LCID Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 38 trades in period
-17.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,861.72
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,551.85
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
10.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.7
30-Day Momentum
19
-2.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,551.85
Current Value
$7,861.72
Period P&L
$-1,690.10
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 /
14
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-6.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$669,691.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,690.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,690.10
Gross Return
-17.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,551.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $10.22 | 934 | $9,545.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.28 | 934 | $9,601.52 | $9,607.85 |
+$56.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.21 | 941 | $9,607.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.44 | 941 | $9,828.74 | $9,828.98 |
+$221.13 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.51 | 935 | $9,826.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $9.91 | 935 | $9,270.52 | $9,272.65 |
$-556.33 (-5.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $9.11 | 1,017 | $9,264.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $9.16 | 1,017 | $9,320.80 | $9,328.59 |
+$55.94 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 992 | $9,324.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.56 | 992 | $9,488.48 | $9,492.27 |
+$163.68 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $9.11 | 1,041 | $9,488.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $9.28 | 1,041 | $9,660.48 | $9,664.03 |
+$171.76 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $8.65 | 1,116 | $9,658.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $8.75 | 1,116 | $9,765.00 | $9,770.05 |
+$106.02 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.77 | 1,114 | $9,769.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.88 | 1,114 | $9,892.32 | $9,892.59 |
+$122.54 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $8.72 | 1,135 | $9,891.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $8.65 | 1,135 | $9,812.08 | $9,813.14 |
$-79.45 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.74 | 1,123 | $9,811.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.52 | 1,123 | $9,573.57 | $9,575.06 |
$-238.08 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.05 | 1,190 | $9,573.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.61 | 1,190 | $9,055.78 | $9,057.29 |
$-517.77 (-5.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.61 | 1,190 | $9,055.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $7.31 | 1,190 | $8,698.90 | $8,700.29 |
$-357.00 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $6.88 | 1,265 | $8,696.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,265 | $9,152.28 | $9,155.69 |
+$455.40 (+5.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,320 | $9,154.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $7.05 | 1,320 | $9,299.40 | $9,300.89 |
+$145.20 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.26 | 1,484 | $9,297.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $6.31 | 1,484 | $9,364.04 | $9,367.67 |
+$66.78 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.30 | 1,485 | $9,362.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $6.08 | 1,485 | $9,028.80 | $9,033.55 |
$-334.12 (-3.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.83 | 1,549 | $9,030.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $5.68 | 1,549 | $8,806.06 | $8,808.95 |
$-224.60 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $6.47 | 1,361 | $8,805.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $6.55 | 1,361 | $8,915.91 | $8,919.19 |
+$110.24 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.64 | 1,344 | $8,917.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $6.72 | 1,344 | $9,031.68 | $9,033.43 |
+$114.24 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,498 | $9,031.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.98 | 1,498 | $8,958.04 | $8,960.18 |
$-73.25 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.00 | 1,493 | $8,958.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $6.05 | 1,493 | $9,032.50 | $9,034.68 |
+$74.50 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.11 | 1,478 | $9,030.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $5.92 | 1,478 | $8,753.46 | $8,757.56 |
$-277.13 (-3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.91 | 1,480 | $8,754.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $5.93 | 1,480 | $8,776.40 | $8,779.76 |
+$22.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $6.43 | 1,366 | $8,776.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,366 | $8,236.98 | $8,240.19 |
$-539.57 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.89 | 1,400 | $8,239.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:15pm ET | $5.69 | 1,400 | $7,964.04 | $7,965.23 |
$-274.96 (-3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $5.61 | 1,419 | $7,960.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.67 | 1,419 | $8,045.73 | $8,050.37 |
+$85.14 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.65 | 1,424 | $8,045.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.70 | 1,424 | $8,123.92 | $8,128.69 |
+$78.32 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $5.90 | 1,377 | $8,124.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $5.93 | 1,377 | $8,172.49 | $8,176.88 |
+$48.19 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $6.01 | 1,361 | $8,172.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $6.04 | 1,361 | $8,220.44 | $8,224.51 |
+$47.63 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.41 | 1,282 | $8,224.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $6.52 | 1,282 | $8,358.51 | $8,358.99 |
+$134.48 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $6.71 | 1,245 | $8,353.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $6.76 | 1,245 | $8,422.42 | $8,427.46 |
+$68.47 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.37 | 1,322 | $8,421.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.96 | 1,322 | $7,878.86 | $7,884.78 |
$-542.68 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $5.70 | 1,382 | $7,884.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $5.74 | 1,382 | $7,932.68 | $7,933.15 |
+$48.37 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.04 | 1,574 | $7,932.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $5.07 | 1,574 | $7,972.31 | $7,972.50 |
+$39.35 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.95 | 1,608 | $7,967.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $4.90 | 1,608 | $7,871.96 | $7,876.82 |
$-95.68 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $5.01 | 1,570 | $7,873.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $5.09 | 1,570 | $7,999.15 | $8,002.42 |
+$125.60 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $5.40 | 1,481 | $7,997.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.30 | 1,481 | $7,856.70 | $7,861.72 |
$-140.70 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $5.32 | 1,477 | $7,857.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $5.32 | 1,477 | $7,857.64 | $7,861.72 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,861.72
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,138.28
Total Return:
-21.38%