JNJ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 34 trades in period
+6.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,199.62
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$11,505.66
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality
47.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 46.9
30-Day Momentum
29
+1.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.4
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,824
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,505.66
Current Value
$12,199.62
Period P&L
$694.00
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
23 /
11
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$795,748.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$694.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$694.00
Gross Return
+6.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,505.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $240.01 | 47 | $11,280.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.95 | 47 | $11,230.65 | $11,455.80 |
$-49.82 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $239.67 | 47 | $11,264.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $239.17 | 47 | $11,240.99 | $11,432.30 |
$-23.50 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $242.70 | 47 | $11,406.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $243.66 | 47 | $11,452.25 | $11,477.89 |
+$45.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $244.89 | 46 | $11,264.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:25pm ET | $245.35 | 46 | $11,286.10 | $11,499.05 |
+$21.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $242.42 | 47 | $11,393.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.85 | 47 | $11,507.95 | $11,613.26 |
+$114.21 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $246.05 | 47 | $11,564.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $245.88 | 47 | $11,556.59 | $11,605.50 |
$-7.76 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.23 | 47 | $11,478.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $243.43 | 47 | $11,440.98 | $11,567.67 |
$-37.83 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.34 | 47 | $11,530.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $245.77 | 47 | $11,551.19 | $11,587.88 |
+$20.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $245.09 | 47 | $11,519.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $245.54 | 47 | $11,540.61 | $11,609.27 |
+$21.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $241.90 | 47 | $11,369.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $242.13 | 47 | $11,380.11 | $11,620.32 |
+$11.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $242.96 | 47 | $11,419.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $242.73 | 47 | $11,408.31 | $11,609.51 |
$-10.81 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $243.41 | 47 | $11,440.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.10 | 47 | $11,472.47 | $11,641.70 |
+$32.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $241.38 | 48 | $11,586.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $241.16 | 48 | $11,575.64 | $11,631.10 |
$-10.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $236.90 | 49 | $11,607.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $237.32 | 49 | $11,628.56 | $11,651.80 |
+$20.70 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.18 | 49 | $11,622.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $237.72 | 49 | $11,648.28 | $11,678.02 |
+$26.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $234.55 | 49 | $11,493.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $235.32 | 49 | $11,530.68 | $11,715.51 |
+$37.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $234.58 | 49 | $11,494.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.76 | 49 | $11,601.24 | $11,822.33 |
+$106.82 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $239.32 | 49 | $11,726.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $240.29 | 49 | $11,774.21 | $11,870.10 |
+$47.77 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $241.54 | 49 | $11,835.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.04 | 49 | $11,957.96 | $11,992.84 |
+$122.74 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $242.84 | 49 | $11,898.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:15pm ET | $243.32 | 49 | $11,922.92 | $12,016.85 |
+$24.01 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $243.43 | 49 | $11,928.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $243.76 | 49 | $11,944.24 | $12,033.02 |
+$16.17 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.19 | 50 | $12,009.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.80 | 50 | $11,890.00 | $11,913.52 |
$-119.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.84 | 50 | $11,792.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $238.15 | 50 | $11,907.50 | $12,029.02 |
+$115.50 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $243.05 | 49 | $11,909.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $239.42 | 49 | $11,731.58 | $11,851.15 |
$-177.87 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.67 | 50 | $11,733.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.66 | 50 | $11,883.25 | $12,000.90 |
+$149.75 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.80 | 50 | $11,890.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $237.68 | 50 | $11,883.75 | $11,994.65 |
$-6.25 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $232.55 | 51 | $11,860.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $234.14 | 51 | $11,941.14 | $12,075.74 |
+$81.09 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $232.46 | 51 | $11,855.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $232.82 | 51 | $11,873.82 | $12,094.10 |
+$18.36 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $230.39 | 52 | $11,980.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.79 | 52 | $11,949.08 | $12,062.90 |
$-31.20 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.55 | 53 | $11,954.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $227.91 | 53 | $12,079.23 | $12,188.03 |
+$125.13 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $228.97 | 53 | $12,135.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $227.11 | 53 | $12,036.83 | $12,089.45 |
$-98.58 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $227.04 | 53 | $12,033.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.26 | 53 | $12,097.52 | $12,153.85 |
+$64.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.90 | 53 | $12,131.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $229.57 | 53 | $12,167.21 | $12,189.63 |
+$35.78 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $224.41 | 54 | $12,118.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $224.60 | 54 | $12,128.40 | $12,199.62 |
+$9.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,199.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,199.62
Total Return:
+22.00%