IWM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 38 trades in period
+5.22%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,019.66
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$9,522.69
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
0.7/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
12.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.6
30-Day Momentum
40
+2.3%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,522.69
Current Value
$10,019.66
Period P&L
$497.00
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
25 /
13
Best Trade
+1.43%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
9.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$735,240.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$497.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$497.00
Gross Return
+5.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,522.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $243.29 | 39 | $9,488.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $241.86 | 39 | $9,432.54 | $9,466.89 |
$-55.77 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.10 | 38 | $9,313.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $247.10 | 38 | $9,389.80 | $9,542.89 |
+$76.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $250.70 | 38 | $9,526.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $251.44 | 38 | $9,554.72 | $9,571.20 |
+$28.31 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $248.82 | 38 | $9,454.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $248.27 | 38 | $9,434.26 | $9,550.49 |
$-20.71 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $242.84 | 39 | $9,470.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.09 | 39 | $9,558.51 | $9,638.24 |
+$87.75 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $251.14 | 38 | $9,543.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $250.15 | 38 | $9,505.51 | $9,600.43 |
$-37.81 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $251.70 | 38 | $9,564.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $252.07 | 38 | $9,578.66 | $9,614.49 |
+$14.06 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $250.67 | 38 | $9,525.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $252.22 | 38 | $9,584.36 | $9,673.39 |
+$58.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $261.66 | 36 | $9,419.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $262.16 | 36 | $9,437.76 | $9,691.39 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $267.70 | 36 | $9,637.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $268.32 | 36 | $9,659.34 | $9,713.53 |
+$22.14 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $268.60 | 36 | $9,669.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $269.17 | 36 | $9,690.12 | $9,734.05 |
+$20.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.71 | 35 | $9,614.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $275.42 | 35 | $9,639.70 | $9,758.87 |
+$24.82 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $277.03 | 35 | $9,696.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $275.82 | 35 | $9,653.70 | $9,716.52 |
$-42.35 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $275.69 | 35 | $9,649.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $274.96 | 35 | $9,623.60 | $9,690.97 |
$-25.55 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $276.54 | 35 | $9,678.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.20 | 35 | $9,702.00 | $9,714.07 |
+$23.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $276.10 | 35 | $9,663.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $273.63 | 35 | $9,577.05 | $9,627.62 |
$-86.45 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $270.51 | 35 | $9,467.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $271.57 | 35 | $9,504.95 | $9,664.72 |
+$37.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $276.98 | 34 | $9,417.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $278.43 | 34 | $9,466.79 | $9,714.19 |
+$49.47 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $278.43 | 34 | $9,466.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $277.59 | 34 | $9,438.06 | $9,685.63 |
$-28.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $285.45 | 33 | $9,419.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $285.43 | 33 | $9,419.19 | $9,684.90 |
$-0.73 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $285.81 | 33 | $9,431.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $286.57 | 33 | $9,456.81 | $9,709.98 |
+$25.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $280.12 | 34 | $9,524.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $281.47 | 34 | $9,569.98 | $9,755.88 |
+$45.90 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $283.97 | 34 | $9,654.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $284.59 | 34 | $9,676.06 | $9,776.96 |
+$21.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $277.61 | 35 | $9,716.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.52 | 35 | $9,748.20 | $9,808.63 |
+$31.67 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $272.17 | 36 | $9,798.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $271.78 | 36 | $9,784.08 | $9,794.59 |
$-14.04 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.57 | 35 | $9,749.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $280.50 | 35 | $9,817.50 | $9,862.14 |
+$67.55 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $284.64 | 34 | $9,677.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.71 | 34 | $9,816.14 | $10,000.52 |
+$138.38 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.51 | 34 | $9,843.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $290.42 | 34 | $9,874.28 | $10,031.46 |
+$30.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $289.78 | 34 | $9,852.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $289.91 | 34 | $9,856.94 | $10,035.88 |
+$4.42 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $289.03 | 34 | $9,827.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $290.75 | 34 | $9,885.50 | $10,094.36 |
+$58.48 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $288.80 | 34 | $9,819.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $287.98 | 34 | $9,791.49 | $10,066.65 |
$-27.71 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $291.99 | 34 | $9,927.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.07 | 34 | $9,828.38 | $9,967.37 |
$-99.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $284.64 | 35 | $9,962.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $284.94 | 35 | $9,972.90 | $9,977.87 |
+$10.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $284.89 | 35 | $9,971.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $284.70 | 35 | $9,964.50 | $9,971.22 |
$-6.65 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $284.81 | 35 | $9,968.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $288.54 | 35 | $10,098.90 | $10,101.77 |
+$130.55 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $293.37 | 34 | $9,974.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $293.55 | 34 | $9,980.70 | $10,107.89 |
+$6.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $293.12 | 34 | $9,966.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $293.67 | 34 | $9,984.61 | $10,126.42 |
+$18.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $294.65 | 34 | $10,018.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $291.51 | 34 | $9,911.34 | $10,019.66 |
$-106.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,019.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$19.66
Total Return:
+0.20%