Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,850
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
72 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,154.43
Current Value
$11,432.30
Period P&L
$277.91
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
23 / 10
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$738,766.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$277.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$277.91
Gross Return
+2.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 72 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,154.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.96 56 $10,973.76
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $197.13 56 $11,039.28 $11,219.91 +$65.52
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $202.12 55 $11,116.33
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $202.42 55 $11,132.83 $11,236.41 +$16.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $205.64 54 $11,104.56
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:35pm ET $205.82 54 $11,114.28 $11,246.13 +$9.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:40pm ET $204.50 54 $11,043.00
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.35 54 $11,088.63 $11,291.76 +$45.63
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.29 54 $11,139.39
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET $207.01 54 $11,178.27 $11,330.64 +$38.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $206.23 54 $11,136.15
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:50am ET $205.81 54 $11,113.74 $11,308.23 $-22.41
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.97 54 $11,122.38
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $205.52 54 $11,098.08 $11,283.93 $-24.30
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $205.45 54 $11,094.03
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,293.38 +$9.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:20pm ET $201.85 55 $11,101.94
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $202.14 55 $11,117.43 $11,308.87 +$15.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $202.04 55 $11,111.93
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $204.29 55 $11,235.95 $11,432.90 +$124.03
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $209.76 54 $11,326.77
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $209.45 54 $11,310.30 $11,416.43 $-16.47
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $213.44 53 $11,312.32
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:20pm ET $209.48 53 $11,102.44 $11,206.55 $-209.88
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $210.43 53 $11,152.79
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $210.01 53 $11,130.53 $11,184.29 $-22.26
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET $208.15 53 $11,031.95
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET $208.56 53 $11,053.68 $11,206.02 +$21.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $204.16 54 $11,024.37
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $206.44 54 $11,147.49 $11,329.14 +$123.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:10am ET $207.29 54 $11,193.66
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $206.99 54 $11,177.46 $11,312.94 $-16.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $207.99 54 $11,231.46
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $206.74 54 $11,163.69 $11,245.17 $-67.77
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $206.50 54 $11,151.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:30am ET $206.81 54 $11,167.74 $11,261.91 +$16.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $206.20 54 $11,134.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $206.42 54 $11,146.68 $11,273.79 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:45am ET $205.35 54 $11,088.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,288.37 +$14.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $206.35 54 $11,142.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $206.72 54 $11,162.88 $11,308.35 +$19.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $205.26 55 $11,289.31
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $204.81 55 $11,264.55 $11,283.59 $-24.76
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.97 52 $11,282.44
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $217.24 52 $11,296.22 $11,297.37 +$13.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $218.85 51 $11,161.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET $219.49 51 $11,193.99 $11,330.27 +$32.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $217.20 52 $11,294.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $217.87 52 $11,328.98 $11,364.85 +$34.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $219.06 51 $11,171.81
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $219.39 51 $11,188.89 $11,381.93 +$17.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $224.37 50 $11,218.50
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 $11,402.93 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $227.30 50 $11,365.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $227.66 50 $11,383.00 $11,420.93 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $227.09 50 $11,354.25
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $227.56 50 $11,378.00 $11,444.68 +$23.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.40 49 $11,436.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $234.10 49 $11,470.90 $11,478.98 +$34.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $237.32 48 $11,391.36
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $237.88 48 $11,418.00 $11,505.62 +$26.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.01 47 $11,280.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $238.95 47 $11,230.65 $11,455.80 $-49.82
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $239.67 47 $11,264.49
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $239.17 47 $11,240.99 $11,432.30 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,432.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,432.30
Total Return: +14.32%
Back to Professor Mean