MRK Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+9.73%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,846.33
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$10,796.12
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,494
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
73 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,796.12
Current Value
$11,846.33
Period P&L
$1,050.21
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
27 /
10
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-1.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$841,960.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,050.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,050.21
Gross Return
+9.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 73 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,796.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.19 | 117 | $10,786.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $91.80 | 117 | $10,740.60 | $10,750.47 |
$-45.64 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $92.70 | 115 | $10,660.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $93.74 | 115 | $10,780.03 | $10,869.99 |
+$119.52 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.25 | 112 | $10,780.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $96.62 | 112 | $10,820.88 | $10,910.87 |
+$40.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $94.57 | 115 | $10,875.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $95.04 | 115 | $10,929.03 | $10,964.34 |
+$53.48 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET | $98.72 | 111 | $10,957.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $100.52 | 111 | $11,157.72 | $11,164.70 |
+$200.35 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:15pm ET | $104.27 | 107 | $11,156.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $104.71 | 107 | $11,203.96 | $11,211.77 |
+$47.07 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $105.18 | 106 | $11,148.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $105.12 | 106 | $11,142.72 | $11,205.94 |
$-5.83 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:15pm ET | $102.47 | 109 | $11,169.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 1:15pm ET | $102.58 | 109 | $11,181.22 | $11,217.93 |
+$11.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $102.49 | 109 | $11,171.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $102.31 | 109 | $11,151.79 | $11,198.31 |
$-19.62 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:10pm ET | $99.37 | 112 | $11,128.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:30pm ET | $99.92 | 112 | $11,191.04 | $11,260.47 |
+$62.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 2:45pm ET | $98.76 | 114 | $11,258.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $98.96 | 114 | $11,281.44 | $11,283.84 |
+$23.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $96.56 | 116 | $11,200.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $97.31 | 116 | $11,288.19 | $11,371.07 |
+$87.23 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET | $98.62 | 115 | $11,341.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $98.81 | 115 | $11,363.15 | $11,392.92 |
+$21.85 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $99.11 | 114 | $11,298.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:55pm ET | $99.47 | 114 | $11,339.58 | $11,433.96 |
+$41.04 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $100.24 | 114 | $11,427.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $101.12 | 114 | $11,527.11 | $11,533.71 |
+$99.75 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:15pm ET | $104.53 | 110 | $11,498.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET | $104.69 | 110 | $11,515.79 | $11,551.20 |
+$17.49 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $106.18 | 108 | $11,466.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $106.25 | 108 | $11,475.00 | $11,559.30 |
+$8.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $106.66 | 108 | $11,519.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $106.19 | 108 | $11,469.03 | $11,509.05 |
$-50.25 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.33 | 109 | $11,480.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:35am ET | $105.60 | 109 | $11,510.40 | $11,538.48 |
+$29.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $106.61 | 108 | $11,513.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $106.96 | 108 | $11,551.68 | $11,576.28 |
+$37.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $108.58 | 106 | $11,509.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $108.98 | 106 | $11,551.88 | $11,618.68 |
+$42.40 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $110.19 | 105 | $11,569.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $109.82 | 105 | $11,531.10 | $11,580.35 |
$-38.33 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.72 | 105 | $11,520.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $110.48 | 105 | $11,600.40 | $11,660.68 |
+$80.33 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $107.86 | 108 | $11,648.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $108.01 | 108 | $11,665.08 | $11,676.88 |
+$16.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.68 | 106 | $11,626.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.11 | 106 | $11,565.13 | $11,615.93 |
$-60.95 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.23 | 106 | $11,578.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $109.17 | 106 | $11,572.02 | $11,609.58 |
$-6.35 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $108.41 | 107 | $11,599.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $108.68 | 107 | $11,628.76 | $11,639.00 |
+$29.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.28 | 105 | $11,579.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $109.12 | 105 | $11,457.60 | $11,517.20 |
$-121.80 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.87 | 106 | $11,434.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $107.33 | 106 | $11,376.72 | $11,459.70 |
$-57.51 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $107.34 | 106 | $11,378.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $107.63 | 106 | $11,408.78 | $11,490.44 |
+$30.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $106.51 | 107 | $11,396.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $106.55 | 107 | $11,400.85 | $11,494.72 |
+$4.28 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $109.16 | 105 | $11,461.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.43 | 105 | $11,490.15 | $11,523.07 |
+$28.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $112.40 | 102 | $11,464.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $112.57 | 102 | $11,482.65 | $11,540.92 |
+$17.85 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $115.69 | 99 | $11,453.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.82 | 99 | $11,763.67 | $11,851.28 |
+$310.36 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $121.16 | 97 | $11,752.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $121.58 | 97 | $11,793.74 | $11,892.51 |
+$41.22 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.69 | 99 | $11,849.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $119.04 | 99 | $11,785.45 | $11,828.65 |
$-63.86 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.76 | 101 | $11,793.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $116.94 | 101 | $11,810.94 | $11,846.33 |
+$17.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,846.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,846.33
Total Return:
+18.46%