Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.7

30-Day Momentum

75
+10.2%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.3 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+57 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,894
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,960.49
Current Value
$10,768.33
Period P&L
$807.92
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
24 / 13
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$732,780.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$807.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$807.92
Gross Return
+8.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,960.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $50.78 196 $9,952.88
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $50.67 196 $9,930.34 $9,937.87 $-22.54
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $50.22 197 $9,892.36
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.19 197 $9,888.02 $9,933.54 $-4.33
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.76 208 $9,933.04
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.80 208 $9,942.40 $9,942.90 +$9.36
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $45.95 216 $9,925.20
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $46.45 216 $10,033.20 $10,050.90 +$108.00
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $46.22 217 $10,028.66
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $45.56 217 $9,885.44 $9,907.68 $-143.22
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $43.88 225 $9,871.88
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:55am ET $43.63 225 $9,815.63 $9,851.43 $-56.25
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $43.86 224 $9,824.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $43.60 224 $9,765.28 $9,792.07 $-59.36
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $46.02 212 $9,756.24
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $46.42 212 $9,841.00 $9,876.83 +$84.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $46.43 212 $9,843.16
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET $45.46 212 $9,637.52 $9,671.19 $-205.64
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $44.18 218 $9,631.24
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET $44.95 218 $9,798.32 $9,838.27 +$167.08
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $43.01 228 $9,807.42
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $44.06 228 $10,045.68 $10,076.53 +$238.26
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $44.87 224 $10,049.76
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $45.82 224 $10,264.26 $10,291.03 +$214.50
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $44.53 231 $10,285.28
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $44.85 231 $10,360.35 $10,366.10 +$75.07
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $47.13 219 $10,321.47
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $46.93 219 $10,277.67 $10,322.30 $-43.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $47.36 217 $10,277.55
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET $46.08 217 $9,999.36 $10,044.11 $-278.19
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $45.41 221 $10,034.75
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $45.58 221 $10,072.52 $10,081.88 +$37.77
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $46.95 214 $10,047.30
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET $45.12 214 $9,655.68 $9,690.26 $-391.62
(-3.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $45.04 215 $9,684.67
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $43.99 215 $9,458.92 $9,464.51 $-225.75
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $44.60 212 $9,456.26
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $43.98 212 $9,323.76 $9,332.01 $-132.50
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.50 214 $9,309.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $44.06 214 $9,427.77 $9,450.78 +$118.77
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.39 199 $9,430.61
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.53 199 $9,457.48 $9,477.65 +$26.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.55 217 $9,450.35
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $43.53 217 $9,447.09 $9,474.40 $-3.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $40.81 232 $9,466.76
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $40.99 232 $9,509.68 $9,517.32 +$42.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.96 198 $9,496.55
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $48.06 198 $9,514.89 $9,535.66 +$18.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $50.17 190 $9,533.25
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.61 190 $9,616.00 $9,618.41 +$82.75
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.83 185 $9,587.63
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.40 185 $9,693.08 $9,723.86 +$105.45
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $62.57 155 $9,698.35
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $64.26 155 $9,960.30 $9,985.81 +$261.95
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $63.39 157 $9,952.23
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $62.50 157 $9,812.50 $9,846.08 $-139.73
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $68.99 142 $9,796.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $69.84 142 $9,916.87 $9,966.37 +$120.29
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $65.55 152 $9,963.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $65.73 152 $9,990.96 $9,993.73 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $65.61 152 $9,973.48
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $65.63 152 $9,975.76 $9,996.01 +$2.28
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $66.88 149 $9,965.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $67.67 149 $10,082.81 $10,113.71 +$117.70
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 124 $10,102.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $83.70 124 $10,378.80 $10,390.23 +$276.52
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $92.59 112 $10,369.75
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $93.04 112 $10,421.04 $10,441.51 +$51.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $98.81 105 $10,375.31
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $99.01 105 $10,396.05 $10,462.25 +$20.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
36 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $96.44 108 $10,415.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $96.89 108 $10,463.58 $10,510.31 +$48.06
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
37 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $108.00 97 $10,476.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $110.66 97 $10,734.02 $10,768.33 +$258.02
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,768.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$768.33
Total Return: +7.68%
Back to Professor Mean