IBM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 38 trades in period
-7.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,412.08
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,264.73
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,024
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,264.73
Current Value
$10,412.08
Period P&L
$-852.61
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
19 /
19
Best Trade
+1.08%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$817,895.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-852.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-852.61
Gross Return
-7.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,264.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $306.27 | 36 | $11,025.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $299.90 | 36 | $10,796.31 | $11,073.10 |
$-229.23 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.89 | 36 | $10,976.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $303.14 | 36 | $10,913.04 | $11,010.10 |
$-63.00 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $292.66 | 37 | $10,828.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $293.40 | 37 | $10,855.80 | $11,037.48 |
+$27.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET | $289.69 | 38 | $11,008.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:50pm ET | $290.20 | 38 | $11,027.65 | $11,056.91 |
+$19.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $291.41 | 37 | $10,781.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $294.57 | 37 | $10,898.91 | $11,173.83 |
+$116.92 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:35pm ET | $305.54 | 36 | $10,999.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:05pm ET | $306.18 | 36 | $11,022.48 | $11,197.05 |
+$23.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $302.85 | 36 | $10,902.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $303.65 | 36 | $10,931.40 | $11,225.85 |
+$28.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $306.03 | 36 | $11,017.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:30am ET | $304.43 | 36 | $10,959.48 | $11,168.10 |
$-57.74 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:20pm ET | $303.17 | 36 | $10,914.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $303.54 | 36 | $10,927.44 | $11,181.51 |
+$13.41 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $307.58 | 36 | $11,072.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET | $306.92 | 36 | $11,049.12 | $11,157.93 |
$-23.58 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:25pm ET | $308.42 | 36 | $11,103.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $307.26 | 36 | $11,061.36 | $11,116.17 |
$-41.76 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:10pm ET | $310.48 | 35 | $10,866.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:10pm ET | $310.86 | 35 | $10,880.00 | $11,129.37 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $311.85 | 35 | $10,914.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $309.81 | 35 | $10,843.35 | $11,057.97 |
$-71.40 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $309.18 | 35 | $10,821.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $306.88 | 35 | $10,740.80 | $10,977.64 |
$-80.33 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $308.50 | 35 | $10,797.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:40pm ET | $309.33 | 35 | $10,826.55 | $11,006.74 |
+$29.09 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $304.23 | 36 | $10,952.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $304.87 | 36 | $10,975.32 | $11,029.78 |
+$23.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $300.91 | 36 | $10,832.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $299.35 | 36 | $10,776.60 | $10,973.62 |
$-56.16 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $301.80 | 36 | $10,864.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:15am ET | $302.67 | 36 | $10,896.12 | $11,004.94 |
+$31.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $302.95 | 36 | $10,906.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $303.48 | 36 | $10,925.28 | $11,024.02 |
+$19.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $305.82 | 36 | $11,009.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.11 | 36 | $10,947.96 | $10,962.46 |
$-61.56 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $300.49 | 36 | $10,817.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 12:00pm ET | $297.86 | 36 | $10,722.78 | $10,867.60 |
$-94.86 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $289.68 | 37 | $10,717.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $290.20 | 37 | $10,737.22 | $10,886.84 |
+$19.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $295.28 | 36 | $10,630.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.14 | 36 | $10,661.04 | $10,917.80 |
+$30.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $300.93 | 36 | $10,833.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $300.75 | 36 | $10,827.00 | $10,911.24 |
$-6.55 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $301.41 | 36 | $10,850.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $301.71 | 36 | $10,861.56 | $10,922.04 |
+$10.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.39 | 36 | $10,886.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $302.04 | 36 | $10,873.26 | $10,909.26 |
$-12.78 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $310.50 | 35 | $10,867.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $308.93 | 35 | $10,812.55 | $10,854.31 |
$-54.95 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $305.71 | 35 | $10,699.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $303.14 | 35 | $10,609.73 | $10,764.19 |
$-90.12 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.60 | 36 | $10,713.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $295.30 | 36 | $10,630.80 | $10,681.39 |
$-82.80 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $294.94 | 36 | $10,617.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $295.70 | 36 | $10,645.20 | $10,708.93 |
+$27.54 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $296.42 | 36 | $10,671.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $293.05 | 36 | $10,549.62 | $10,587.43 |
$-121.50 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $295.54 | 35 | $10,343.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $296.38 | 35 | $10,373.30 | $10,616.83 |
+$29.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $292.43 | 36 | $10,527.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $293.66 | 36 | $10,571.76 | $10,661.11 |
+$44.28 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $309.75 | 34 | $10,531.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $305.82 | 34 | $10,397.71 | $10,527.49 |
$-133.62 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $314.20 | 33 | $10,368.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.51 | 33 | $10,147.83 | $10,306.72 |
$-220.77 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.43 | 36 | $10,203.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $285.89 | 36 | $10,292.22 | $10,395.46 |
+$88.74 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.77 | 35 | $10,246.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $294.32 | 35 | $10,301.03 | $10,449.53 |
+$54.08 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $293.44 | 35 | $10,270.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $292.37 | 35 | $10,232.95 | $10,412.08 |
$-37.45 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,412.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$412.08
Total Return:
+4.12%