MA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 37 trades in period
+0.24%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,970.48
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,944.39
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 29.6
30-Day Momentum
17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,944.39
Current Value
$10,970.48
Period P&L
$26.09
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+1.17%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$801,890.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$26.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$26.09
Gross Return
+0.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,944.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $496.95 | 22 | $10,932.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $498.05 | 22 | $10,957.10 | $10,968.59 |
+$24.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.10 | 22 | $10,936.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $496.80 | 22 | $10,929.71 | $10,962.21 |
$-6.38 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $495.68 | 22 | $10,904.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $499.51 | 22 | $10,989.11 | $11,046.36 |
+$84.15 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $500.34 | 22 | $11,007.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $500.86 | 22 | $11,018.92 | $11,057.80 |
+$11.44 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $482.78 | 22 | $10,621.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.45 | 22 | $10,745.79 | $11,182.43 |
+$124.63 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $496.21 | 22 | $10,916.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $494.56 | 22 | $10,880.32 | $11,146.13 |
$-36.30 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.24 | 22 | $10,983.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $501.63 | 22 | $11,035.82 | $11,198.67 |
+$52.54 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $509.48 | 21 | $10,699.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $509.46 | 21 | $10,698.66 | $11,198.25 |
$-0.42 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $501.01 | 22 | $11,022.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $497.74 | 22 | $10,950.28 | $11,126.31 |
$-71.94 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $511.98 | 21 | $10,751.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $511.29 | 21 | $10,737.09 | $11,111.82 |
$-14.49 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $518.81 | 21 | $10,894.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $519.47 | 21 | $10,908.91 | $11,125.78 |
+$13.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $523.32 | 21 | $10,989.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $523.15 | 21 | $10,986.15 | $11,122.32 |
$-3.46 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $511.84 | 21 | $10,748.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $512.17 | 21 | $10,755.57 | $11,129.25 |
+$6.93 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $504.57 | 22 | $11,100.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $502.49 | 22 | $11,054.89 | $11,083.60 |
$-45.65 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $501.69 | 22 | $11,037.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $505.82 | 22 | $11,128.04 | $11,174.46 |
+$90.86 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $513.77 | 21 | $10,789.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $512.65 | 21 | $10,765.65 | $11,150.94 |
$-23.52 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $513.96 | 21 | $10,793.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:45am ET | $507.56 | 21 | $10,658.76 | $11,016.54 |
$-134.40 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $495.01 | 22 | $10,890.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $495.01 | 22 | $10,890.22 | $11,016.54 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.37 | 22 | $11,008.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $502.39 | 22 | $11,052.58 | $11,060.98 |
+$44.44 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $498.93 | 22 | $10,976.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $494.22 | 22 | $10,872.80 | $10,957.32 |
$-103.66 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $498.06 | 22 | $10,957.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $499.00 | 22 | $10,978.00 | $10,978.00 |
+$20.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.40 | 22 | $10,898.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $492.93 | 22 | $10,844.46 | $10,923.66 |
$-54.34 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $489.39 | 22 | $10,766.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $489.59 | 22 | $10,770.98 | $10,928.06 |
+$4.40 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.95 | 22 | $10,800.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $493.61 | 22 | $10,859.42 | $10,986.58 |
+$58.52 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $494.63 | 22 | $10,881.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $493.39 | 22 | $10,854.58 | $10,959.30 |
$-27.28 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $499.41 | 21 | $10,487.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.35 | 21 | $10,507.35 | $10,979.04 |
+$19.74 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $494.36 | 22 | $10,875.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $493.94 | 22 | $10,866.68 | $10,969.80 |
$-9.24 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.05 | 22 | $10,847.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $488.65 | 22 | $10,750.30 | $10,872.89 |
$-96.91 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $494.21 | 22 | $10,872.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $494.67 | 22 | $10,882.63 | $10,882.90 |
+$10.01 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $481.82 | 22 | $10,600.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $482.42 | 22 | $10,613.24 | $10,896.10 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $483.00 | 22 | $10,626.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $480.11 | 22 | $10,562.53 | $10,832.63 |
$-63.47 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $487.95 | 22 | $10,735.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $488.64 | 22 | $10,750.08 | $10,847.70 |
+$15.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $492.43 | 22 | $10,833.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $496.35 | 22 | $10,919.59 | $10,933.83 |
+$86.13 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $487.48 | 22 | $10,724.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $486.24 | 22 | $10,697.28 | $10,906.55 |
$-27.28 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $487.19 | 22 | $10,718.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET | $488.27 | 22 | $10,741.83 | $10,930.19 |
+$23.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $497.18 | 21 | $10,440.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $499.13 | 21 | $10,481.73 | $10,971.14 |
+$40.95 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $493.72 | 22 | $10,861.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $493.69 | 22 | $10,861.18 | $10,970.48 |
$-0.66 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,970.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$970.48
Total Return:
+9.70%