MARA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 41 trades in period
+10.31%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,525.11
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,447.82
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,981
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,447.82
Current Value
$11,525.11
Period P&L
$1,077.32
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
25 /
16
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$891,481.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,077.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,077.32
Gross Return
+10.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,447.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:15pm ET | $12.15 | 859 | $10,436.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $12.12 | 859 | $10,410.48 | $10,421.33 |
$-26.46 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $11.87 | 878 | $10,417.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $11.61 | 878 | $10,193.58 | $10,197.44 |
$-223.89 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $11.18 | 912 | $10,196.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:05pm ET | $10.81 | 912 | $9,858.72 | $9,860.00 |
$-337.44 (-3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:20pm ET | $10.02 | 984 | $9,854.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $10.60 | 984 | $10,428.38 | $10,433.62 |
+$573.62 (+5.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $10.90 | 957 | $10,431.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:55am ET | $10.86 | 957 | $10,389.00 | $10,391.32 |
$-42.30 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $10.99 | 945 | $10,385.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $11.09 | 945 | $10,479.01 | $10,484.88 |
+$93.56 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.08 | 946 | $10,476.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $10.98 | 946 | $10,387.08 | $10,395.01 |
$-89.87 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.84 | 878 | $10,391.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $12.16 | 878 | $10,672.09 | $10,675.97 |
+$280.96 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $12.26 | 871 | $10,674.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $12.44 | 871 | $10,835.24 | $10,837.10 |
+$161.13 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $11.93 | 908 | $10,827.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:50pm ET | $11.87 | 908 | $10,773.42 | $10,782.53 |
$-54.57 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $12.29 | 877 | $10,782.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET | $12.36 | 877 | $10,836.12 | $10,836.38 |
+$53.85 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $11.94 | 907 | $10,825.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.46 | 907 | $10,389.69 | $10,401.02 |
$-435.36 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $11.60 | 897 | $10,400.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $11.53 | 897 | $10,337.93 | $10,338.23 |
$-62.79 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $10.79 | 958 | $10,332.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET | $10.70 | 958 | $10,250.60 | $10,256.80 |
$-81.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:05pm ET | $10.53 | 973 | $10,249.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $10.63 | 973 | $10,338.13 | $10,344.95 |
+$88.15 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $9.95 | 1,040 | $10,342.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $10.17 | 1,040 | $10,576.70 | $10,578.85 |
+$233.90 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET | $9.92 | 1,065 | $10,569.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:50pm ET | $9.99 | 1,065 | $10,634.03 | $10,643.39 |
+$64.54 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET | $10.16 | 1,048 | $10,642.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $10.12 | 1,048 | $10,605.76 | $10,606.71 |
$-36.68 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $9.71 | 1,092 | $10,604.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $9.82 | 1,092 | $10,717.98 | $10,720.60 |
+$113.90 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 12:20pm ET | $9.44 | 1,135 | $10,719.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 1:15pm ET | $9.48 | 1,135 | $10,755.26 | $10,756.24 |
+$35.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:10pm ET | $9.46 | 1,137 | $10,750.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $9.48 | 1,137 | $10,778.76 | $10,784.67 |
+$28.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:05pm ET | $9.04 | 1,193 | $10,778.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.07 | 1,193 | $10,814.55 | $10,820.46 |
+$35.79 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $10.32 | 1,048 | $10,815.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $10.37 | 1,048 | $10,862.52 | $10,867.62 |
+$47.16 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $10.01 | 1,086 | $10,865.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $10.12 | 1,086 | $10,984.89 | $10,987.08 |
+$119.46 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.97 | 1,102 | $10,981.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.10 | 1,102 | $11,130.20 | $11,135.85 |
+$148.77 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.21 | 1,090 | $11,133.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $10.31 | 1,090 | $11,232.45 | $11,234.38 |
+$98.54 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $10.56 | 1,063 | $11,225.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $10.67 | 1,063 | $11,336.90 | $11,346.10 |
+$111.72 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $10.98 | 1,033 | $11,337.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $11.11 | 1,033 | $11,471.47 | $11,480.39 |
+$134.29 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $10.98 | 1,045 | $11,474.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.92 | 1,045 | $11,406.18 | $11,412.47 |
$-67.93 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.54 | 1,082 | $11,404.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $10.72 | 1,082 | $11,593.63 | $11,601.82 |
+$189.35 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $10.58 | 1,096 | $11,595.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $10.47 | 1,096 | $11,475.12 | $11,481.26 |
$-120.56 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.28 | 1,116 | $11,472.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $10.39 | 1,116 | $11,595.24 | $11,604.24 |
+$122.98 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $10.58 | 1,096 | $11,595.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.22 | 1,096 | $11,201.23 | $11,209.68 |
$-394.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.32 | 1,086 | $11,207.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $10.42 | 1,086 | $11,316.12 | $11,318.17 |
+$108.49 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $9.70 | 1,167 | $11,314.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $9.78 | 1,167 | $11,413.26 | $11,417.37 |
+$99.19 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.16 | 1,246 | $11,412.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $9.35 | 1,246 | $11,656.33 | $11,661.21 |
+$243.84 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $9.14 | 1,275 | $11,653.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $8.71 | 1,275 | $11,105.38 | $11,113.47 |
$-547.74 (-4.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.78 | 1,427 | $11,109.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $7.55 | 1,427 | $10,780.98 | $10,785.26 |
$-328.21 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.82 | 1,378 | $10,782.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $8.30 | 1,378 | $11,430.51 | $11,432.92 |
+$647.66 (+6.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $7.95 | 1,439 | $11,432.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $7.86 | 1,439 | $11,303.35 | $11,303.41 |
$-129.51 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $7.39 | 1,529 | $11,299.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $7.53 | 1,529 | $11,521.01 | $11,525.11 |
+$221.70 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,525.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,525.11
Total Return:
+15.25%