META Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-3.78%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,682.45
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$12,141.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.6
30-Day Momentum
17
-0.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,141.37
Current Value
$11,682.45
Period P&L
$-458.94
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
20 /
14
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-5.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$772,721.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-458.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-458.94
Gross Return
-3.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,141.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $592.67 | 20 | $11,853.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $598.82 | 20 | $11,976.40 | $12,264.29 |
+$122.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $581.09 | 21 | $12,202.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $548.69 | 21 | $11,522.49 | $11,583.89 |
$-680.40 (-5.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $535.41 | 21 | $11,243.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $536.85 | 21 | $11,273.95 | $11,614.29 |
+$30.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $580.23 | 20 | $11,604.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $580.44 | 20 | $11,608.80 | $11,618.49 |
+$4.20 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $575.16 | 20 | $11,503.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $567.18 | 20 | $11,343.60 | $11,458.79 |
$-159.70 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $629.10 | 18 | $11,323.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $629.22 | 18 | $11,325.87 | $11,460.86 |
+$2.07 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $671.12 | 17 | $11,409.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $673.39 | 17 | $11,447.63 | $11,499.45 |
+$38.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $680.48 | 16 | $10,887.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $673.73 | 16 | $10,779.68 | $11,391.37 |
$-108.08 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $668.75 | 17 | $11,368.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $670.81 | 17 | $11,403.77 | $11,426.39 |
+$35.02 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $662.82 | 17 | $11,267.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $662.62 | 17 | $11,264.54 | $11,423.07 |
$-3.32 (-0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $656.53 | 17 | $11,160.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $660.54 | 17 | $11,229.18 | $11,491.32 |
+$68.25 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $672.01 | 17 | $11,424.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $675.79 | 17 | $11,488.43 | $11,555.66 |
+$64.34 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $668.94 | 17 | $11,371.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $669.84 | 17 | $11,387.28 | $11,570.96 |
+$15.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $612.83 | 18 | $11,030.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $611.73 | 18 | $11,011.14 | $11,551.16 |
$-19.80 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $610.34 | 18 | $10,986.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.48 | 18 | $11,042.64 | $11,607.68 |
+$56.52 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $617.52 | 18 | $11,115.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $616.30 | 18 | $11,093.40 | $11,585.72 |
$-21.96 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $603.99 | 19 | $11,475.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $601.94 | 19 | $11,436.86 | $11,546.77 |
$-38.95 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $593.92 | 19 | $11,284.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $600.21 | 19 | $11,403.90 | $11,666.19 |
+$119.42 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $619.67 | 18 | $11,154.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $617.77 | 18 | $11,119.86 | $11,631.99 |
$-34.20 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.00 | 19 | $11,571.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $608.35 | 19 | $11,558.65 | $11,619.64 |
$-12.35 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $601.14 | 19 | $11,421.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $602.85 | 19 | $11,454.20 | $11,652.18 |
+$32.54 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $599.71 | 19 | $11,394.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $598.49 | 19 | $11,371.31 | $11,629.09 |
$-23.09 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $607.98 | 19 | $11,551.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $610.73 | 19 | $11,603.87 | $11,681.34 |
+$52.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $629.76 | 18 | $11,335.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $627.06 | 18 | $11,287.08 | $11,632.74 |
$-48.60 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $600.54 | 19 | $11,410.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $605.59 | 19 | $11,506.30 | $11,728.78 |
+$96.04 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $634.93 | 18 | $11,428.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $626.02 | 18 | $11,268.27 | $11,568.31 |
$-160.47 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $580.11 | 19 | $11,022.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $590.50 | 19 | $11,219.50 | $11,765.72 |
+$197.41 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $588.70 | 19 | $11,185.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $586.44 | 19 | $11,142.36 | $11,722.78 |
$-42.94 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $575.27 | 20 | $11,505.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $576.72 | 20 | $11,534.40 | $11,751.78 |
+$29.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $561.82 | 20 | $11,236.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $566.74 | 20 | $11,334.80 | $11,850.18 |
+$98.40 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $593.20 | 19 | $11,270.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $593.53 | 19 | $11,277.07 | $11,856.45 |
+$6.27 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $592.54 | 20 | $11,850.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $579.31 | 20 | $11,586.20 | $11,591.85 |
$-264.60 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $575.06 | 20 | $11,501.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $576.15 | 20 | $11,522.90 | $11,613.55 |
+$21.70 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $561.79 | 20 | $11,235.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $565.24 | 20 | $11,304.80 | $11,682.45 |
+$68.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,682.45
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,682.45
Total Return:
+16.82%