6.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.54 163 $14,269.02
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 163 $14,081.57 $14,109.73 $-187.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.72 164 $14,058.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 164 $12,595.20 $12,646.85 $-1,462.88
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,646.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,646.85
Total Return: +26.47%
Back to Professor Mean