Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 31.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 30.9

30-Day Momentum

24
+0.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,838
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,481.42
Current Value
$10,992.74
Period P&L
$511.38
Max Drawdown
-6.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
27 / 9
Best Trade
+0.96%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$771,544.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$511.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$511.38
Gross Return
+4.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,481.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $78.43 133 $10,431.85
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $78.57 133 $10,449.15 $10,498.65 +$17.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $76.68 136 $10,428.13
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET $76.51 136 $10,405.36 $10,475.88 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $78.71 133 $10,467.77
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.69 133 $10,465.77 $10,473.89 $-1.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $78.95 132 $10,421.43
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $79.11 132 $10,442.20 $10,494.67 +$20.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $79.89 131 $10,465.59
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $80.60 131 $10,558.98 $10,588.06 +$93.39
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $79.61 132 $10,509.18
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $80.28 132 $10,597.30 $10,676.18 +$88.12
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $80.43 132 $10,616.76
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $80.59 132 $10,637.23 $10,696.65 +$20.47
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $81.10 131 $10,624.65
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $80.57 131 $10,554.67 $10,626.67 $-69.98
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.14 134 $10,604.76
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:40am ET $78.07 134 $10,461.38 $10,483.29 $-143.38
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $77.10 135 $10,407.83
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $77.31 135 $10,436.85 $10,512.31 +$29.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.61 137 $10,496.25
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET $77.03 137 $10,553.11 $10,569.17 +$56.86
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $78.06 135 $10,538.10
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $77.41 135 $10,450.35 $10,481.42 $-87.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $77.18 135 $10,419.97
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $77.45 135 $10,455.75 $10,517.19 +$35.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $77.27 136 $10,508.72
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $78.01 136 $10,609.36 $10,617.83 +$100.64
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $77.68 136 $10,564.48
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:45am ET $77.92 136 $10,597.12 $10,650.47 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $76.28 139 $10,602.23
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET $76.48 139 $10,630.73 $10,678.98 +$28.51
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $75.57 141 $10,655.37
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $75.85 141 $10,694.85 $10,718.46 +$39.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.68 143 $10,678.54
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $74.80 143 $10,695.83 $10,735.75 +$17.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $75.06 143 $10,733.58
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $75.27 143 $10,763.61 $10,765.78 +$30.03
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $75.18 143 $10,750.74
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $75.36 143 $10,777.19 $10,792.23 +$26.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $75.47 143 $10,792.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $76.07 143 $10,878.01 $10,878.03 +$85.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $75.45 144 $10,864.80
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $75.83 144 $10,920.24 $10,933.47 +$55.44
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $76.57 142 $10,872.94
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.70 142 $10,891.40 $10,951.93 +$18.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $77.04 142 $10,938.97
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $77.11 142 $10,950.33 $10,963.29 +$11.36
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $75.64 144 $10,892.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $75.93 144 $10,933.92 $11,005.05 +$41.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $77.95 141 $10,990.95
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $78.04 141 $11,003.64 $11,017.74 +$12.69
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:30am ET $76.04 144 $10,949.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $76.01 144 $10,945.44 $11,013.42 $-4.32
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $76.19 144 $10,972.08
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $75.47 144 $10,868.40 $10,909.74 $-103.68
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $74.99 145 $10,873.55
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $75.35 145 $10,925.03 $10,961.22 +$51.48
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $75.81 144 $10,916.64
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $75.90 144 $10,929.60 $10,974.18 +$12.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $74.90 146 $10,935.39
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:45am ET $74.82 146 $10,923.72 $10,962.51 $-11.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $76.43 143 $10,929.49
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $76.55 143 $10,946.65 $10,979.67 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.28 143 $10,908.04
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $76.53 143 $10,943.08 $11,014.71 +$35.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $79.79 138 $11,011.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $78.72 138 $10,863.36 $10,867.05 $-147.66
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $78.67 138 $10,856.46
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $78.82 138 $10,877.85 $10,888.44 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
36 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.76 140 $10,886.40
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $78.50 140 $10,990.70 $10,992.74 +$104.30
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,992.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$992.74
Total Return: +9.93%
Back to Professor Mean