Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
70 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,264.74
Current Value
$10,874.40
Period P&L
$-390.38
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 / 14
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$814,475.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-390.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-390.38
Gross Return
-3.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 70 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,264.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $165.53 68 $11,256.04
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.46 68 $10,911.28 $10,913.90 $-344.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET $162.58 67 $10,892.86
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $163.35 67 $10,944.45 $10,965.49 +$51.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:25pm ET $160.57 68 $10,918.76
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $161.22 68 $10,962.96 $11,009.69 +$44.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $165.41 66 $10,917.06
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:50pm ET $159.81 66 $10,547.13 $10,639.76 $-369.93
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $158.66 67 $10,630.22
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $159.93 67 $10,715.31 $10,724.85 +$85.09
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $160.86 66 $10,616.76
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET $163.29 66 $10,776.81 $10,884.90 +$160.05
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $168.43 64 $10,779.20
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $167.96 64 $10,749.44 $10,855.14 $-29.76
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $168.54 64 $10,786.56
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:25pm ET $168.75 64 $10,799.68 $10,868.26 +$13.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $169.21 64 $10,829.12
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $168.41 64 $10,778.24 $10,817.38 $-50.88
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $174.72 61 $10,657.92
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $174.29 61 $10,631.69 $10,791.15 $-26.23
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $176.21 61 $10,748.81
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $177.30 61 $10,815.10 $10,857.45 +$66.29
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $179.65 60 $10,779.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $178.96 60 $10,737.31 $10,815.76 $-41.69
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $178.51 60 $10,710.60
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $179.31 60 $10,758.60 $10,863.76 +$48.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $181.30 59 $10,696.70
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $181.78 59 $10,725.02 $10,892.08 +$28.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET $177.94 61 $10,854.34
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $178.34 61 $10,878.44 $10,916.17 +$24.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $178.18 61 $10,868.98
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:55am ET $177.71 61 $10,840.31 $10,887.50 $-28.67
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET $174.83 62 $10,839.46
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $174.95 62 $10,846.59 $10,894.63 +$7.13
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:55pm ET $176.80 61 $10,784.80
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:00pm ET $176.90 61 $10,790.90 $10,900.73 +$6.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET $179.34 60 $10,760.40
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $179.80 60 $10,788.00 $10,928.33 +$27.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $181.63 60 $10,897.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $181.93 60 $10,915.50 $10,946.03 +$17.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:10pm ET $179.96 60 $10,797.30
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:20pm ET $180.14 60 $10,808.40 $10,957.13 +$11.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET $178.23 61 $10,871.73
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $178.24 61 $10,872.64 $10,958.05 +$0.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $187.56 58 $10,878.48
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $186.84 58 $10,836.80 $10,916.37 $-41.68
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $185.52 58 $10,760.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $185.33 58 $10,749.14 $10,905.35 $-11.02
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.36 58 $10,750.88
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $185.19 58 $10,741.02 $10,895.49 $-9.86
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $184.52 59 $10,886.68
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $184.78 59 $10,902.02 $10,910.83 +$15.34
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $182.67 59 $10,777.53
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.40 59 $10,820.60 $10,953.90 +$43.07
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.91 60 $10,794.60
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $180.77 60 $10,846.20 $11,005.50 +$51.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $190.99 57 $10,886.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 57 $10,517.08 $10,636.23 $-369.27
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $182.12 58 $10,562.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $182.80 58 $10,602.40 $10,675.67 +$39.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $184.45 57 $10,513.65
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.71 57 $10,243.47 $10,405.49 $-270.18
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.70 56 $10,231.20
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:35am ET $181.60 56 $10,169.60 $10,343.89 $-61.60
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 57 $10,317.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $181.83 57 $10,364.31 $10,391.20 +$47.31
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $184.65 56 $10,340.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $184.48 56 $10,330.74 $10,381.54 $-9.66
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $180.42 57 $10,283.94
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $182.05 57 $10,377.13 $10,474.73 +$93.19
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $175.18 59 $10,335.62
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $179.99 59 $10,619.12 $10,758.23 +$283.50
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $182.64 58 $10,593.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $183.06 58 $10,617.48 $10,782.59 +$24.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $174.15 61 $10,623.15
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $175.65 61 $10,714.95 $10,874.40 +$91.81
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,874.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$874.40
Total Return: +8.74%
Back to Professor Mean