MRNA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
-15.32%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,313.80
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$7,456.16
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,483
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,456.16
Current Value
$6,313.80
Period P&L
$-1,142.34
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
22 /
14
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-12.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$521,553.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,142.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,142.34
Gross Return
-15.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,456.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET | $24.66 | 302 | $7,445.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:40pm ET | $24.63 | 302 | $7,436.75 | $7,447.08 |
$-9.06 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $24.50 | 304 | $7,447.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:45pm ET | $24.04 | 304 | $7,307.00 | $7,307.03 |
$-140.05 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET | $22.47 | 325 | $7,301.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $22.78 | 325 | $7,403.50 | $7,409.41 |
+$102.38 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET | $24.12 | 307 | $7,404.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:05pm ET | $24.18 | 307 | $7,421.73 | $7,426.29 |
+$16.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:50am ET | $24.44 | 303 | $7,405.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $24.69 | 303 | $7,479.56 | $7,500.53 |
+$74.23 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.94 | 300 | $7,482.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:55am ET | $24.43 | 300 | $7,329.00 | $7,347.53 |
$-153.00 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $24.18 | 303 | $7,325.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $24.69 | 303 | $7,481.07 | $7,503.57 |
+$156.05 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $25.70 | 291 | $7,478.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $25.79 | 291 | $7,504.89 | $7,529.76 |
+$26.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $27.41 | 274 | $7,510.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $27.57 | 274 | $7,554.18 | $7,573.60 |
+$43.84 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm ET | $27.99 | 270 | $7,557.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $28.26 | 270 | $7,630.20 | $7,646.50 |
+$72.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $29.34 | 260 | $7,628.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $29.42 | 260 | $7,649.95 | $7,668.06 |
+$21.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:00pm ET | $29.66 | 258 | $7,652.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $29.94 | 258 | $7,725.14 | $7,740.91 |
+$72.86 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:50pm ET | $29.95 | 258 | $7,725.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.56 | 258 | $7,626.48 | $7,641.58 |
$-99.33 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:05pm ET | $30.37 | 251 | $7,621.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $30.42 | 251 | $7,635.42 | $7,655.19 |
+$13.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $33.72 | 227 | $7,654.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 2:35pm ET | $33.71 | 227 | $7,652.17 | $7,652.92 |
$-2.27 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:40pm ET | $35.10 | 218 | $7,651.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET | $32.97 | 218 | $7,187.46 | $7,188.58 |
$-464.34 (-6.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.16 | 223 | $7,171.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.02 | 223 | $7,140.46 | $7,157.36 |
$-31.22 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.99 | 230 | $7,127.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $31.05 | 230 | $7,141.50 | $7,171.16 |
+$13.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $29.82 | 240 | $7,156.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 12:35pm ET | $29.71 | 240 | $7,130.40 | $7,144.76 |
$-26.40 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $30.59 | 233 | $7,127.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $30.69 | 233 | $7,149.61 | $7,166.89 |
+$22.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $35.03 | 204 | $7,145.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $35.36 | 204 | $7,212.42 | $7,234.21 |
+$67.32 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.34 | 204 | $7,209.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $35.27 | 204 | $7,195.08 | $7,219.93 |
$-14.28 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $34.85 | 207 | $7,212.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.57 | 207 | $6,947.96 | $6,954.97 |
$-264.96 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $40.26 | 172 | $6,924.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $40.09 | 172 | $6,896.10 | $6,926.87 |
$-28.10 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $40.67 | 170 | $6,913.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.67 | 170 | $6,913.90 | $6,926.87 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $42.10 | 164 | $6,903.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $42.43 | 164 | $6,958.52 | $6,981.81 |
+$54.94 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $53.24 | 131 | $6,974.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $53.29 | 131 | $6,980.34 | $6,987.70 |
+$5.89 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $47.38 | 147 | $6,964.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.09 | 147 | $7,069.23 | $7,092.07 |
+$104.37 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $48.60 | 145 | $7,047.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $47.06 | 145 | $6,823.70 | $6,868.77 |
$-223.30 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $44.36 | 154 | $6,830.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $44.73 | 154 | $6,888.42 | $6,926.52 |
+$57.75 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.66 | 151 | $6,894.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $45.01 | 151 | $6,796.51 | $6,828.37 |
$-98.15 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $43.15 | 158 | $6,816.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.77 | 158 | $7,073.66 | $7,085.12 |
+$256.75 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $41.89 | 169 | $7,079.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $42.28 | 169 | $7,144.48 | $7,150.19 |
+$65.07 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $40.32 | 177 | $7,136.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $40.69 | 177 | $7,202.13 | $7,215.68 |
+$65.49 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $41.02 | 175 | $7,178.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $41.19 | 175 | $7,207.38 | $7,244.55 |
+$28.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $42.59 | 170 | $7,240.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.12 | 170 | $6,309.55 | $6,313.80 |
$-930.75 (-12.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,313.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,686.20
Total Return:
-36.86%