MDT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
-1.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,993.07
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,130.39
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,417
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
66 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,130.39
Current Value
$8,993.07
Period P&L
$-137.36
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 /
16
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$665,411.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-137.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-137.36
Gross Return
-1.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 66 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,130.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $96.24 | 95 | $9,142.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $95.76 | 95 | $9,097.20 | $9,100.04 |
$-45.60 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:40pm ET | $96.81 | 94 | $9,099.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $96.98 | 94 | $9,116.12 | $9,116.49 |
+$16.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET | $101.50 | 89 | $9,033.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET | $101.88 | 89 | $9,067.22 | $9,150.21 |
+$33.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 2:35pm ET | $100.23 | 91 | $9,120.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:35pm ET | $100.51 | 91 | $9,146.41 | $9,175.69 |
+$25.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $101.63 | 90 | $9,146.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $101.73 | 90 | $9,155.70 | $9,184.69 |
+$9.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:20pm ET | $105.24 | 87 | $9,155.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET | $105.39 | 87 | $9,168.50 | $9,197.31 |
+$12.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $104.77 | 87 | $9,114.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:10am ET | $104.96 | 87 | $9,131.09 | $9,213.40 |
+$16.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:50pm ET | $103.99 | 88 | $9,151.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $103.06 | 88 | $9,069.28 | $9,131.56 |
$-81.84 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $101.65 | 89 | $9,046.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $101.70 | 89 | $9,051.30 | $9,136.10 |
+$4.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 3:40pm ET | $101.94 | 89 | $9,072.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:45am ET | $102.19 | 89 | $9,094.47 | $9,158.35 |
+$22.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:05pm ET | $101.71 | 90 | $9,153.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $101.28 | 90 | $9,115.20 | $9,119.65 |
$-38.70 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:40pm ET | $100.15 | 91 | $9,113.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $99.71 | 91 | $9,073.16 | $9,079.16 |
$-40.50 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $100.77 | 90 | $9,069.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET | $99.92 | 90 | $8,992.80 | $9,002.66 |
$-76.50 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $98.99 | 90 | $8,909.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 12:10pm ET | $98.97 | 90 | $8,906.90 | $9,000.46 |
$-2.20 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $97.55 | 92 | $8,974.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:45pm ET | $97.66 | 92 | $8,984.93 | $9,010.79 |
+$10.33 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:25pm ET | $98.22 | 91 | $8,938.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.63 | 91 | $8,975.33 | $9,048.10 |
+$37.31 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $98.29 | 92 | $9,042.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $98.62 | 92 | $9,073.04 | $9,078.46 |
+$30.36 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET | $97.69 | 92 | $8,987.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET | $97.71 | 92 | $8,989.32 | $9,080.76 |
+$2.30 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $97.24 | 93 | $9,043.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $97.27 | 93 | $9,046.11 | $9,083.55 |
+$2.79 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $96.07 | 94 | $9,030.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.31 | 94 | $9,053.14 | $9,106.58 |
+$23.03 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:50pm ET | $96.38 | 94 | $9,059.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $95.30 | 94 | $8,958.21 | $9,004.88 |
$-101.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $95.49 | 94 | $8,976.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $95.86 | 94 | $9,010.84 | $9,039.66 |
+$34.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $99.96 | 90 | $8,996.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:05pm ET | $99.93 | 90 | $8,993.70 | $9,036.96 |
$-2.70 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $99.58 | 90 | $8,961.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $99.25 | 90 | $8,932.50 | $9,007.71 |
$-29.25 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.05 | 92 | $8,928.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $96.93 | 92 | $8,917.56 | $8,996.67 |
$-11.04 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $96.45 | 93 | $8,969.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $96.43 | 93 | $8,967.99 | $8,994.81 |
$-1.86 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $97.65 | 92 | $8,983.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $98.31 | 92 | $9,044.52 | $9,055.53 |
+$60.72 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $97.60 | 92 | $8,979.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.98 | 92 | $8,829.70 | $8,906.03 |
$-149.50 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $99.63 | 89 | $8,867.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $99.44 | 89 | $8,850.16 | $8,889.12 |
$-16.91 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $101.62 | 87 | $8,840.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $101.24 | 87 | $8,807.88 | $8,856.06 |
$-33.06 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $101.55 | 87 | $8,834.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $101.11 | 87 | $8,796.14 | $8,817.35 |
$-38.71 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $100.91 | 87 | $8,778.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $100.81 | 87 | $8,770.47 | $8,809.08 |
$-8.26 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $102.25 | 86 | $8,793.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $102.45 | 86 | $8,810.70 | $8,826.68 |
+$17.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $103.34 | 85 | $8,783.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.91 | 85 | $8,917.35 | $8,960.13 |
+$133.45 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $103.86 | 86 | $8,931.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $103.98 | 86 | $8,942.28 | $8,970.45 |
+$10.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $101.96 | 87 | $8,870.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $101.99 | 87 | $8,873.13 | $8,973.06 |
+$2.61 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $102.06 | 87 | $8,879.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $102.29 | 87 | $8,899.23 | $8,993.07 |
+$20.01 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,993.07
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,006.93
Total Return:
-10.07%