LCID Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
-3.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,033.43
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,379.13
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
11.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.2
30-Day Momentum
16
-4.8%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,852
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,379.13
Current Value
$9,033.43
Period P&L
$-345.65
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-5.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$664,280.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-345.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-345.65
Gross Return
-3.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,379.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $9.69 | 985 | $9,549.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.80 | 985 | $9,653.10 | $9,654.98 |
+$103.52 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $11.06 | 872 | $9,645.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $11.09 | 872 | $9,670.48 | $9,679.83 |
+$24.85 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.95 | 884 | $9,679.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $11.03 | 884 | $9,754.94 | $9,754.97 |
+$75.14 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.03 | 972 | $9,751.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.02 | 972 | $9,734.58 | $9,738.25 |
$-16.72 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.94 | 979 | $9,731.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $9.86 | 979 | $9,651.37 | $9,658.46 |
$-79.79 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.50 | 1,016 | $9,652.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.60 | 1,016 | $9,748.52 | $9,754.98 |
+$96.52 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.07 | 968 | $9,747.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.98 | 968 | $9,660.64 | $9,667.86 |
$-87.12 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $9.96 | 970 | $9,661.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.02 | 970 | $9,724.25 | $9,730.91 |
+$63.05 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.93 | 980 | $9,726.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.19 | 980 | $9,981.30 | $9,985.71 |
+$254.80 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.94 | 1,004 | $9,979.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $9.77 | 1,004 | $9,809.08 | $9,815.03 |
$-170.68 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $9.73 | 1,008 | $9,807.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.55 | 1,008 | $9,626.40 | $9,633.59 |
$-181.44 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.44 | 923 | $9,631.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.38 | 923 | $9,576.13 | $9,578.21 |
$-55.38 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.14 | 945 | $9,577.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $9.86 | 945 | $9,317.61 | $9,318.24 |
$-259.97 (-2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $9.81 | 950 | $9,314.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $9.87 | 950 | $9,376.50 | $9,379.99 |
+$61.75 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $10.14 | 925 | $9,379.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $10.25 | 925 | $9,481.25 | $9,481.74 |
+$101.75 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.10 | 938 | $9,478.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $10.18 | 938 | $9,548.56 | $9,551.81 |
+$70.07 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $10.22 | 934 | $9,545.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.28 | 934 | $9,601.52 | $9,607.85 |
+$56.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.21 | 941 | $9,607.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.44 | 941 | $9,828.74 | $9,828.98 |
+$221.13 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.51 | 935 | $9,826.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $9.91 | 935 | $9,270.52 | $9,272.65 |
$-556.33 (-5.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $9.11 | 1,017 | $9,264.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $9.16 | 1,017 | $9,320.80 | $9,328.59 |
+$55.94 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 992 | $9,324.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.56 | 992 | $9,488.48 | $9,492.27 |
+$163.68 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.11 | 1,041 | $9,488.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $9.28 | 1,041 | $9,660.48 | $9,664.03 |
+$171.76 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $8.65 | 1,116 | $9,658.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $8.75 | 1,116 | $9,765.00 | $9,770.05 |
+$106.02 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.77 | 1,114 | $9,769.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.88 | 1,114 | $9,892.32 | $9,892.59 |
+$122.54 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $8.72 | 1,135 | $9,891.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $8.65 | 1,135 | $9,812.08 | $9,813.14 |
$-79.45 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.74 | 1,123 | $9,811.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.52 | 1,123 | $9,573.57 | $9,575.06 |
$-238.08 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.05 | 1,190 | $9,573.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.61 | 1,190 | $9,055.78 | $9,057.29 |
$-517.77 (-5.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.61 | 1,190 | $9,055.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $7.31 | 1,190 | $8,698.90 | $8,700.29 |
$-357.00 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $6.88 | 1,265 | $8,696.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,265 | $9,152.28 | $9,155.69 |
+$455.40 (+5.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,320 | $9,154.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $7.05 | 1,320 | $9,299.40 | $9,300.89 |
+$145.20 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.26 | 1,484 | $9,297.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $6.31 | 1,484 | $9,364.04 | $9,367.67 |
+$66.78 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.30 | 1,485 | $9,362.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $6.08 | 1,485 | $9,028.80 | $9,033.55 |
$-334.12 (-3.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.83 | 1,549 | $9,030.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $5.68 | 1,549 | $8,806.06 | $8,808.95 |
$-224.60 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $6.47 | 1,361 | $8,805.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $6.55 | 1,361 | $8,915.91 | $8,919.19 |
+$110.24 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.64 | 1,344 | $8,917.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $6.72 | 1,344 | $9,031.68 | $9,033.43 |
+$114.24 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,033.43
Net Profit/Loss:
$-966.57
Total Return:
-9.67%